Compare Stocks › ICE vs LLY
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) vs Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
ICE
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$158.50
VS
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$917.50
Rewards
ICE
- ★Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.46 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
LLY
- ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
ICE
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.95 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠10 insider sales totaling $11.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
LLY
- ⚠FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠5 insider sales totaling $330.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →ICE
LLY
Valuation
$3.49B
Free Cash Flow
$5.96B
3.86%
FCF Yield
0.73%
27.47
Trailing P/E
40.00
18.48
Forward P/E
21.79
Quality & Moat
7.89%
ROIC
32.84%
11.43%
ROE
77.78%
100.00%
Gross Margin
83.04%
1.17
PEG Ratio
0.78
Balance Sheet Safety
0.70
Debt / Equity
1.65
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
3.15
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.15
1.31%
Dividend Yield
0.68%
ICE: 6Ties: 1LLY: 5
ICELLY
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →ICE
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
LLY
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →ICE
$6.46
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$5.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$34.48B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
LLY
$27.47
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$613.62B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →ICE
33.5% Overvalued
Price is 33.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.50
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $118.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
LLY
12.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $917.50
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1048.80
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →ICE
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $159?
+14.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.9%
The market implies +14.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +13.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
LLY
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $918?
+17.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +35.1%
The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +35.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →ICE
61/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →ICE
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →ICE
Insiders 0.9%Institutions 94.7%Retail & Other 4.3%
No. of Institutional Holders2,326
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.7%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders5,561
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →ICE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →ICE
10
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $29.27M
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$263,936
@ $164.96 · 2026-03-09
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$637,725
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$740,524
@ $162.00 · 2026-02-26
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$2.07M
@ $153.86 · 2026-02-20
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$383,460
@ $154.00 · 2026-02-19
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$594,155
@ $153.73 · 2026-02-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.74M
@ $153.82 · 2026-02-19
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$2.36M
@ $155.02 · 2026-02-18
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$2.12M
@ $165.00 · 2026-02-10
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$798,899
@ $169.19 · 2026-02-05
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$261,120
@ $163.20 · 2025-12-12
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$837,382
@ $156.67 · 2025-12-08
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$584,440
@ $157.96 · 2025-12-05
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$241,538
@ $153.65 · 2025-11-20
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$269,960
@ $152.52 · 2025-11-19
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$314,231
@ $151.00 · 2025-11-11
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.60M
@ $158.88 · 2025-10-08
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$161,542
@ $172.04 · 2025-09-17
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$280,992
@ $175.62 · 2025-09-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$506,086
@ $174.51 · 2025-09-04
FAROOQUI DURIYA M
Director
$363,100
@ $178.34 · 2025-08-27
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$686,570
@ $178.33 · 2025-08-26
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$109,654
@ $179.76 · 2025-08-22
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$280,166
@ $178.45 · 2025-08-20
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$146,890
@ $185.00 · 2025-07-25
BOWEN SHARON J.D.
Director
$145,724
@ $183.30 · 2025-07-01
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.78M
@ $178.65 · 2025-06-13
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$283,968
@ $177.48 · 2025-06-12
HAGUE WILLIAM JEFFERSON
Director
$94,137
@ $177.62 · 2025-06-10
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$689,247
@ $179.12 · 2025-06-05
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$110,160
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$900,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-05-30
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.48M
@ $179.75 · 2025-05-30
TIRINNANZI MARTHA A
Director
$140,828
@ $177.37 · 2025-05-28
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$96,335
@ $174.52 · 2025-05-22
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$311,079
@ $175.85 · 2025-05-21
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$275,811
@ $175.90 · 2025-05-20
KING ELIZABETH KATHRYN
Officer
$2.94M
@ $175.47 · 2025-05-19
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.25M
@ $178.38 · 2025-05-09
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$418,175
@ $159.00 · 2025-04-16
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$211,050
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-20
KAPANI MAYUR
Chief Technology Officer
$1.70M
@ $170.52 · 2025-03-14
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$270,624
@ $169.14 · 2025-03-12
SPRIESER JUDITH A.
Director
$381,884
@ $169.35 · 2025-03-07
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$747,718
@ $169.86 · 2025-03-06
WILLIAMS STUART GLEN
Chief Operating Officer
$378,760
@ $170.00 · 2025-03-05
MARTIN LYNN C
President
$727,125
@ $175.00 · 2025-03-03
GARDINER WARREN
Chief Financial Officer
$268,139
@ $171.01 · 2025-02-28
SURDYKOWSKI ANDREW J
General Counsel
$659,452
@ $171.42 · 2025-02-26
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$1.35M
@ $171.43 · 2025-02-26
NAMKUNG JAMES WON
Officer
$204,680
@ $170.00 · 2025-02-25
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$1.75M
@ $166.63 · 2025-02-20
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$4.16M
@ $166.54 · 2025-02-20
EDMONDS CHRISTOPHER SCOTT
Officer
$1.14M
@ $166.99 · 2025-02-19
FOLEY DOUGLAS
Officer
$1.76M
@ $166.47 · 2025-02-07
MARTIN LYNN C
Officer
$688,086
@ $165.60 · 2025-02-06
JACKSON BENJAMIN R
President
$965,774
@ $165.71 · 2025-02-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
LLY
5
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$818,240
@ $818.24 · 2025-03-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$204.33M
@ $928.76 · 2025-03-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →ICE
😐Neutral(48/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
LLY
😐Neutral(43/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →ICE
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)