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Compare Stocks › LLY vs MU

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Micron Technology, Inc. (MU): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-08-03, LLY is undervalued at $1149, with a DCF intrinsic value of $1529604356065 and a margin of safety of 100%. MU is undervalued at $823, with an intrinsic value of $373478115132 and a margin of safety of 100%. Of the two, LLY has the wider margin of safety.

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$1148.84
VS
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
$823.03

Rewards

LLY
  • ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
MU
  • ★Gross margin of 72.6% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Trailing P/E of 18.6x is 66% below the historical average of 54.6x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • ★PEG ratio of 0.12 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

LLY
  • ⚠Insiders have sold $18.6M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
MU
  • ⚠Micron Technology, Inc. scores only 20/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • ⚠10 insider sales totaling $169.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 18.8% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
MU
Valuation
$9.16B
Free Cash Flow
$7.64B
N/A
FCF Yield
N/A
40.81
Trailing P/E
18.59
25.48
Forward P/E
5.29
Quality & Moat
37.80%
ROIC
53.52%
107.46%
ROE
66.64%
82.83%
Gross Margin
72.57%
1.61
PEG Ratio
0.12
Balance Sheet Safety
1.22
Net Debt / Equity
Net cash
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.05
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.29
0.60%
Dividend Yield
0.06%
LLY: 4Ties: 1MU: 6
LLYMU

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

MU

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$0.00
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$708.84
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MU
$0.00
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$1.95B
Δ Market Cap
+$235.43
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
100.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 100.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $1148.84
Fair Value: $1529604356065.14
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MU
100.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 100.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $823.03
Fair Value: $668217949904.16
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $1149?

-30.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -15.1%

The market implies -30.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -15.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

MU

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $823?

