Compare StocksHSY vs ORCL

The Hershey Company (HSY) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

HSY
The Hershey Company
$210.58
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52

Rewards

HSY
  • The Hershey Company has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • The Hershey Company scores 72/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Altman Z-Score of 4.24 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

HSY
  • Trailing P/E of 48.5x is 86% above the historical average of 26.0x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $1.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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HSY
ORCL
Valuation
$1.45B
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
3.39%
FCF Yield
-4.99%
48.52
Trailing P/E
27.92
21.44
Forward P/E
19.51
Quality & Moat
13.09%
ROIC
8.22%
19.05%
ROE
31.86%
33.55%
Gross Margin
67.08%
N/A
PEG Ratio
1.14
Balance Sheet Safety
1.24
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.44
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
2.76%
Dividend Yield
1.29%
HSY: 6Ties: 1ORCL: 4
HSYORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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HSY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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HSY
$-5.53
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$1.91B
Δ Market Cap
$-10.55B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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HSY
53.1% Overvalued
Price is 53.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $210.58
Fair Value: $137.59
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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HSY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $211?

+21.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.4%

The market implies +21.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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HSY
72/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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HSY
-2.78
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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HSY
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 88.8%Retail & Other 10.7%
No. of Institutional Holders1,860
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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HSY
0
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $445,411
SCHECHTMAN NATALIE S
Officer
$37,258
@ $186.29 · 2025-11-24
TANNER KIRK L.
Chief Executive Officer
$370,915
@ $185.46 · 2025-11-21
TAFFET STACY
Officer
$37,238
@ $186.19 · 2025-11-21
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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HSY
5
Sells (3M)
25
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $25.81M
REIMAN JASON R
Officer
$452,140
@ $226.07 · 2026-02-24
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$791,245
@ $226.07 · 2026-02-24
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$329,490
@ $219.66 · 2026-02-18
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$298,005
@ $198.67 · 2026-01-20
ROBBIN-COKER CORDEL
Director
$23,933
@ $184.10 · 2026-01-05
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$282,765
@ $188.51 · 2025-12-18
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$269,340
@ $179.56 · 2025-11-18
ROBBIN-COKER CORDEL
Director
$50,971
@ $168.22 · 2025-11-03
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$281,280
@ $187.52 · 2025-10-20
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$283,680
@ $189.12 · 2025-09-18
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$267,795
@ $178.53 · 2025-08-18
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.74M
@ $194.00 · 2025-07-30
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $185.00 · 2025-07-23
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$900,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-07-21
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.47M
@ $180.00 · 2025-07-21
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$240,120
@ $180.00 · 2025-07-21
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.38M
@ $175.00 · 2025-07-01
TUROFF JAMES
General Counsel
$227,500
@ $175.00 · 2025-07-01
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$233,275
@ $175.00 · 2025-07-01
TUROFF JAMES
General Counsel
$214,500
@ $165.00 · 2025-06-09
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$219,945
@ $165.00 · 2025-06-09
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$5.02M
@ $160.80 · 2025-05-30
TUROFF JAMES
General Counsel
$209,040
@ $160.80 · 2025-05-30
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$153,025
@ $157.11 · 2025-05-28
MALCOLM ROBERT M.
Director
$907,267
@ $165.32 · 2025-05-02
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$540,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-02-25
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$41,144
@ $148.00 · 2025-02-03
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$180,000
@ $180.00 · 2024-12-03
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$49,840
@ $179.28 · 2024-11-04
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$185,470
@ $185.47 · 2024-10-21
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$197,540
@ $197.54 · 2024-09-19
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$5.45M
@ $200.40 · 2024-09-06
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$179,320
@ $199.24 · 2024-09-05
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$948,995
@ $199.16 · 2024-09-04
SCALIA CHRISTOPHER M
Officer
$985,200
@ $197.04 · 2024-08-26
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$524,738
@ $199.37 · 2024-08-21
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$193,870
@ $193.87 · 2024-08-19
RAUP CHARLES R
Officer
$400,342
@ $193.87 · 2024-08-19
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$107,153
@ $199.17 · 2024-08-12
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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HSY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(46/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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HSY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (46)
ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View HSY Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis