Compare StocksLLY vs RTX

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs RTX Corporation (RTX)

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$963.33
VS
RTX
RTX Corporation
$173.99

Rewards

LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
RTX
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 19.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.65 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

LLY
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
RTX
  • Gross margin of 20.2% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $32.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
RTX
Valuation
$9.16B
Free Cash Flow
$7.23B
1.06%
FCF Yield
3.09%
34.25
Trailing P/E
32.70
22.06
Forward P/E
23.05
Quality & Moat
37.80%
ROIC
8.80%
66.16%
ROE
9.90%
82.83%
Gross Margin
20.21%
0.20
PEG Ratio
1.01
Balance Sheet Safety
1.39
Debt / Equity
0.57
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.05
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.10
0.65%
Dividend Yield
1.59%
LLY: 6Ties: 3RTX: 3
LLYRTX

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

RTX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
RTX
$21.02
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.67B
Δ Market Cap
+$98.20B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
15.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 15.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $963.33
Fair Value: $1145.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
RTX
85.2% Overvalued
Price is 85.2% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $173.99
Fair Value: $93.93
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $963?

+18.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.7%

The market implies +18.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

RTX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $174?

+17.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +16.0%

The market implies +17.0% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +16.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
RTX
51/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
RTX
-2.30
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.0%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,509
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
RTX
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 80.9%Retail & Other 19.0%
No. of Institutional Holders3,942
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
RTX
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
WINNEFELD JAMES A. JR.
Director
$23,580
@ $117.90 · 2025-04-23
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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LLY
0
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
RTX
7
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $46.72M
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$2.58M
@ $202.83 · 2026-02-23
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$7.35M
@ $205.56 · 2026-02-19
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$12.96M
@ $203.80 · 2026-02-19
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$3.10M
@ $204.65 · 2026-02-19
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$1.64M
@ $201.30 · 2026-02-13
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$3.49M
@ $199.16 · 2026-02-12
JOHNSON AMY L.
Officer
$1.58M
@ $195.03 · 2026-02-10
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$858,278
@ $178.32 · 2025-10-27
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$873,528
@ $180.15 · 2025-10-24
ATKINSON TRACY A
Director
$500,948
@ $178.91 · 2025-10-24
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$4.15M
@ $159.79 · 2025-08-27
BRUNK TROY D
Officer
$1.19M
@ $155.20 · 2025-08-12
JASPER PHILIP J
Officer
$2.03M
@ $157.82 · 2025-08-04
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$1.36M
@ $156.20 · 2025-07-24
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$222,600
@ $152.26 · 2025-07-23
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$2.33M
@ $137.62 · 2025-06-03
JOHNSON AMY L.
Officer
$528,777
@ $127.54 · 2025-05-06
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$2.10M
@ $130.35 · 2025-02-27
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $130.36 · 2025-02-27
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$2.46M
@ $126.82 · 2025-02-25
BRUNK TROY D
Officer
$361,736
@ $125.95 · 2025-02-24
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$1.30M
@ $125.08 · 2025-02-19
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$1.95M
@ $124.45 · 2025-02-18
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$1.81M
@ $129.23 · 2025-02-05
HAYES GREGORY J
Officer and Director
$15.88M
@ $117.74 · 2024-07-31
MITCHILL NEIL G JR
Chief Financial Officer
$498,908
@ $115.43 · 2024-07-30
CALIO CHRISTOPHER T
Chief Executive Officer
$482,790
@ $114.00 · 2024-07-29
JOHNSON AMY L.
Officer
$766,864
@ $113.88 · 2024-07-29
JASPER PHILIP J
Officer
$1.39M
@ $113.65 · 2024-07-29
DASILVA KEVIN G
Officer and Treasurer
$938,766
@ $114.96 · 2024-07-26
WILLIAMS DANTAYA M
Officer
$2.02M
@ $114.87 · 2024-07-26
MAHARAJH RAMSARAN JR
General Counsel
$260,401
@ $114.71 · 2024-07-26
EDDY SHANE G
Officer
$773,604
@ $114.76 · 2024-07-26
TIMM STEPHEN J
Officer
$2.10M
@ $105.72 · 2024-05-10
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
RTX
FearGreed
😐Neutral(44/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
RTX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (44)
View LLY Full AnalysisView RTX Full Analysis
LLY vs RTX: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io