-30.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -30.0%

The market implies -30.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -30.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MU
20/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable competitive advantage detected. The business shows limited evidence of pricing power, consistent returns, or capital efficiency.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MU
-2.72
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.1%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,685
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MU
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 81.0%Retail & Other 18.7%
No. of Institutional Holders4,430
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MU
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $7.82M
LIU TEYIN MARK
Director
$7.82M
@ $337.14 · 2026-01-14
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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LLY
2
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.63B
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$2.88M
@ $1150.77 · 2026-06-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$15.75M
@ $995.36 · 2026-05-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.80M
@ $1030.87 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MU
10
Sells (3M)
39
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $341.35M
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$29.00M
@ $926.83 · 2026-07-24
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$8.29M
@ $951.72 · 2026-07-24
ALLEN SCOTT R
Officer
$879,000
@ $1000.00 · 2026-07-23
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$43.36M
@ $1083.94 · 2026-07-01
DUGLE LYNN A
Director
$1.50M
@ $1150.43 · 2026-06-30
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$13.57M
@ $1180.96 · 2026-06-26
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$32.76M
@ $1149.28 · 2026-06-26
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$35.96M
@ $960.38 · 2026-05-29
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$2.50M
@ $975.63 · 2026-05-29
GOMO STEVEN J
Director
$1.57M
@ $787.03 · 2026-05-11
RAY MICHAEL CHARLES
Officer
$4.06M
@ $534.30 · 2026-05-01
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$21.45M
@ $536.26 · 2026-05-01
CORDANO MICHAEL D
Officer
$1.48M
@ $435.00 · 2026-04-14
SADANA SUMIT
Officer
$10.11M
@ $421.35 · 2026-04-10
CORDANO MICHAEL D
Officer
$1.43M
@ $420.81 · 2026-04-09
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$13.90M
@ $347.39 · 2026-04-01
SADANA SUMIT
Officer
$10.75M
@ $429.89 · 2026-02-02
RAY MICHAEL CHARLES
Officer
$5.03M
@ $409.68 · 2026-01-27
BHATIA MANISH H
Officer
$10.41M
@ $391.04 · 2026-01-22
ALLEN SCOTT R
Officer
$675,000
@ $337.50 · 2026-01-06
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$4.16M
@ $277.09 · 2025-12-22
GOMO STEVEN J
Director
$1.32M
@ $263.63 · 2025-12-19
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$2.99M
@ $238.96 · 2025-11-07
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$5.13M
@ $228.03 · 2025-10-30
MURPHY MARK J
Chief Financial Officer
$28.39M
@ $225.31 · 2025-10-30
DEBOER SCOTT J.
Chief Technology Officer
$18.27M
@ $222.81 · 2025-10-27
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$4.97M
@ $220.72 · 2025-10-27
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$4.59M
@ $204.10 · 2025-10-21
ALLEN SCOTT R
Officer
$1.85M
@ $210.02 · 2025-10-20
RAY MICHAEL CHARLES
Officer
$742,384
@ $201.63 · 2025-10-16
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$7.14M
@ $190.47 · 2025-10-07
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$2.71M
@ $180.86 · 2025-10-01
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$2.46M
@ $164.04 · 2025-09-30
BEYER RICHARD M
Director
$864,335
@ $155.68 · 2025-09-25
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$2.44M
@ $162.84 · 2025-09-19
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$1.19M
@ $158.34 · 2025-09-16
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$2.20M
@ $146.43 · 2025-09-11
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$981,212
@ $130.83 · 2025-09-05
MCCARTHY MARY PAT
Director
$278,071
@ $115.67 · 2025-09-02
MURPHY MARK J
Chief Financial Officer
$3.72M
@ $109.32 · 2025-07-22
MCCARTHY MARY PAT
Director
$291,562
@ $121.28 · 2025-07-01
BHATIA MANISH H
Officer
$9.85M
@ $123.16 · 2025-06-30
SADANA SUMIT
Officer
$11.63M
@ $125.49 · 2025-06-27
GOMO STEVEN J
Director
$876,050
@ $125.15 · 2025-06-27
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$1.88M
@ $125.12 · 2025-06-24
DEBOER SCOTT J.
Chief Technology Officer
$2.50M
@ $125.11 · 2025-06-24
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$907,730
@ $121.03 · 2025-06-17
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$830,089
@ $110.68 · 2025-06-09
DEBOER SCOTT J.
Chief Technology Officer
$2.20M
@ $110.00 · 2025-06-06
MCCARTHY MARY PAT
Director
$192,320
@ $80.00 · 2025-05-02
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$1.44M
@ $96.18 · 2025-03-25
RAY MICHAEL CHARLES
Officer
$652,500
@ $100.00 · 2025-03-14
MCCARTHY MARY PAT
Director
$223,393
@ $92.93 · 2025-03-03
MEHROTRA SANJAY
Chief Executive Officer
$784,986
@ $104.66 · 2025-02-18
DEBOER SCOTT J.
Chief Technology Officer
$2.30M
@ $100.00 · 2025-02-14
RAY MICHAEL CHARLES
Officer
$652,500
@ $100.00 · 2025-02-14
ALLEN SCOTT R
Officer
$508,800
@ $101.76 · 2025-01-07
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$416,677
@ $85.21 · 2024-12-20
BOKAN MICHAEL W
Officer
$1.09M
@ $109.03 · 2024-10-21
ARNZEN APRIL S
Officer
$552,570
@ $113.00 · 2024-09-26
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MU
FearGreed
😨Fear(40/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
MU
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (40)
View LLY Full AnalysisView MU Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: LLY vs MU

Is Eli Lilly and Company or Micron Technology, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, LLY trades at a 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $1529604356065 vs. price $1149), compared to MU's 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic $373478115132 vs. $823).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Eli Lilly and Company or Micron Technology, Inc.?▼

LLY scores 73/100 (Wide moat), while MU scores 20/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is Micron Technology, Inc. in financial distress?▼

MU's Altman Z-Score of 1.9 places it in the Grey zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. LLY scores 2.0 (Grey zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Eli Lilly and Company or Micron Technology, Inc.?▼

MU earns 53.5% ROIC versus LLY's 37.8%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Eli Lilly and Company's or Micron Technology, Inc.'s?▼

MU's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to LLY's 64/100 (Safe). MU has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

LLY vs MU: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io