Compare StocksICE vs V

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) vs Visa Inc. (V)

ICE
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$154.75
VS
V
Visa Inc.
$328.03

Rewards

ICE
  • Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.89 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Trailing P/E of 22.5x is 30% below the historical average of 32.3x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
V
  • Visa Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 97.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Visa Inc. scores 99/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

ICE
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.95 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 10 insider sales totaling $11.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
V
  • Insiders have sold $10.9M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ICE
V
Valuation
$3.74B
Free Cash Flow
$20.84B
4.27%
FCF Yield
3.34%
22.53
Trailing P/E
28.57
17.69
Forward P/E
22.15
Quality & Moat
9.35%
ROIC
38.39%
11.21%
ROE
56.25%
100.00%
Gross Margin
97.78%
0.28
PEG Ratio
0.80
Balance Sheet Safety
0.71
Debt / Equity
0.67
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
3.04
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.33
1.34%
Dividend Yield
0.82%
ICE: 5Ties: 2V: 5
ICEV

Historical Fundamentals

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ICE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

V

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ICE
$6.46
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$5.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$34.48B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
V
$5.50
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$44.47B
Δ Market Cap
+$244.54B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ICE
70.7% Overvalued
Price is 70.7% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $154.75
Fair Value: $90.68
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
V
6.6% Overvalued
Price is 6.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $328.03
Fair Value: $307.82
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ICE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $155?

+14.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +12.7%

The market implies +14.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +12.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

V

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $328?

