Compare StocksINTC vs MRNA

Intel Corporation (INTC) vs Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)

INTC
Intel Corporation
$99.61
VS
MRNA
Moderna, Inc.
$45.37

Risks

INTC
  • Intel Corporation scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
MRNA
  • ROIC has declined by 61.0 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • Gross margin of -69.9% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Moderna, Inc. scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.

Key Valuation Metrics

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INTC
MRNA
Valuation
$-8.30B
Free Cash Flow
$-20.00M
-1.66%
FCF Yield
-0.11%
N/A
Trailing P/E
N/A
66.78
Forward P/E
-9.86
Quality & Moat
1.72%
ROIC
-26.47%
-0.21%
ROE
-38.09%
37.20%
Gross Margin
-69.89%
1.36
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
0.36
Debt / Equity
0.18
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.86
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
INTC: 3Ties: 1MRNA: 4
INTCMRNA

Historical Fundamentals

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INTC

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MRNA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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INTC
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-22.02B
Δ Market Cap
+$74.94B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MRNA
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-11.10B
Δ Market Cap
$-57.53B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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INTC
Insufficient Data
Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
Current Price: $99.61
Fair Value: $0.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MRNA
633.5% Overvalued
Price is 633.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $45.37
Fair Value: $6.19
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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INTC

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

MRNA

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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INTC
17/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MRNA
17/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable competitive advantage detected. The business shows limited evidence of pricing power, consistent returns, or capital efficiency.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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INTC
-2.59
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MRNA
-3.72
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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INTC
Insiders 13.0%Institutions 61.8%Retail & Other 25.2%
No. of Institutional Holders3,201
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MRNA
Insiders 7.3%Institutions 76.9%Retail & Other 15.8%
No. of Institutional Holders992
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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INTC
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $249,985
ZINSNER DAVID A
Chief Financial Officer
$249,985
@ $42.50 · 2026-01-26
GELSINGER PATRICK P
Chief Executive Officer
$251,198
@ $22.53 · 2024-11-04
GELSINGER PATRICK P
Chief Executive Officer
$251,946
@ $20.16 · 2024-08-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MRNA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BANCEL STEPHANE J
Chief Executive Officer
$5.00M
@ $31.22 · 2025-03-03
SAGAN PAUL L
Director
$1.00M
@ $31.76 · 2025-03-03
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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INTC
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $981,000
MILLER BOISE APRIL
Officer
$981,000
@ $49.05 · 2026-02-02
HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
General Counsel
$650,000
@ $26.00 · 2024-11-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MRNA
2
Sells (3M)
4
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $8.56M
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$726,047
@ $52.29 · 2026-03-02
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$7.81M
@ $48.84 · 2026-02-23
HUSSAIN SHAH ABBAS
Director
$13,910
@ $27.60 · 2025-12-09
HUSSAIN SHAH ABBAS
Director
$8,736
@ $28.00 · 2025-06-11
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$23,637
@ $44.68 · 2024-12-09
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$4,849
@ $43.29 · 2024-12-03
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$13,595
@ $43.30 · 2024-12-03
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$60,675
@ $42.79 · 2024-11-29
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$60,761
@ $42.79 · 2024-11-29
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$12,452
@ $42.79 · 2024-11-29
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$12,771
@ $46.10 · 2024-11-11
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$42,986
@ $60.12 · 2024-10-07
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$40,539
@ $73.57 · 2024-09-09
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$24,483
@ $76.99 · 2024-09-03
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$8,777
@ $76.99 · 2024-09-03
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$12,640
@ $78.02 · 2024-08-29
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$23,408
@ $78.03 · 2024-08-29
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$12,640
@ $78.02 · 2024-08-29
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$104,881
@ $79.40 · 2024-08-28
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$104,722
@ $79.39 · 2024-08-28
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$21,363
@ $84.11 · 2024-08-12
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$1.80M
@ $119.96 · 2024-07-31
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$1.77M
@ $117.80 · 2024-07-24
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$1.84M
@ $122.84 · 2024-07-17
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$1.82M
@ $121.12 · 2024-07-15
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$1.76M
@ $117.08 · 2024-07-10
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$81,465
@ $118.24 · 2024-07-08
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$1.91M
@ $127.22 · 2024-06-26
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$2.00M
@ $133.57 · 2024-06-18
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$2.07M
@ $138.16 · 2024-06-17
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$2.21M
@ $147.20 · 2024-06-12
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$766,785
@ $148.09 · 2024-06-10
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$2.27M
@ $151.25 · 2024-06-05
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$97,237
@ $140.72 · 2024-06-03
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$47,704
@ $140.72 · 2024-06-03
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$17,168
@ $140.72 · 2024-06-03
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$26,444
@ $144.50 · 2024-05-29
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$49,276
@ $144.50 · 2024-05-29
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$26,444
@ $144.50 · 2024-05-29
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$2.90M
@ $145.08 · 2024-05-29
KLINGER SHANNON THYME
Officer
$210,566
@ $162.47 · 2024-05-28
MOCK JAMES M
Chief Financial Officer
$105,283
@ $162.47 · 2024-05-28
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$2.36M
@ $157.57 · 2024-05-22
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$1.91M
@ $127.49 · 2024-05-15
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$1.91M
@ $127.32 · 2024-05-15
HOGE STEPHEN
President
$30,844
@ $120.96 · 2024-05-10
AFEYAN NOUBAR BOGHOS
Director
$1.83M
@ $121.68 · 2024-05-08
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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INTC
FearGreed
😏Greed(74/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MRNA
FearGreed
😨Fear(35/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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INTC
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (74)
MRNA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (35)
View INTC Full AnalysisView MRNA Full Analysis
INTC vs MRNA: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io