Compare StocksLLY vs NFLX

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$917.50
VS
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
$91.74

Rewards

LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
NFLX
  • Netflix, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Netflix, Inc. scores 81/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 80.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

LLY
  • FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $330.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
NFLX
  • FCF yield of 6.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • 12 insider sales totaling $137.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
NFLX
Valuation
$5.96B
Free Cash Flow
$24.82B
0.73%
FCF Yield
6.38%
40.00
Trailing P/E
36.26
21.79
Forward P/E
23.87
Quality & Moat
32.84%
ROIC
20.09%
77.78%
ROE
41.26%
83.04%
Gross Margin
48.49%
0.78
PEG Ratio
1.11
Balance Sheet Safety
1.65
Debt / Equity
0.64
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.15
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.58
0.68%
Dividend Yield
N/A
LLY: 5Ties: 1NFLX: 5
LLYNFLX

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

NFLX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$27.47
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$613.62B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
NFLX
$10.54
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$25.10B
Δ Market Cap
+$264.55B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
12.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $917.50
Fair Value: $1048.80
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
NFLX
28.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 28.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $91.74
Fair Value: $128.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $918?

+17.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +35.1%

The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +35.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

NFLX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $92?

+15.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +4.7%

The market implies +15.8% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +4.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
NFLX
81/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by reinvestment efficiency. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
NFLX
-1.96
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.7%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders5,561
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
NFLX
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 83.8%Retail & Other 15.6%
No. of Institutional Holders4,579
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
NFLX
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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LLY
5
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$818,240
@ $818.24 · 2025-03-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$204.33M
@ $928.76 · 2025-03-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
NFLX
12
Sells (3M)
63
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $549.49M
HASTINGS REED
Director
$39.83M
@ $97.01 · 2026-03-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.78M
@ $97.00 · 2026-03-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$5.47M
@ $95.50 · 2026-02-27
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$259,253
@ $82.67 · 2026-02-10
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.27M
@ $83.24 · 2026-02-10
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$464,231
@ $81.06 · 2026-02-09
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$751,598
@ $81.27 · 2026-02-06
HASTINGS REED
Director
$32.70M
@ $83.63 · 2026-02-02
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.77M
@ $82.94 · 2026-01-29
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$2.07M
@ $88.11 · 2026-01-16
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
Director
$2.82M
@ $88.86 · 2026-01-15
HASTINGS REED
Director
$39.08M
@ $91.67 · 2026-01-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$40.71M
@ $108.43 · 2025-12-01
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$261,879
@ $1100.33 · 2025-11-06
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$34.60M
@ $1099.84 · 2025-11-04
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.21M
@ $1092.08 · 2025-11-04
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.22M
@ $1095.68 · 2025-11-04
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.59M
@ $1097.56 · 2025-11-03
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$269,200
@ $1121.67 · 2025-11-03
HASTINGS REED
Director
$45.28M
@ $1121.51 · 2025-10-31
HASTINGS REED
Director
$49.43M
@ $1171.92 · 2025-10-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.05M
@ $1172.51 · 2025-10-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$31.35M
@ $1207.71 · 2025-09-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.14M
@ $1207.76 · 2025-09-02
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$274,538
@ $1153.52 · 2025-08-06
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$795,432
@ $1161.21 · 2025-08-06
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$491,276
@ $1158.67 · 2025-08-05
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.35M
@ $1160.62 · 2025-08-05
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.34M
@ $1157.44 · 2025-08-05
HASTINGS REED
Director
$26.46M
@ $1162.45 · 2025-08-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.02M
@ $1162.40 · 2025-08-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$21.82M
@ $1295.78 · 2025-07-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$12.86M
@ $1329.11 · 2025-07-01
MASIYIWA STRIVE
Director
$387,597
@ $1336.54 · 2025-07-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.40M
@ $1307.22 · 2025-07-01
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$797,841
@ $1286.84 · 2025-06-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$273,480
@ $1290.00 · 2025-06-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$546,290
@ $1267.49 · 2025-06-24
MATHER ANN
Director
$1.36M
@ $1250.00 · 2025-06-05
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$816,070
@ $1251.64 · 2025-06-05
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$273,175
@ $1225.00 · 2025-06-03
HASTINGS REED
Director
$32.63M
@ $1211.66 · 2025-06-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.15M
@ $1211.67 · 2025-06-02
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$764,653
@ $1194.77 · 2025-05-27
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$545,210
@ $1172.49 · 2025-05-15
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
Director
$4.41M
@ $1124.26 · 2025-05-12
MASIYIWA STRIVE
Director
$1.13M
@ $1124.26 · 2025-05-12
MATHER ANN
Director
$1.56M
@ $1150.00 · 2025-05-09
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$339,124
@ $1138.00 · 2025-05-07
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$485,817
@ $1143.10 · 2025-05-06
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.31M
@ $1140.25 · 2025-05-06
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$782,915
@ $1141.28 · 2025-05-06
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.31M
@ $1141.51 · 2025-05-06
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$271,400
@ $1150.00 · 2025-05-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$30.57M
@ $1133.05 · 2025-05-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.95M
@ $1132.38 · 2025-05-01
DOPFNER MATHIAS
Director
$6.69M
@ $1112.65 · 2025-04-30
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$702,106
@ $1097.04 · 2025-04-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$848,491
@ $1047.52 · 2025-04-23
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$160,000
@ $1000.00 · 2025-04-21
HASTINGS REED
Officer and Director
$23.36M
@ $921.15 · 2025-04-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.40M
@ $921.72 · 2025-04-01
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$469,526
@ $978.18 · 2025-03-25
HASTINGS REED
Officer and Director
$29.93M
@ $981.92 · 2025-03-03
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.55M
@ $982.05 · 2025-03-03
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$635,027
@ $992.23 · 2025-02-26
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.73M
@ $1035.00 · 2025-02-13
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.09M
@ $1030.00 · 2025-02-10
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$14.88M
@ $1020.28 · 2025-02-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(43/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
NFLX
FearGreed
😨Fear(36/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
NFLX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (36)
View LLY Full AnalysisView NFLX Full Analysis