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Intel Corporation (INTC) vs Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)

INTC
Intel Corporation
$46.18
VS
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
$714.15

Rewards

INTC
    NOC
    • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 31.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

    Risks

    INTC
    • ⚠Intel Corporation scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
    NOC
    • ⚠Gross margin of 19.8% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
    • ⚠FCF yield of 2.8% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
    • ⚠13 insider sales totaling $26.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    INTC
    NOC
    Valuation
    $-4.50B
    Free Cash Flow
    $2.90B
    -1.95%
    FCF Yield
    2.85%
    N/A
    Trailing P/E
    24.57
    46.59
    Forward P/E
    23.78
    Quality & Moat
    1.24%
    ROIC
    15.85%
    -0.21%
    ROE
    25.08%
    36.56%
    Gross Margin
    19.82%
    N/A
    PEG Ratio
    1.62
    Balance Sheet Safety
    0.37
    Debt / Equity
    1.07
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    0.77
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.98
    N/A
    Dividend Yield
    1.29%
    INTC: 3Ties: 1NOC: 5
    INTCNOC

    Historical Fundamentals

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    INTC

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    NOC

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    INTC
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-22.02B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$74.94B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    NOC
    $-0.38
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Market Cap Declined
    Σ Retained
    $6.82B
    Δ Market Cap
    $-2.60B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    INTC
    Insufficient Data
    Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
    Current Price: $46.18
    Fair Value: $0.00
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    NOC
    28.5% Overvalued
    Price is 28.5% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $714.15
    Fair Value: $555.65
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    INTC

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    NOC

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $714?

    +12.1%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +17.1%

    The market implies +12.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

    Standard FCF implies a demanding +17.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

    Economic Moat Score

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    INTC
    17/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
    NOC
    68/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    INTC
    -2.59
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    NOC
    -2.45
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    INTC
    Insiders 4.4%Institutions 62.0%Retail & Other 33.6%
    No. of Institutional Holders3,156
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    NOC
    Insiders 0.2%Institutions 83.5%Retail & Other 16.3%
    No. of Institutional Holders2,192
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    INTC
    1
    Buys (3M)
    1
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $249,985
    ZINSNER DAVID A
    Chief Financial Officer
    $249,985
    @ $42.50 · 2026-01-26
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,198
    @ $22.53 · 2024-11-04
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,946
    @ $20.16 · 2024-08-05
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $124,173
    @ $30.29 · 2024-05-01
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $125,674
    @ $31.42 · 2024-04-29
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    NOC
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    No open market insider purchases found.
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    INTC
    1
    Sells (3M)
    1
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $981,000
    MILLER BOISE APRIL
    Officer
    $981,000
    @ $49.05 · 2026-02-02
    HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
    General Counsel
    $650,000
    @ $26.00 · 2024-11-07
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    NOC
    13
    Sells (3M)
    25
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $35.39M
    SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
    General Counsel
    $650,385
    @ $745.00 · 2026-03-02
    ROEDER ROSHAN S.
    Officer
    $1.26M
    @ $720.00 · 2026-02-27
    HARDESTY MICHAEL A
    Officer
    $107,748
    @ $732.98 · 2026-02-19
    ROEDER ROSHAN S.
    Officer
    $372,541
    @ $727.62 · 2026-02-19
    SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
    General Counsel
    $141,158
    @ $727.62 · 2026-02-19
    DAVIES BENJAMIN R
    Officer
    $1.58M
    @ $719.62 · 2026-02-18
    HARDESTY MICHAEL A
    Officer
    $501,609
    @ $701.55 · 2026-02-17
    ROEDER ROSHAN S.
    Officer
    $223,414
    @ $702.56 · 2026-02-17
    SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
    General Counsel
    $547,294
    @ $702.56 · 2026-02-17
    HARDESTY MICHAEL A
    Officer
    $550,411
    @ $702.95 · 2026-02-13
    WARDEN KATHY J
    Chief Executive Officer
    $14.18M
    @ $708.82 · 2026-02-06
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $65,029
    @ $684.52 · 2026-02-02
    WARDEN KATHY J
    Chief Executive Officer
    $6.04M
    @ $604.50 · 2026-01-06
    ROEDER ROSHAN S.
    Officer
    $46,649
    @ $555.35 · 2025-12-09
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $54,716
    @ $564.08 · 2025-11-24
    JONES THOMAS H.
    Officer
    $382,725
    @ $525.00 · 2025-07-17
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $16,720
    @ $506.67 · 2025-07-07
    JONES THOMAS H.
    Officer
    $368,706
    @ $505.77 · 2025-06-13
    FLEMING ROBERT J
    Officer
    $1.77M
    @ $505.77 · 2025-06-13
    WARDEN KATHY J
    Chief Executive Officer
    $5.65M
    @ $502.18 · 2025-06-13
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $16,120
    @ $488.48 · 2025-06-05
    ROEDER ROSHAN S.
    Officer
    $485,590
    @ $490.00 · 2025-06-04
    JONES THOMAS H.
    Officer
    $349,920
    @ $480.00 · 2025-05-30
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $16,293
    @ $493.73 · 2025-05-05
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $15,850
    @ $480.30 · 2025-04-07
    WARDEN KATHY J
    Chief Executive Officer
    $1.78M
    @ $475.65 · 2025-03-06
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $15,631
    @ $473.67 · 2025-03-05
    DAVIES BENJAMIN R
    Officer
    $213,788
    @ $460.75 · 2025-02-28
    HARDESTY MICHAEL A
    Officer
    $875,873
    @ $453.59 · 2025-02-24
    SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
    General Counsel
    $444,098
    @ $429.08 · 2025-02-20
    DAVIES BENJAMIN R
    Officer
    $82,383
    @ $429.08 · 2025-02-20
    SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
    General Counsel
    $395,916
    @ $445.35 · 2025-02-18
    DAVIES BENJAMIN R
    Officer
    $130,488
    @ $445.35 · 2025-02-18
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $15,843
    @ $480.09 · 2025-02-05
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $15,072
    @ $456.73 · 2025-01-06
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $15,886
    @ $481.39 · 2024-12-05
    DAVIES BENJAMIN R
    Officer
    $616,067
    @ $532.93 · 2024-11-11
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $16,833
    @ $510.09 · 2024-11-05
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $17,675
    @ $535.61 · 2024-10-07
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $17,151
    @ $519.73 · 2024-09-05
    WELSH MARK A. III
    Director
    $17,546
    @ $516.06 · 2024-08-29
    JONES THOMAS H.
    Officer
    $695,000
    @ $500.00 · 2024-08-02
    JONES THOMAS H.
    Officer
    $1.30M
    @ $469.25 · 2024-07-26
    ROEDER ROSHAN S.
    Officer
    $429,429
    @ $471.90 · 2024-05-20
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    INTC
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(53/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    NOC
    FearGreed
    😏Greed(61/100)

    "Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    INTC
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (53)
    NOC
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (61)
    View INTC Full AnalysisView NOC Full Analysis