+13.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.4%

The market implies +13.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +13.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ICE
61/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
V
99/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ICE
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
V
-2.50
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ICE
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 95.3%Retail & Other 3.8%
No. of Institutional Holders2,305
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
V
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 91.6%Retail & Other 7.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,826
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ICE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
V
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ICE
10
Sells (3M)
39
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $28.86M
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$263,936
@ $164.96 · 2026-03-09
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$637,725
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$740,524
@ $162.00 · 2026-02-26
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$2.07M
@ $153.86 · 2026-02-20
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$594,155
@ $153.73 · 2026-02-19
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$383,460
@ $154.00 · 2026-02-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.74M
@ $153.82 · 2026-02-19
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$2.36M
@ $155.02 · 2026-02-18
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$2.12M
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-10
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$798,899
@ $169.19 · 2026-02-05
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$261,120
@ $163.20 · 2025-12-12
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$837,382
@ $156.67 · 2025-12-08
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$584,440
@ $157.96 · 2025-12-05
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$241,538
@ $153.65 · 2025-11-20
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$269,960
@ $152.52 · 2025-11-19
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$314,231
@ $151.00 · 2025-11-11
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.60M
@ $158.88 · 2025-10-08
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$161,542
@ $172.04 · 2025-09-17
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$280,992
@ $175.62 · 2025-09-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$506,086
@ $174.51 · 2025-09-04
FAROOQUI DURIYA M
Director
$363,100
@ $178.34 · 2025-08-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$686,570
@ $178.33 · 2025-08-26
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$109,654
@ $179.76 · 2025-08-22
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$280,166
@ $178.45 · 2025-08-20
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$146,890
@ $185.00 · 2025-07-25
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$145,724
@ $183.30 · 2025-07-01
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.78M
@ $178.65 · 2025-06-13
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$283,968
@ $177.48 · 2025-06-12
HAGUE WILLIAM JEFFERSON
Director
$94,137
@ $177.62 · 2025-06-10
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$689,247
@ $179.12 · 2025-06-05
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$110,160
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$900,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.48M
@ $179.75 · 2025-05-30
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$140,828
@ $177.37 · 2025-05-28
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$96,335
@ $174.52 · 2025-05-22
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$311,079
@ $175.85 · 2025-05-21
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$275,811
@ $175.90 · 2025-05-20
KING ELIZABETH KATHRYN
Officer
$2.94M
@ $175.47 · 2025-05-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.25M
@ $178.38 · 2025-05-09
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$418,175
@ $159.00 · 2025-04-16
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$211,050
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-20
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.70M
@ $170.52 · 2025-03-14
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$270,624
@ $169.14 · 2025-03-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$381,884
@ $169.35 · 2025-03-07
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$747,718
@ $169.86 · 2025-03-06
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$378,760
@ $170.00 · 2025-03-05
MARTIN LYNN C
President
$727,125
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-03
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$268,139
@ $171.01 · 2025-02-28
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$1.35M
@ $171.43 · 2025-02-26
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$659,452
@ $171.42 · 2025-02-26
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$204,680
@ $170.00 · 2025-02-25
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$4.16M
@ $166.54 · 2025-02-20
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$1.75M
@ $166.63 · 2025-02-20
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.14M
@ $166.99 · 2025-02-19
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.76M
@ $166.47 · 2025-02-07
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$965,774
@ $165.71 · 2025-02-06
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$688,086
@ $165.60 · 2025-02-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
V
2
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $105.04M
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$10.70M
@ $340.14 · 2026-04-29
CARNEY LLOYD A
Director
$201,253
@ $309.62 · 2026-03-11
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.66M
@ $349.18 · 2026-01-02
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $340.07 · 2025-12-11
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$699,315
@ $345.00 · 2025-12-11
TANEJA RAJAT
Officer
$7.84M
@ $330.14 · 2025-12-02
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$2.50M
@ $331.45 · 2025-12-02
TANEJA RAJAT
Officer
$2.08M
@ $330.00 · 2025-11-21
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$707,917
@ $325.93 · 2025-11-21
CARNEY LLOYD A
Director
$302,832
@ $336.48 · 2025-11-04
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.58M
@ $341.00 · 2025-11-03
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.59M
@ $342.30 · 2025-10-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.65M
@ $348.57 · 2025-09-02
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$697,329
@ $344.02 · 2025-08-18
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.60M
@ $343.13 · 2025-08-14
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.05M
@ $353.82 · 2025-07-01
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$4.36M
@ $375.00 · 2025-06-11
TANEJA RAJAT
President
$18.44M
@ $368.87 · 2025-06-05
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$17.10M
@ $370.00 · 2025-06-05
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.13M
@ $362.77 · 2025-06-02
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$6.32M
@ $357.45 · 2025-05-12
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$5.26M
@ $355.04 · 2025-05-08
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.98M
@ $345.58 · 2025-05-01
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$889,868
@ $345.58 · 2025-05-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.02M
@ $350.44 · 2025-04-01
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$13.40M
@ $340.41 · 2025-03-19
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$12.88M
@ $327.20 · 2025-03-14
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.13M
@ $363.00 · 2025-03-03
MAHON TULLIER KELLY
Officer
$11.80M
@ $349.77 · 2025-02-07
ANDRESKI PETER M
Officer
$815,314
@ $349.62 · 2025-02-07
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.93M
@ $340.00 · 2025-02-03
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$874,480
@ $340.00 · 2025-02-03
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.74M
@ $317.78 · 2025-01-02
TANEJA RAJAT
Officer
$11.15M
@ $315.55 · 2024-12-13
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.73M
@ $316.90 · 2024-12-02
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$668,603
@ $307.97 · 2024-11-22
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.49M
@ $288.49 · 2024-11-01
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$741,996
@ $288.49 · 2024-11-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.39M
@ $276.97 · 2024-10-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.38M
@ $276.37 · 2024-09-03
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.37M
@ $275.00 · 2024-08-29
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$707,300
@ $275.00 · 2024-08-29
MAHON TULLIER KELLY
Officer
$10.12M
@ $267.64 · 2024-08-16
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$7.01M
@ $277.15 · 2024-05-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ICE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
V
FearGreed
😐Neutral(57/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ICE
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
V
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (57)
View ICE Full AnalysisView V Full Analysis