Compare Stocks › IR vs ORCL

Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-08-03, IR is undervalued at $83, with a DCF intrinsic value of $18513221898 and a margin of safety of 100%. ORCL is undervalued at $130, with an intrinsic value of $404 and a margin of safety of 68%. Of the two, IR has the wider margin of safety.

Ingersoll Rand Inc.

$83.38

ORCL

Oracle Corporation

$129.87

Rewards

★Free cash flow has grown at a 16.8% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
★Trailing P/E of 34.5x is 20% below the historical average of 43.3x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
★PEG ratio of 0.80 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

ORCL

★Gross margin of 65.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.80 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

⚠Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.05 of earning power — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
⚠Altman Z-Score of 1.07 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
⚠14 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.

ORCL

⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
⚠High leverage (3.15x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.4x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ORCL

Valuation

$1.11B

Free Cash Flow

$-24.54B

N/A

FCF Yield

-6.56%

34.45

Trailing P/E

22.28

21.54

Forward P/E

11.93

Quality & Moat

6.99%

ROIC

9.15%

9.47%

ROE

53.38%

42.82%

Gross Margin

65.82%

0.80

PEG Ratio

0.73

Balance Sheet Safety

0.36

Net Debt / Equity

3.15

N/A

Interest Coverage

N/A

1.85

Net Debt / EBITDA

4.44

0.10%

Dividend Yield

1.54%

IR: 3Ties: 1ORCL: 7

IRORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

ORCL

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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$0.00

created per $1 retained over 3 years

Value Destroyer

Σ Retained

$2.10B

Δ Market Cap

+$26.97

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

ORCL

$3.51

created per $1 retained over 3 years

Exceptional Value Creator

Σ Retained

$25.08B

Δ Market Cap

+$87.99B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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100.0% Margin of Safety

Price is 100.0% below estimated fair value

Current Price: $83.38

Strongly undervalued

Fairly valued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $18513221897.85

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

ORCL

67.8% Margin of Safety

Price is 67.8% below estimated fair value

Current Price: $129.87

Strongly undervalued

Fairly valued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $403.51

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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What growth rate is the market pricing in at $83?

-16.1%

Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth

Standard FCF implies -18.7%

The market implies -16.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -18.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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59/100

Narrow Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

ORCL

67/100

Narrow Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving reinvestment efficiency would strengthen the moat.

Forensic Accounting

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-2.55

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

ORCL

-2.58

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Ownership Breakdown

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Insiders 0.2%Institutions 107.3%

No. of Institutional Holders1,260

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

ORCL

Insiders 40.5%Institutions 43.9%Retail & Other 15.6%

No. of Institutional Holders4,502

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

No open market insider purchases found.

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

ORCL

Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON

Director

$112,258

@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07

MOORMAN CHARLES W IV

Director

$947,913

@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $59.54M

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$2.68M

@ $88.00 · 2026-04-13

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$11.11M

@ $94.11 · 2026-03-02

KINI VIKRAM

Chief Financial Officer

$2.74M

@ $96.50 · 2026-02-20

HUMPHREY JOHN R.

Director

$412,370

@ $95.90 · 2026-02-19

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$90,000

@ $100.00 · 2026-02-18

SCHESKE MICHAEL J

Officer

$1.87M

@ $97.67 · 2026-02-17

KEENE KATHLEEN M

Officer

$1.19M

@ $99.46 · 2026-02-17

SCHIESL ANDREW R

General Counsel

$1.76M

@ $98.00 · 2026-02-17

HEPDING ELIZABETH MELOY

Officer

$1.77M

@ $97.11 · 2026-02-17

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$9.17M

@ $99.25 · 2026-02-17

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$44,000

@ $100.00 · 2026-02-11

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$9.75M

@ $97.54 · 2026-02-04

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$16.83M

@ $88.12 · 2026-01-16

SCHESKE MICHAEL J

Officer

$119,086

@ $80.63 · 2025-12-01

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$3.21M

@ $83.03 · 2025-05-20

HEPDING ELIZABETH MELOY

Officer

$293,230

@ $83.78 · 2025-05-14

SCHIESL ANDREW R

General Counsel

$976,316

@ $84.90 · 2025-05-13

SCHIESL ANDREW R

General Counsel

$1.15M

@ $87.05 · 2025-02-18

SCHIESL ANDREW R

General Counsel

$2.30M

@ $95.08 · 2024-11-05

SCHESKE MICHAEL J

Officer

$246,621

@ $97.44 · 2024-11-05

KEENE KATHLEEN M

Officer

$420,673

@ $90.00 · 2024-08-28

HEPDING ELIZABETH MELOY

Officer

$685,650

@ $91.42 · 2024-08-21

REYNAL VICENTE

Chief Executive Officer

$4.63M

@ $92.51 · 2024-08-15

SCHIESL ANDREW R

General Counsel

$2.16M

@ $90.05 · 2024-08-09

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

ORCL

Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $126.77M

HENLEY JEFFREY O

Officer and Director

$63.66M

@ $159.16 · 2026-06-24

LEVEY STUART A

Officer

$2.64M

@ $176.19 · 2026-04-16

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Chief Executive Officer

$1.55M

@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09

KEHRING DOUGLAS A

Officer

$6.82M

@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15

HURA MARK

Officer

$2.95M

@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$437,064

@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Chief Executive Officer

$1.93M

@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19

SMITH MARIA

Officer

$2.80M

@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Chief Executive Officer

$11.07M

@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21

LEVEY STUART A

Officer

$5.93M

@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$641,958

@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26

SICILIA MICHAEL D

Officer

$10.87M

@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23

SICILIA MICHAEL D

Officer

$5.12M

@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

President

$6.31M

@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12

SICILIA MICHAEL D

Officer

$4.04M

@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$770,656

@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16

SMITH MARIA

Officer

$2.33M

@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$267.24M

@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$794.64M

@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$764.01M

@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Officer

$3.21M

@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17

CONRADES GEORGE HENRY

Director

$1.74M

@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$428,562

@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$291,620

@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$705.46M

@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24

SMITH MARIA

Officer

$1.04M

@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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😐Neutral(52/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

ORCL

😨Fear(33/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)

ORCL

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (33)

View IR Full Analysis View ORCL Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: IR vs ORCL

Is Ingersoll Rand Inc. or Oracle Corporation more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, IR trades at a 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $18513221898 vs. price $83), compared to ORCL's 67.8% margin of safety (intrinsic $404 vs. $130).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Ingersoll Rand Inc. or Oracle Corporation?▼

ORCL scores 67/100 (Narrow moat), while IR scores 59/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is Ingersoll Rand Inc. in financial distress?▼

IR's Altman Z-Score of 1.1 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. ORCL scores 1.6 (Distress zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Ingersoll Rand Inc. or Oracle Corporation?▼

ORCL earns 9.2% ROIC versus IR's 7.0%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Ingersoll Rand Inc.'s or Oracle Corporation's?▼

IR's dividend earns a safety score of 85/100 (Very Safe), compared to ORCL's 79/100 (Safe). IR has raised its dividend for 0 consecutive years.