Compare Stocks › LLY vs PANW
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW)
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$917.50
VS
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
$169.74
Rewards
LLY
- ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
PANW
- ★Gross margin of 73.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 24.6% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $19.59 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
Risks
LLY
- ⚠FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠5 insider sales totaling $330.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
PANW
- ⚠Share count has increased by 12% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
- ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 2 out of 3 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →LLY
PANW
Valuation
$5.96B
Free Cash Flow
$2.80B
0.73%
FCF Yield
2.03%
40.00
Trailing P/E
94.30
21.79
Forward P/E
42.73
Quality & Moat
32.84%
ROIC
12.23%
77.78%
ROE
12.07%
83.04%
Gross Margin
73.50%
0.78
PEG Ratio
1.56
Balance Sheet Safety
1.65
Debt / Equity
0.05
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.15
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.81
0.68%
Dividend Yield
N/A
LLY: 7Ties: 1PANW: 3
LLYPANW
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →LLY
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
PANW
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →LLY
$27.47
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$613.62B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PANW
$19.59
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.15B
Δ Market Cap
+$81.33B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →LLY
12.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $917.50
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1048.80
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PANW
390.8% Overvalued
Price is 390.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $169.74
Strongly undervalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $34.59
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →LLY
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $918?
+17.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +35.1%
The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +35.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
PANW
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $170?
+32.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +19.6%
The market implies +32.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +19.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
PANW
49/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PANW
-2.59
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.7%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders5,561
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PANW
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 74.4%Retail & Other 24.8%
No. of Institutional Holders3,389
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PANW
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →LLY
5
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$818,240
@ $818.24 · 2025-03-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$204.33M
@ $928.76 · 2025-03-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PANW
6
Sells (3M)
35
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $619.48M
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$251,430
@ $147.90 · 2026-03-02
KLARICH LEE
Chief Technology Officer
$23.07M
@ $191.03 · 2026-01-08
JENKINS WILLIAM D JR
President
$167,068
@ $184.81 · 2026-01-02
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$147,848
@ $184.81 · 2026-01-02
JENKINS WILLIAM D JR
President
$1.17M
@ $188.07 · 2025-12-26
GOLECHHA DIPAK
Chief Financial Officer
$940,910
@ $188.18 · 2025-12-23
KLARICH LEE
Chief Technology Officer
$23.18M
@ $191.91 · 2025-12-03
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$132,573
@ $189.39 · 2025-12-01
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$153,979
@ $219.97 · 2025-11-03
KLARICH LEE
Chief Technology Officer
$26.32M
@ $217.94 · 2025-11-03
KLARICH LEE
Chief Technology Officer
$25.59M
@ $211.92 · 2025-10-06
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$141,512
@ $202.16 · 2025-10-01
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$172.72M
@ $204.06 · 2025-09-23
GOLECHHA DIPAK
Chief Financial Officer
$1.02M
@ $204.19 · 2025-09-23
KLARICH LEE
Chief Technology Officer
$23.08M
@ $191.11 · 2025-09-03
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$131,334
@ $187.62 · 2025-09-02
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$128,940
@ $184.20 · 2025-08-21
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$20.72M
@ $171.58 · 2025-08-04
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$17.28M
@ $172.80 · 2025-08-01
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$24.26M
@ $200.86 · 2025-07-07
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$19.87M
@ $198.66 · 2025-07-01
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$122,400
@ $204.00 · 2025-07-01
GOLECHHA DIPAK
Chief Financial Officer
$1.01M
@ $201.85 · 2025-06-23
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$160,840
@ $201.05 · 2025-06-20
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$23.57M
@ $195.14 · 2025-06-04
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$19.34M
@ $193.36 · 2025-06-02
BAWA APARNA
Director
$99,940
@ $190.00 · 2025-05-30
JENKINS WILLIAM D JR
President
$500,198
@ $186.15 · 2025-05-23
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$22.86M
@ $189.27 · 2025-05-05
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$18.78M
@ $187.80 · 2025-05-01
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$75,564
@ $188.91 · 2025-05-01
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$18.25M
@ $151.13 · 2025-04-07
GOLECHHA DIPAK
Chief Financial Officer
$750,000
@ $150.00 · 2025-04-07
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$133.33M
@ $169.11 · 2025-04-03
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$151,668
@ $168.52 · 2025-04-01
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$129,850
@ $185.50 · 2025-03-20
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$12.70M
@ $181.56 · 2025-03-05
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$132.77M
@ $184.80 · 2025-03-04
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$18.79M
@ $188.56 · 2025-03-03
JENKINS WILLIAM D JR
President
$493,370
@ $205.49 · 2025-02-19
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$143.81M
@ $182.40 · 2025-02-04
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$126,854
@ $181.22 · 2025-02-03
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$18.19M
@ $182.45 · 2025-02-03
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$143.09M
@ $181.50 · 2025-01-06
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$21.56M
@ $179.70 · 2025-01-06
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$258,300
@ $184.50 · 2025-01-02
MCCARTHY MARY PAT
Director
$2.40M
@ $400.16 · 2024-12-12
ESCHENBACH CARL M
Director
$3.65M
@ $405.38 · 2024-12-04
BAWA APARNA
Director
$100,004
@ $400.02 · 2024-12-04
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$78,048
@ $390.24 · 2024-12-02
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$23.36M
@ $389.41 · 2024-12-02
GOLECHHA DIPAK
Chief Financial Officer
$975,600
@ $390.24 · 2024-12-02
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$65.08M
@ $387.39 · 2024-11-25
JENKINS WILLIAM D JR
President
$506,288
@ $387.96 · 2024-11-25
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$21.64M
@ $360.65 · 2024-11-04
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$71,806
@ $359.03 · 2024-11-01
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$30.02M
@ $367.99 · 2024-10-10
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$20.39M
@ $339.81 · 2024-10-04
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$11.97M
@ $332.50 · 2024-10-01
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$22.87M
@ $342.98 · 2024-09-04
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$20.70M
@ $344.98 · 2024-09-04
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$12.93M
@ $359.17 · 2024-09-03
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$71,814
@ $359.07 · 2024-09-03
GOLECHHA DIPAK
Chief Financial Officer
$897,675
@ $359.07 · 2024-09-03
MCCARTHY MARY PAT
Director
$3.48M
@ $348.49 · 2024-08-27
KEY JOHN PHILLIP
Director
$1.05M
@ $349.68 · 2024-08-23
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$59.94M
@ $367.36 · 2024-08-20
MCCARTHY MARY PAT
Director
$341,441
@ $341.44 · 2024-08-19
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$22.09M
@ $333.79 · 2024-08-13
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$166,529
@ $333.06 · 2024-08-09
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$17.76M
@ $295.93 · 2024-08-05
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$11.44M
@ $317.77 · 2024-08-01
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$64,682
@ $323.41 · 2024-08-01
KLARICH LEE
Officer
$42.16M
@ $335.00 · 2024-07-08
ARORA NIKESH
Chief Executive Officer
$22.44M
@ $336.54 · 2024-07-01
ZUK NIR
Chief Technology Officer
$12.21M
@ $339.16 · 2024-07-01
JENKINS WILLIAM D JR
President
$500,202
@ $339.12 · 2024-07-01
PAUL JOSHUA D.
Officer
$67,600
@ $338.00 · 2024-07-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →LLY
😐Neutral(43/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PANW
😐Neutral(53/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
PANW
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (53)