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Compare Stocks › LLY vs MCK

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs McKesson Corporation (MCK): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, LLY is fairly valued at $1099, with a DCF intrinsic value of $1143 and a margin of safety of 4%. MCK is undervalued at $751, with an intrinsic value of $1197 and a margin of safety of 37%. Of the two, MCK has the wider margin of safety.

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$1098.57
VS
MCK
McKesson Corporation
$750.63

Rewards

LLY
  • ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
MCK
  • ★McKesson Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★McKesson Corporation scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Share count has been reduced by 12% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.

Risks

LLY
  • ⚠FCF yield of 0.9% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • ⚠Insiders have sold $18.6M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
MCK
  • ⚠Gross margin of 3.6% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • ⚠FCF yield of 6.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • ⚠6 insider sales totaling $10.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
MCK
Valuation
$9.16B
Free Cash Flow
$5.66B
0.93%
FCF Yield
6.44%
39.00
Trailing P/E
19.54
24.69
Forward P/E
14.91
Quality & Moat
37.80%
ROIC
80.13%
107.46%
ROE
N/A
82.83%
Gross Margin
3.60%
1.50
PEG Ratio
1.53
Balance Sheet Safety
1.22
Net Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.05
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.70
0.56%
Dividend Yield
0.42%
LLY: 3Ties: 2MCK: 5
LLYMCK

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

MCK

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MCK
$2.71
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$10.02B
Δ Market Cap
+$27.11B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
3.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 3.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $1098.57
Fair Value: $1143.11
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MCK
37.3% Margin of Safety
Price is 37.3% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $750.63
Fair Value: $1197.47
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $1099?

+20.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +31.4%

The market implies +20.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +31.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

MCK

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $751?

+7.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +5.0%

The market implies +7.3% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +5.0%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MCK
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MCK
-2.38
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.3%Retail & Other 14.5%
No. of Institutional Holders5,580
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MCK
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 96.0%Retail & Other 3.9%
No. of Institutional Holders2,710
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MCK
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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LLY
2
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.86B
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$2.88M
@ $1150.77 · 2026-06-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$15.75M
@ $995.36 · 2026-05-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MCK
6
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $45.07M
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$3.76M
@ $763.00 · 2026-06-09
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
$101,612
@ $764.00 · 2026-06-05
RODGERS THOMAS L
Officer
$604,420
@ $735.30 · 2026-06-02
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$1.33M
@ $735.50 · 2026-06-01
RODGERS THOMAS L
Officer
$1.82M
@ $761.09 · 2026-05-26
LAU MICHELE
Officer
$2.70M
@ $761.09 · 2026-05-26
LAU MICHELE
Officer
$2.70M
@ $990.00 · 2026-03-02
MARTINEZ MARIA N.
Director
$328,013
@ $939.87 · 2026-02-19
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$179,550
@ $945.00 · 2026-02-17
LAU MICHELE
Officer
$282,817
@ $933.39 · 2026-02-11
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
$313,240
@ $955.00 · 2026-02-06
RODGERS THOMAS L
Officer
$225,266
@ $816.18 · 2026-01-05
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
$283,476
@ $861.63 · 2025-11-07
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$8.42M
@ $705.63 · 2025-08-22
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$8.09M
@ $677.76 · 2025-08-15
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
$218,347
@ $663.67 · 2025-08-08
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$13.72M
@ $708.09 · 2025-07-11
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$13.67M
@ $705.93 · 2025-06-06
RODGERS THOMAS L
Officer
$2.06M
@ $712.18 · 2025-05-30
RODGERS THOMAS L
Officer
$366,134
@ $717.91 · 2025-05-28
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
$68,201
@ $717.91 · 2025-05-28
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$244,807
@ $717.91 · 2025-05-28
VITALONE BRITT J
Chief Financial Officer
$1.35M
@ $717.91 · 2025-05-28
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
$749,360
@ $714.36 · 2025-05-27
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$115,154
@ $715.24 · 2025-05-23
VITALONE BRITT J
Chief Financial Officer
$523,556
@ $715.24 · 2025-05-23
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$895,190
@ $717.30 · 2025-05-22
VITALONE BRITT J
Chief Financial Officer
$4.54M
@ $717.30 · 2025-05-22
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
$394,495
@ $726.51 · 2025-05-19
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$5.68M
@ $634.24 · 2025-03-06
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$5.59M
@ $624.00 · 2025-02-28
LAU MICHELE
Officer
$188,760
@ $605.00 · 2025-02-25
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$5.36M
@ $597.99 · 2025-02-21
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$5.38M
@ $600.66 · 2025-02-14
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$114,603
@ $609.59 · 2025-02-12
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$331,645
@ $572.79 · 2025-01-02
SMITH LEANN B
Officer
$349,027
@ $602.81 · 2024-12-09
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$2.11M
@ $561.10 · 2024-09-05
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$2.35M
@ $626.03 · 2024-08-05
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$2.18M
@ $580.92 · 2024-07-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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LLY
FearGreed
😏Greed(61/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MCK
FearGreed
😐Neutral(45/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (61)
MCK
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (45)
View LLY Full AnalysisView MCK Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: LLY vs MCK

Is Eli Lilly and Company or McKesson Corporation more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, MCK trades at a 37.3% margin of safety (intrinsic value $1197 vs. price $751), compared to LLY's 3.9% margin of safety (intrinsic $1143 vs. $1099).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Eli Lilly and Company or McKesson Corporation?▼

MCK scores 89/100 (Wide moat), while LLY scores 73/100 (Wide moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Which company has better free cash flow, Eli Lilly and Company or McKesson Corporation?▼

McKesson Corporation (MCK) generates a 6.4% free cash flow yield, compared to Eli Lilly and Company's 0.9%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Eli Lilly and Company or McKesson Corporation?▼

MCK earns 80.1% ROIC versus LLY's 37.8%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Eli Lilly and Company's or McKesson Corporation's?▼

MCK's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to LLY's 64/100 (Safe). MCK has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

LLY vs MCK: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io