Compare Stocks › IP vs ORCL
International Paper Company (IP) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
IP
International Paper Company
$34.00
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52
Rewards
IP
- ★3 insider purchases totaling $4.0M with no sells in the past 3 months — insiders are putting their own money in.
- ★Market sentiment is in extreme fear territory (score: 19/100) — historically, periods of fear have often presented buying opportunities.
ORCL
- ★Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
IP
- ⚠ROIC has declined by 9.7 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
- ⚠International Paper Company scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
- ⚠Share count has increased by 51% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
ORCL
- ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
- ⚠High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →IP
ORCL
Valuation
$553.25M
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
3.07%
FCF Yield
-4.99%
N/A
Trailing P/E
27.92
11.70
Forward P/E
19.51
Quality & Moat
4.77%
ROIC
8.22%
-23.71%
ROE
31.86%
29.74%
Gross Margin
67.08%
N/A
PEG Ratio
1.14
Balance Sheet Safety
0.71
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.38
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
5.44%
Dividend Yield
1.29%
IP: 6Ties: 1ORCL: 3
IPORCL
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →IP
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
ORCL
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →IP
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-4.93B
Δ Market Cap
+$8.67B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →IP
41.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 41.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $34.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $58.23
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Strongly undervalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →IP
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $34?
+20.1%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate
Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.
ORCL
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →IP
17/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →IP
-2.71
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →IP
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 102.4%
No. of Institutional Holders1,184
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →IP
3
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.01M
GUSTAFSSON PER ANDERS
Director
$1.00M
@ $38.33 · 2026-03-12
CONNOR CHRISTOPHER M
Director
$1.01M
@ $40.37 · 2026-01-30
SILVERNAIL ANDREW K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.00M
@ $39.98 · 2026-01-30
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →IP
0
Sells (3M)
2
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $746,159
SAAB JOSEPH R
General Counsel
$409,815
@ $45.53 · 2025-09-16
GOUGHNOUR HOLLY G
Officer
$336,344
@ $44.85 · 2025-05-05
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$35,034
@ $58.39 · 2024-11-29
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$33,714
@ $56.19 · 2024-11-15
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$32,100
@ $53.50 · 2024-10-31
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$28,848
@ $48.08 · 2024-10-15
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$29,208
@ $48.68 · 2024-09-30
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$29,688
@ $49.48 · 2024-09-16
SAAB JOSEPH R
General Counsel
$115,412
@ $47.30 · 2024-09-12
GOUGHNOUR HOLLY G
Officer
$236,100
@ $47.22 · 2024-09-06
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$28,740
@ $47.90 · 2024-08-30
ELLIS CLAYTON R
Officer
$439,470
@ $48.83 · 2024-08-28
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$27,660
@ $46.10 · 2024-08-15
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$27,756
@ $46.26 · 2024-07-31
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$26,208
@ $43.68 · 2024-07-15
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$25,662
@ $42.77 · 2024-06-28
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$27,066
@ $45.11 · 2024-06-14
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$26,748
@ $44.58 · 2024-05-31
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$23,946
@ $39.91 · 2024-05-15
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$20,964
@ $34.94 · 2024-04-30
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$22,668
@ $37.78 · 2024-04-15
SULLIVAN KATHRYN D.
Director
$23,352
@ $38.92 · 2024-04-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →IP
🥶Extreme Fear(19/100)
"Mr. Market is panicking — potential buying opportunity if fundamentals are strong"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
😨Fear(39/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →IP
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Extreme Fear (19)
ORCL
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)