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Intel Corporation (INTC) vs Textron Inc. (TXT): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, INTC is overvalued at $134, with a DCF intrinsic value of $8 and a margin of safety of -1513%. TXT is undervalued at $89, with an intrinsic value of $134 and a margin of safety of 33%. Of the two, TXT has the wider margin of safety.

INTC
Intel Corporation
$133.99
VS
TXT
Textron Inc.
$89.47

Rewards

INTC
    TXT
    • Share count has been reduced by 15% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.

    Risks

    INTC
    • Intel Corporation scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
    • Share count has increased by 21% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
    • Insiders have sold $6.5M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
    TXT
    • Gross margin of 17.8% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
    • Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.15 of earning power — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
    • FCF yield of 6.0% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    INTC
    TXT
    Valuation
    $-8.30B
    Free Cash Flow
    $929.00M
    -1.23%
    FCF Yield
    5.97%
    N/A
    Trailing P/E
    17.07
    86.70
    Forward P/E
    12.26
    Quality & Moat
    1.72%
    ROIC
    7.87%
    -2.91%
    ROE
    12.25%
    37.20%
    Gross Margin
    17.84%
    1.36
    PEG Ratio
    1.21
    Balance Sheet Safety
    0.10
    Net Debt / Equity
    0.34
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    0.86
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.61
    0.00%
    Dividend Yield
    0.09%
    INTC: 3Ties: 1TXT: 7
    INTCTXT

    Historical Fundamentals

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    INTC

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    TXT

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    INTC
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-22.02B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$74.94B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    TXT
    $0.23
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Value Destroyer
    Σ Retained
    $2.62B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$595.6M
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    INTC
    Insufficient Data
    Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
    Current Price: $133.99
    Fair Value: $0.00
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    TXT
    33.0% Margin of Safety
    Price is 33.0% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $89.47
    Fair Value: $133.63
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    INTC

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    TXT

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $89?

    +7.3%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +7.5%

    The market implies +7.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

    Standard FCF implies a demanding +7.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

    Economic Moat Score

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    INTC
    17/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
    TXT
    53/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    INTC
    -2.83
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    TXT
    -2.66
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    INTC
    Insiders 14.7%Institutions 64.0%Retail & Other 21.2%
    No. of Institutional Holders3,349
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    TXT
    Insiders 0.7%Institutions 91.3%Retail & Other 8.0%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,057
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    INTC
    0
    Buys (3M)
    1
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $249,985
    ZINSNER DAVID A
    Chief Financial Officer
    $249,985
    @ $42.50 · 2026-01-26
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,198
    @ $22.53 · 2024-11-04
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,946
    @ $20.16 · 2024-08-05
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    TXT
    1
    Buys (3M)
    2
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $990,389
    KENNEDY THOMAS A
    Director
    $988,594
    @ $95.98 · 2026-05-01
    LUPONE E ROBERT
    General Counsel
    $1,795
    @ $81.59 · 2025-10-27
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    INTC
    2
    Sells (3M)
    3
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $7.47M
    CHANDRASEKARAN NAGASUBRAMANIYAN
    Chief Technology Officer
    $2.49M
    @ $118.28 · 2026-05-29
    MILLER BOISE APRIL
    Officer
    $4.01M
    @ $99.53 · 2026-05-01
    MILLER BOISE APRIL
    Officer
    $981,000
    @ $49.05 · 2026-02-02
    HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
    General Counsel
    $650,000
    @ $26.00 · 2024-11-07
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    TXT
    1
    Sells (3M)
    7
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $32.48M
    CLARK RONALD KERRY
    Director
    $234,308
    @ $93.09 · 2026-05-06
    BAMFORD MARK S
    Officer
    $2.88M
    @ $98.19 · 2026-02-17
    LUPONE E ROBERT
    General Counsel
    $2.77M
    @ $98.84 · 2026-02-17
    DONNELLY SCOTT C
    Officer and Director
    $21.61M
    @ $98.41 · 2026-02-13
    DUFFY JULIE GULLEN
    Officer
    $1.96M
    @ $98.70 · 2026-02-13
    ATHERTON LISA M
    Chief Executive Officer
    $749,968
    @ $98.68 · 2026-02-13
    DUFFY JULIE GULLEN
    Officer
    $2.27M
    @ $79.37 · 2025-07-25
    BAMFORD MARK S
    Officer
    $543,179
    @ $72.90 · 2025-02-25
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    INTC
    FearGreed
    😏Greed(65/100)

    "Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    TXT
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(52/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    INTC
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (65)
    TXT
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)
    View INTC Full AnalysisView TXT Full Analysis

    Frequently Asked Questions: INTC vs TXT

    Is Intel Corporation or Textron Inc. more undervalued in 2026?

    Based on our discounted cash flow model, TXT trades at a 33.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $134 vs. price $89), compared to INTC's -1512.6% margin of safety (intrinsic $8 vs. $134).

    Which stock has a wider economic moat, Intel Corporation or Textron Inc.?

    TXT scores 53/100 (Narrow moat), while INTC scores 17/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

    Is Intel Corporation in financial distress?

    INTC's Altman Z-Score of 2.1 places it in the Grey zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. TXT scores 2.6 (Grey zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

    Which company has better free cash flow, Intel Corporation or Textron Inc.?

    Textron Inc. (TXT) generates a 6.0% free cash flow yield, compared to Intel Corporation's -1.2%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

    Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Intel Corporation or Textron Inc.?

    TXT earns 7.9% ROIC versus INTC's 1.7%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

    INTC vs TXT: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io