Compare StocksLLY vs TMO

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO)

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$963.33
VS
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
$469.21

Rewards

LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
TMO
  • Dividend yield of 0.38% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
  • Trailing P/E of 25.8x is 20% below the historical average of 32.3x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • Altman Z-Score of 3.85 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.

Risks

LLY
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
TMO
  • PEG ratio of 2.28 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $8.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
TMO
Valuation
$9.16B
Free Cash Flow
$5.52B
1.06%
FCF Yield
3.17%
34.25
Trailing P/E
25.77
22.06
Forward P/E
17.15
Quality & Moat
37.80%
ROIC
6.71%
66.16%
ROE
12.88%
82.83%
Gross Margin
40.93%
0.20
PEG Ratio
2.28
Balance Sheet Safety
1.39
Debt / Equity
0.83
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.05
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.53
0.65%
Dividend Yield
0.38%
LLY: 7Ties: 1TMO: 4
LLYTMO

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TMO

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TMO
$0.17
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$17.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$2.95B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
15.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 15.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $963.33
Fair Value: $1145.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TMO
40.5% Overvalued
Price is 40.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $469.21
Fair Value: $333.86
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $963?

+18.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.7%

The market implies +18.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

TMO

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $469?

+14.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +16.7%

The market implies +14.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +16.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
TMO
60/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TMO
-2.47
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.0%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,509
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TMO
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 94.9%Retail & Other 4.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,559
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TMO
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
CHAI NELSON J
Director
$11,038
@ $551.90 · 2024-12-09
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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LLY
0
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TMO
5
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $110.73M
PETTITI GIANLUCA
President
$185,064
@ $462.66 · 2026-04-27
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$802,536
@ $499.40 · 2026-03-11
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$2.06M
@ $514.82 · 2026-03-05
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$5.08M
@ $507.75 · 2026-03-04
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$216,480
@ $541.20 · 2026-02-09
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$12.42M
@ $563.56 · 2025-12-04
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$36.13M
@ $582.68 · 2025-12-03
LOWERY FREDERICK M.
Officer
$8.15M
@ $589.81 · 2025-12-02
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$6.43M
@ $600.00 · 2025-11-25
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$2.76M
@ $594.42 · 2025-11-13
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$622,136
@ $588.59 · 2025-11-12
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$1.73M
@ $580.00 · 2025-11-10
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$5.84M
@ $571.62 · 2025-11-07
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$13.91M
@ $571.33 · 2025-10-27
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$229,660
@ $574.15 · 2025-10-24
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$200,201
@ $500.50 · 2025-09-05
HOLMES JOSEPH R.
Officer
$189,662
@ $492.63 · 2025-08-29
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$5.01M
@ $500.96 · 2025-08-22
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$248,046
@ $500.09 · 2025-08-20
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$8.15M
@ $452.99 · 2025-08-07
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$191,992
@ $479.98 · 2025-07-25
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$164,444
@ $411.11 · 2025-05-12
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$128,979
@ $429.93 · 2025-04-28
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$2.01M
@ $532.59 · 2025-03-10
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$9.33M
@ $518.16 · 2025-03-05
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$945,038
@ $530.92 · 2025-03-03
LOWERY FREDERICK M.
Officer
$9.73M
@ $531.81 · 2025-02-24
CHAI NELSON J
Director
$8,449
@ $528.06 · 2025-02-19
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$175,677
@ $585.59 · 2025-02-04
WILLIAMSON STEPHEN
Chief Financial Officer
$11.58M
@ $589.36 · 2025-02-04
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$10.62M
@ $531.23 · 2024-12-03
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$3.26M
@ $557.89 · 2024-11-01
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.01M
@ $550.51 · 2024-10-31
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.05M
@ $552.46 · 2024-10-29
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$168,048
@ $560.16 · 2024-10-25
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$1.12M
@ $560.16 · 2024-10-25
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$12.17M
@ $608.45 · 2024-09-04
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$6.17M
@ $617.21 · 2024-07-31
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$9.88M
@ $606.12 · 2024-07-30
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$180,255
@ $600.85 · 2024-07-26
HOLMES JOSEPH R.
Officer
$525,484
@ $611.03 · 2024-07-26
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$2.22M
@ $613.02 · 2024-07-26
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$1.20M
@ $600.85 · 2024-07-26
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.37M
@ $568.72 · 2024-06-04
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$11.80M
@ $590.05 · 2024-05-14
WILLIAMSON STEPHEN
Chief Financial Officer
$12.96M
@ $591.27 · 2024-05-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TMO
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
TMO
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View LLY Full AnalysisView TMO Full Analysis
LLY vs TMO: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io