Compare Stocks › LLY vs TMO
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO)
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$917.50
VS
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
$470.21
Rewards
LLY
- ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
TMO
- ★Dividend yield of 0.37% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
- ★Altman Z-Score of 3.85 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
Risks
LLY
- ⚠FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠5 insider sales totaling $330.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
TMO
- ⚠Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.17 of market value — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
- ⚠PEG ratio of 2.85 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $8.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →LLY
TMO
Valuation
$5.96B
Free Cash Flow
$6.29B
0.73%
FCF Yield
3.60%
40.00
Trailing P/E
26.52
21.79
Forward P/E
17.49
Quality & Moat
32.84%
ROIC
7.85%
77.78%
ROE
12.52%
83.04%
Gross Margin
41.08%
0.78
PEG Ratio
2.85
Balance Sheet Safety
1.65
Debt / Equity
0.77
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.15
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.81
0.68%
Dividend Yield
0.37%
LLY: 6Ties: 1TMO: 5
LLYTMO
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →LLY
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
TMO
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →LLY
$27.47
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$613.62B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TMO
$0.17
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$17.29B
Δ Market Cap
+$2.95B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →LLY
12.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $917.50
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1048.80
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TMO
34.6% Overvalued
Price is 34.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $470.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $349.42
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →LLY
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $918?
+17.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +35.1%
The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +35.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
TMO
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $470?
+13.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.4%
The market implies +13.6% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
TMO
60/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TMO
-2.47
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.7%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders5,561
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TMO
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 95.6%Retail & Other 4.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,620
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TMO
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
CHAI NELSON J
Director
$11,038
@ $551.90 · 2024-12-09
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →LLY
5
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$818,240
@ $818.24 · 2025-03-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$204.33M
@ $928.76 · 2025-03-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TMO
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $110.68M
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$802,536
@ $499.40 · 2026-03-11
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$2.06M
@ $514.82 · 2026-03-05
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$5.08M
@ $507.75 · 2026-03-04
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$216,480
@ $541.20 · 2026-02-09
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$12.42M
@ $563.56 · 2025-12-04
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$36.13M
@ $582.68 · 2025-12-03
LOWERY FREDERICK M.
Officer
$8.15M
@ $589.81 · 2025-12-02
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$6.43M
@ $600.00 · 2025-11-25
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$2.76M
@ $594.42 · 2025-11-13
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$622,136
@ $588.59 · 2025-11-12
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$1.73M
@ $580.00 · 2025-11-10
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$5.84M
@ $571.62 · 2025-11-07
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$13.91M
@ $571.33 · 2025-10-27
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$229,660
@ $574.15 · 2025-10-24
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$200,201
@ $500.50 · 2025-09-05
HOLMES JOSEPH R.
Officer
$189,662
@ $492.63 · 2025-08-29
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$5.01M
@ $500.96 · 2025-08-22
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$248,046
@ $500.09 · 2025-08-20
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$8.15M
@ $452.99 · 2025-08-07
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$191,992
@ $479.98 · 2025-07-25
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$164,444
@ $411.11 · 2025-05-12
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$128,979
@ $429.93 · 2025-04-28
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$2.01M
@ $532.59 · 2025-03-10
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$9.33M
@ $518.16 · 2025-03-05
SHAFER MICHAEL D
Officer
$945,038
@ $530.92 · 2025-03-03
LOWERY FREDERICK M.
Officer
$9.73M
@ $531.81 · 2025-02-24
CHAI NELSON J
Director
$8,449
@ $528.06 · 2025-02-19
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$175,677
@ $585.59 · 2025-02-04
WILLIAMSON STEPHEN
Chief Financial Officer
$11.58M
@ $589.36 · 2025-02-04
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$10.62M
@ $531.23 · 2024-12-03
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$3.26M
@ $557.89 · 2024-11-01
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.01M
@ $550.51 · 2024-10-31
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.05M
@ $552.46 · 2024-10-29
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$1.12M
@ $560.16 · 2024-10-25
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$168,048
@ $560.16 · 2024-10-25
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$12.17M
@ $608.45 · 2024-09-04
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$6.17M
@ $617.21 · 2024-07-31
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$9.88M
@ $606.12 · 2024-07-30
HOLMES JOSEPH R.
Officer
$525,484
@ $611.03 · 2024-07-26
BRITT LISA P
Officer
$2.22M
@ $613.02 · 2024-07-26
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$1.20M
@ $600.85 · 2024-07-26
PETTITI GIANLUCA
Officer
$180,255
@ $600.85 · 2024-07-26
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.37M
@ $568.72 · 2024-06-04
LAGARDE MICHEL
Chief Operating Officer
$11.80M
@ $590.05 · 2024-05-14
WILLIAMSON STEPHEN
Chief Financial Officer
$12.96M
@ $591.27 · 2024-05-13
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$5.74M
@ $573.74 · 2024-05-01
CASPER MARC N
Chief Executive Officer
$11.48M
@ $574.18 · 2024-04-30
BOXER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
$1.14M
@ $567.94 · 2024-04-26
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →LLY
😐Neutral(43/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TMO
😨Fear(40/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
TMO
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (40)