Compare StocksJPM vs PAYX

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) vs Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$287.97
VS
PAYX
Paychex, Inc.
$91.71

Rewards

JPM
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.95 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
PAYX
  • Paychex, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 73.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Paychex, Inc. scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

JPM
  • Gross margin of 0.0% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. scores only 18/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.30 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
PAYX
  • FCF yield of 6.2% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →
JPM
PAYX
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$2.06B
N/A
FCF Yield
6.25%
14.39
Trailing P/E
20.75
12.26
Forward P/E
15.52
Quality & Moat
5.32%
ROIC
22.27%
N/A
ROE
42.71%
0.00%
Gross Margin
73.36%
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
N/A
Debt / Equity
1.30
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.23
2.08%
Dividend Yield
4.71%
JPM: 2Ties: 1PAYX: 3
JPMPAYX

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →
JPM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

PAYX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →
JPM
$3.95
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$120.20B
Δ Market Cap
+$475.31B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PAYX
$-1.19
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$966.2M
Δ Market Cap
$-1.15B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →
JPM
46.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 46.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $287.97
Fair Value: $538.22
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PAYX
3.1% Overvalued
Price is 3.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $91.71
Fair Value: $88.99
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →
JPM

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

PAYX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $92?

+9.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +6.1%

The market implies +9.0% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +6.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →
JPM
18/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
PAYX
94/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →
JPM
-2.17
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PAYX
-2.93
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →
JPM
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 75.0%Retail & Other 24.6%
No. of Institutional Holders6,240
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PAYX
Insiders 10.4%Institutions 84.6%Retail & Other 5.1%
No. of Institutional Holders2,063
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →
JPM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PAYX
2
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $197,258
DOODY JOSEPH G
Director
$98,760
@ $98.76 · 2026-02-04
BONADIO THOMAS F
Director
$98,498
@ $98.50 · 2026-02-04
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
JPM
12
Sells (3M)
30
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $104.76M
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$132,684
@ $307.14 · 2026-02-19
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$15.36M
@ $307.11 · 2026-02-19
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$886,157
@ $306.42 · 2026-02-17
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$627,207
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.76M
@ $306.41 · 2026-02-17
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.07M
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$2.68M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$904,890
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$640,295
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.79M
@ $312.78 · 2026-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.09M
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$2.30M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$301,311
@ $311.92 · 2025-11-07
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.83M
@ $297.94 · 2025-09-02
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.39M
@ $267.44 · 2025-06-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.61M
@ $262.47 · 2025-06-05
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$1.57M
@ $267.09 · 2025-05-16
LAKE MARIANNE
Officer
$3.28M
@ $267.08 · 2025-05-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$2.71M
@ $266.89 · 2025-05-15
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$3.69M
@ $262.54 · 2025-05-13
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.37M
@ $262.53 · 2025-05-13
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$3.29M
@ $263.08 · 2025-05-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.54M
@ $250.76 · 2025-05-06
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$10.03M
@ $250.77 · 2025-05-06
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.38M
@ $250.00 · 2025-05-06
DIMON JAMES
Chief Executive Officer
$31.50M
@ $235.68 · 2025-04-14
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$308,652
@ $246.92 · 2025-03-24
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.06M
@ $247.03 · 2025-03-24
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$6.18M
@ $247.02 · 2025-03-24
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$506,698
@ $246.93 · 2025-03-24
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$337,610
@ $270.09 · 2025-02-20
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.15M
@ $269.85 · 2025-02-20
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$10.12M
@ $269.84 · 2025-02-20
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$554,054
@ $269.88 · 2025-02-20
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$919,371
@ $278.34 · 2025-02-18
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.47M
@ $278.37 · 2025-02-18
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$971,646
@ $278.41 · 2025-02-18
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$838,778
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.34M
@ $253.97 · 2025-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.81M
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$886,565
@ $253.96 · 2025-01-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PAYX
0
Sells (3M)
6
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $22.06M
SCHRADER ROBERT L.
Chief Financial Officer
$444,391
@ $140.63 · 2025-07-16
SIMMONS CHRISTOPHER C
Officer and Treasurer
$259,826
@ $140.98 · 2025-07-16
GIBSON JOHN B JR
Chief Executive Officer
$1.76M
@ $141.92 · 2025-07-16
MUCCI MARTIN
Chairman of the Board
$14.16M
@ $145.17 · 2025-07-10
VELLI JOSEPH M
Director
$544,762
@ $149.25 · 2025-04-15
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$4.89M
@ $154.59 · 2025-04-03
BOTTINI MARK ANTHONY
Officer
$6.65M
@ $141.87 · 2024-10-16
SCHRADER ROBERT L.
Chief Financial Officer
$1.85M
@ $142.35 · 2024-10-15
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$3.67M
@ $139.03 · 2024-10-09
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$2.05M
@ $139.18 · 2024-10-04
DOODY JOSEPH G
Director
$1.13M
@ $130.69 · 2024-08-26
SIMMONS CHRISTOPHER C
Officer and Treasurer
$293,797
@ $125.34 · 2024-08-16
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$1.81M
@ $125.21 · 2024-08-05
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$1.21M
@ $125.60 · 2024-07-26
BOTTINI MARK ANTHONY
Officer
$1.11M
@ $123.60 · 2024-07-24
GIBSON JOHN B JR
Chief Executive Officer
$1.51M
@ $119.53 · 2024-07-15
MUCCI MARTIN
Chairman of the Board
$21.93M
@ $117.04 · 2024-07-02
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$2.45M
@ $124.55 · 2024-05-24
VELLI JOSEPH M
Director
$1.35M
@ $124.28 · 2024-05-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
JPM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(51/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PAYX
FearGreed
😨Fear(32/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
JPM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)
PAYX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (32)
View JPM Full AnalysisView PAYX Full Analysis
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) vs Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io