Compare StocksINCY vs MSFT

Incyte Corporation (INCY) vs Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

INCY
Incyte Corporation
$96.91
VS
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
$414.19

Rewards

INCY
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 14.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $5.48 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
MSFT
  • Microsoft Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 68.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Microsoft Corporation scores 88/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

INCY
  • FCF yield of 6.9% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Insiders have sold $5.4M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
MSFT
  • FCF yield of 2.3% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →
INCY
MSFT
Valuation
$1.33B
Free Cash Flow
$71.61B
6.87%
FCF Yield
2.33%
13.69
Trailing P/E
24.68
10.70
Forward P/E
21.46
Quality & Moat
19.11%
ROIC
21.58%
22.87%
ROE
24.58%
52.77%
Gross Margin
68.31%
0.16
PEG Ratio
1.05
Balance Sheet Safety
0.01
Debt / Equity
0.30
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-2.57
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.26
N/A
Dividend Yield
0.88%
INCY: 6Ties: 1MSFT: 4
INCYMSFT

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →
INCY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MSFT

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →
INCY
$0.89
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$1.92B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.71B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MSFT
$9.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$196.68B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.81T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →
INCY
63.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 63.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $96.91
Fair Value: $262.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MSFT
3.0% Overvalued
Price is 3.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $414.19
Fair Value: $402.01
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →
INCY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $97?

+0.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +0.2%

The market implies +0.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +0.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

MSFT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $414?

+13.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +18.3%

The market implies +13.5% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +18.3%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →
INCY
64/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MSFT
88/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →
INCY
-2.43
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MSFT
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →
INCY
Insiders 1.8%Institutions 104.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,221
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MSFT
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 75.9%Retail & Other 24.0%
No. of Institutional Holders8,016
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →
INCY
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MSFT
1
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.99M
STANTON JOHN W.
Director
$1.99M
@ $397.35 · 2026-02-18
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$1.45M
@ $377.47 · 2025-04-23
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
INCY
3
Sells (3M)
33
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $41.88M
CAGNONI PABLO J
President
$1.80M
@ $96.50 · 2026-04-17
CAGNONI PABLO J
Officer
$1.76M
@ $94.24 · 2026-03-17
CAGNONI PABLO J
Officer
$1.88M
@ $100.91 · 2026-02-19
ISSA MOHAMED KHAIRIE
Officer
$1.18M
@ $109.07 · 2026-01-07
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$1.59M
@ $101.70 · 2026-01-05
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$336,350
@ $99.69 · 2025-12-19
MORRISSEY MICHAEL JAMES
Officer
$5.68M
@ $97.29 · 2025-12-17
MAYES PATRICK A
Officer
$554,965
@ $95.55 · 2025-12-11
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$2.32M
@ $102.56 · 2025-12-02
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$79,038
@ $102.78 · 2025-11-24
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$29,012
@ $104.36 · 2025-11-17
HOPPENOT HERVE
Director
$19.77M
@ $105.46 · 2025-11-10
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$534,813
@ $102.20 · 2025-11-05
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$60,613
@ $101.36 · 2025-11-04
HEESON LEE
Officer
$289,017
@ $94.02 · 2025-11-03
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$23,581
@ $85.13 · 2025-10-15
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$351,978
@ $85.85 · 2025-10-03
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$23,116
@ $83.15 · 2025-09-16
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$50,812
@ $84.97 · 2025-09-02
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$24,046
@ $86.81 · 2025-08-15
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$45,310
@ $75.77 · 2025-08-04
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$251,786
@ $67.94 · 2025-07-21
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$286,296
@ $69.57 · 2025-07-16
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$67,198
@ $68.36 · 2025-07-16
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$91,602
@ $68.36 · 2025-07-16
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$82,225
@ $69.86 · 2025-07-15
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$83,273
@ $69.86 · 2025-07-15
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$1.02M
@ $68.47 · 2025-07-14
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$587,275
@ $68.15 · 2025-07-03
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$743,039
@ $68.15 · 2025-07-03
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$41,097
@ $68.61 · 2025-07-02
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$122,060
@ $68.00 · 2025-06-03
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$105,516
@ $65.38 · 2025-06-02
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$1.34M
@ $67.69 · 2025-03-14
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$41,924
@ $69.99 · 2025-03-04
DENTON SHEILA A
General Counsel
$1.04M
@ $74.07 · 2025-02-26
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$897,867
@ $72.69 · 2025-01-21
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$90,968
@ $69.98 · 2024-12-16
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$455,544
@ $75.38 · 2024-11-29
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$293,210
@ $79.68 · 2024-11-06
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$60,209
@ $63.11 · 2024-09-13
DICKINSON JONATHAN ELLIOTT
Officer
$526,948
@ $62.36 · 2024-09-12
STEIN STEVEN H.
Officer
$703,793
@ $60.63 · 2024-08-12
IYENGAR VIJAY K
Officer
$1.09M
@ $70.00 · 2024-07-25
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$83,832
@ $64.19 · 2024-07-16
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$488,880
@ $60.00 · 2024-07-09
FLANNELLY BARRY P.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $60.00 · 2024-06-12
TRAY THOMAS R
Officer
$64,389
@ $58.91 · 2024-06-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MSFT
1
Sells (3M)
13
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $172.43M
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$5.05M
@ $409.55 · 2026-03-06
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.36M
@ $478.72 · 2025-12-04
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$6.27M
@ $491.52 · 2025-12-02
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$19.97M
@ $518.64 · 2025-11-03
NADELLA SATYA
Chief Executive Officer
$75.32M
@ $504.78 · 2025-09-03
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$2.56M
@ $527.32 · 2025-08-12
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.39M
@ $463.00 · 2025-06-03
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$460,008
@ $460.01 · 2025-05-30
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$9.76M
@ $453.77 · 2025-05-21
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$7.33M
@ $458.18 · 2025-05-19
COLEMAN AMY
Officer
$5.99M
@ $452.04 · 2025-05-15
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$1.68M
@ $438.44 · 2025-05-05
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$35.30M
@ $435.84 · 2025-05-05
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.12M
@ $447.41 · 2024-12-09
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$874,634
@ $437.32 · 2024-12-04
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.50M
@ $428.76 · 2024-12-02
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$10.43M
@ $417.00 · 2024-11-22
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$414,720
@ $414.72 · 2024-11-22
YOUNG CHRISTOPHER DAVID
Officer
$3.05M
@ $423.66 · 2024-11-12
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$7.16M
@ $411.86 · 2024-09-10
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.03M
@ $411.04 · 2024-09-10
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$16.10M
@ $402.59 · 2024-09-09
HOOD AMY E
Chief Financial Officer
$15.60M
@ $410.55 · 2024-09-05
NADELLA SATYA
Chief Executive Officer
$32.02M
@ $408.63 · 2024-09-04
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$235,535
@ $416.14 · 2024-06-03
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$10.64M
@ $425.68 · 2024-05-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
INCY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(53/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MSFT
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
INCY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (53)
MSFT
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
View INCY Full AnalysisView MSFT Full Analysis
INCY vs MSFT: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io