Compare Stocks › ITW vs JPM
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) vs JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
$260.62
VS
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$287.97
Rewards
ITW
- ★Illinois Tool Works Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Illinois Tool Works Inc. scores 95/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 11.8% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
JPM
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.95 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
Risks
ITW
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.9% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠PEG ratio of 3.40 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
- ⚠High leverage (2.86x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
JPM
- ⚠Gross margin of 0.0% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
- ⚠JPMorgan Chase & Co. scores only 18/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.30 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →ITW
JPM
Valuation
$2.17B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
2.88%
FCF Yield
N/A
24.82
Trailing P/E
14.39
21.44
Forward P/E
12.26
Quality & Moat
27.26%
ROIC
5.32%
95.04%
ROE
N/A
44.10%
Gross Margin
0.00%
3.40
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
2.86
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.80
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
2.47%
Dividend Yield
2.08%
ITW: 3Ties: 1JPM: 2
ITWJPM
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →ITW
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
JPM
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →ITW
$0.88
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$4.42B
Δ Market Cap
+$3.89B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
JPM
$3.95
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$120.20B
Δ Market Cap
+$475.31B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →ITW
29.8% Overvalued
Price is 29.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $260.62
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $200.74
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
JPM
46.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 46.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $287.97
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $538.22
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →ITW
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $261?
+11.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +16.6%
The market implies +11.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +16.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
JPM
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →ITW
95/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
JPM
18/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →ITW
-2.44
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
JPM
-2.17
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →ITW
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 85.9%Retail & Other 13.7%
No. of Institutional Holders2,394
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
JPM
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 75.0%Retail & Other 24.6%
No. of Institutional Holders6,240
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →ITW
0
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.57M
SMITH DAVID BYRON JR.
Director
$1.68M
@ $250.13 · 2025-12-10
SMITH DAVID BYRON JR.
Director
$1.68M
@ $250.13 · 2025-12-10
SMITH DAVID BYRON JR.
Director
$210,292
@ $241.16 · 2025-06-02
SMITH DAVID BYRON JR.
Director
$174,752
@ $275.20 · 2024-12-09
SMITH DAVID BYRON JR.
Director
$185,086
@ $238.82 · 2024-06-13
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
JPM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →ITW
3
Sells (3M)
5
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $57.13M
LAWLER MARY KATHERINE
Officer
$5.04M
@ $291.90 · 2026-02-06
BECK AXEL
Officer
$1.23M
@ $290.22 · 2026-02-05
SANTI ERNEST SCOTT
Director
$48.69M
@ $290.93 · 2026-02-04
STROBEL PAMELA B
Director
$373,025
@ $245.25 · 2025-11-05
SCHEUNEMAN RANDALL J
Officer
$1.80M
@ $265.08 · 2025-09-11
LARSEN MICHAEL M
Chief Financial Officer
$11.25M
@ $271.25 · 2025-03-07
O HERLIHY CHRISTOPHER A
Chief Executive Officer
$13.29M
@ $274.36 · 2025-03-07
SANTI ERNEST SCOTT
Director
$19.44M
@ $264.67 · 2025-02-20
SANTI ERNEST SCOTT
Director
$18.43M
@ $263.30 · 2025-02-19
LAWLER MARY KATHERINE
Officer
$3.18M
@ $272.95 · 2024-11-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
JPM
12
Sells (3M)
30
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $104.76M
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$132,684
@ $307.14 · 2026-02-19
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$15.36M
@ $307.11 · 2026-02-19
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$886,157
@ $306.42 · 2026-02-17
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$627,207
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.76M
@ $306.41 · 2026-02-17
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.07M
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$2.68M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$904,890
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$640,295
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.79M
@ $312.78 · 2026-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.09M
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$2.30M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$301,311
@ $311.92 · 2025-11-07
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.83M
@ $297.94 · 2025-09-02
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.39M
@ $267.44 · 2025-06-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.61M
@ $262.47 · 2025-06-05
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$1.57M
@ $267.09 · 2025-05-16
LAKE MARIANNE
Officer
$3.28M
@ $267.08 · 2025-05-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$2.71M
@ $266.89 · 2025-05-15
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$3.69M
@ $262.54 · 2025-05-13
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.37M
@ $262.53 · 2025-05-13
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$3.29M
@ $263.08 · 2025-05-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.54M
@ $250.76 · 2025-05-06
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$10.03M
@ $250.77 · 2025-05-06
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.38M
@ $250.00 · 2025-05-06
DIMON JAMES
Chief Executive Officer
$31.50M
@ $235.68 · 2025-04-14
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$308,652
@ $246.92 · 2025-03-24
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.06M
@ $247.03 · 2025-03-24
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$6.18M
@ $247.02 · 2025-03-24
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$506,698
@ $246.93 · 2025-03-24
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$337,610
@ $270.09 · 2025-02-20
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.15M
@ $269.85 · 2025-02-20
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$10.12M
@ $269.84 · 2025-02-20
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$554,054
@ $269.88 · 2025-02-20
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$919,371
@ $278.34 · 2025-02-18
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.47M
@ $278.37 · 2025-02-18
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$971,646
@ $278.41 · 2025-02-18
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$838,778
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.34M
@ $253.97 · 2025-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.81M
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$886,565
@ $253.96 · 2025-01-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →ITW
😐Neutral(48/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
JPM
😐Neutral(51/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →ITW
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
JPM
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)