Compare StocksKMI vs LLY

Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) vs Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)

KMI
Kinder Morgan, Inc.
$32.30
VS
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$962.23

Rewards

KMI
  • PEG ratio of 0.60 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

KMI
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.3x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
  • Altman Z-Score of 1.14 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 6 insider sales with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
LLY
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.

Key Valuation Metrics

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KMI
LLY
Valuation
$2.89B
Free Cash Flow
$9.16B
4.02%
FCF Yield
1.06%
21.67
Trailing P/E
34.21
21.46
Forward P/E
22.03
Quality & Moat
6.39%
ROIC
37.80%
9.38%
ROE
66.16%
49.45%
Gross Margin
82.83%
0.60
PEG Ratio
0.20
Balance Sheet Safety
0.99
Debt / Equity
1.39
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.32
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.05
3.61%
Dividend Yield
0.65%
KMI: 4Ties: 2LLY: 6
KMILLY

Historical Fundamentals

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KMI

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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KMI
$55.46
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$370.0M
Δ Market Cap
+$20.52B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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KMI
245.7% Overvalued
Price is 245.7% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $32.30
Fair Value: $9.34
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
LLY
16.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 16.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $962.23
Fair Value: $1145.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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KMI

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $32?

+15.7%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $962?

+18.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.6%

The market implies +18.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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KMI
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though margin stability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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KMI
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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KMI
Insiders 12.8%Institutions 69.4%Retail & Other 17.9%
No. of Institutional Holders2,185
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.0%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,509
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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KMI
0
Buys (3M)
4
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $26.24M
SMITH WILLIAM A
Director
$89,236
@ $29.75 · 2026-02-02
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$112,443
@ $26.23 · 2025-10-31
KINDER RICHARD D
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
$25.96M
@ $25.96 · 2025-10-27
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$75,059
@ $27.21 · 2025-07-28
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$55,790
@ $24.90 · 2024-11-05
CHRONIS AMY W
Director
$200,986
@ $20.65 · 2024-08-02
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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KMI
6
Sells (3M)
19
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $7.45M
GARTHWAITE MICHAEL P
Divisional Officer
$49,168
@ $31.72 · 2026-04-16
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$203,071
@ $32.93 · 2026-04-06
GARTHWAITE MICHAEL P
Officer
$51,609
@ $33.30 · 2026-03-16
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$207,640
@ $33.67 · 2026-03-05
ASHLEY ANTHONY B
Officer
$255,560
@ $31.95 · 2026-02-17
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$185,523
@ $30.09 · 2026-02-05
MICHELS DAVID PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
$600,000
@ $30.00 · 2026-01-22
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$169,491
@ $27.49 · 2026-01-05
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$171,476
@ $27.81 · 2025-12-05
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$166,482
@ $27.00 · 2025-11-10
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$173,709
@ $28.17 · 2025-10-06
GRAHMANN KEVIN P
Officer
$658,908
@ $27.61 · 2025-09-15
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$166,482
@ $27.00 · 2025-09-08
SANDERS DAX A
Officer
$814,999
@ $27.05 · 2025-08-11
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$171,446
@ $27.81 · 2025-08-05
MICHELS DAVID PATRICK
Chief Financial Officer
$1.13M
@ $28.19 · 2025-08-04
MODY SITAL K
Officer
$1.27M
@ $27.96 · 2025-08-01
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$508,676
@ $28.26 · 2025-06-04
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$496,255
@ $27.57 · 2025-05-07
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$479,018
@ $26.61 · 2025-03-05
SCHLOSSER JOHN W
Officer
$2.01M
@ $26.65 · 2025-02-18
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$498,521
@ $27.70 · 2025-02-05
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$502,294
@ $27.91 · 2025-01-02
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$492,079
@ $27.34 · 2024-12-04
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$502,530
@ $26.28 · 2024-11-06
SANDERS DAX A
Officer
$1.11M
@ $21.00 · 2024-08-14
MODY SITAL K
Officer
$529,553
@ $21.04 · 2024-08-01
MARTIN THOMAS A
President
$2.10M
@ $21.01 · 2024-08-01
MODY SITAL K
Officer
$455,078
@ $21.25 · 2024-07-24
SANDERS DAX A
Officer
$987,515
@ $19.75 · 2024-05-21
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
LLY
0
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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KMI
FearGreed
😏Greed(62/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(56/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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KMI
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (62)
LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (56)
View KMI Full AnalysisView LLY Full Analysis