Compare StocksHSY vs JPM

The Hershey Company (HSY) vs JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

HSY
The Hershey Company
$210.58
VS
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$287.97

Rewards

HSY
  • The Hershey Company has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • The Hershey Company scores 72/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Altman Z-Score of 4.24 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
JPM
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.95 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

HSY
  • Trailing P/E of 48.5x is 86% above the historical average of 26.0x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $1.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
JPM
  • Gross margin of 0.0% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. scores only 18/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.30 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.

Key Valuation Metrics

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HSY
JPM
Valuation
$1.45B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
3.39%
FCF Yield
N/A
48.52
Trailing P/E
14.39
21.44
Forward P/E
12.26
Quality & Moat
13.09%
ROIC
5.32%
19.05%
ROE
N/A
33.55%
Gross Margin
0.00%
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.24
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.44
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
2.76%
Dividend Yield
2.08%
HSY: 3Ties: 1JPM: 2
HSYJPM

Historical Fundamentals

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HSY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

JPM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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HSY
$-5.53
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$1.91B
Δ Market Cap
$-10.55B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
JPM
$3.95
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$120.20B
Δ Market Cap
+$475.31B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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HSY
53.1% Overvalued
Price is 53.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $210.58
Fair Value: $137.59
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
JPM
46.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 46.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $287.97
Fair Value: $538.22
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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HSY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $211?

+21.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.4%

The market implies +21.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

JPM

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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HSY
72/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
JPM
18/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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HSY
-2.78
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
JPM
-2.17
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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HSY
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 88.8%Retail & Other 10.7%
No. of Institutional Holders1,860
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
JPM
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 75.0%Retail & Other 24.6%
No. of Institutional Holders6,240
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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HSY
0
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $445,411
SCHECHTMAN NATALIE S
Officer
$37,258
@ $186.29 · 2025-11-24
TANNER KIRK L.
Chief Executive Officer
$370,915
@ $185.46 · 2025-11-21
TAFFET STACY
Officer
$37,238
@ $186.19 · 2025-11-21
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
JPM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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HSY
5
Sells (3M)
25
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $25.81M
REIMAN JASON R
Officer
$452,140
@ $226.07 · 2026-02-24
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$791,245
@ $226.07 · 2026-02-24
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$329,490
@ $219.66 · 2026-02-18
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$298,005
@ $198.67 · 2026-01-20
ROBBIN-COKER CORDEL
Director
$23,933
@ $184.10 · 2026-01-05
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$282,765
@ $188.51 · 2025-12-18
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$269,340
@ $179.56 · 2025-11-18
ROBBIN-COKER CORDEL
Director
$50,971
@ $168.22 · 2025-11-03
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$281,280
@ $187.52 · 2025-10-20
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$283,680
@ $189.12 · 2025-09-18
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$267,795
@ $178.53 · 2025-08-18
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.74M
@ $194.00 · 2025-07-30
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $185.00 · 2025-07-23
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$900,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-07-21
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.47M
@ $180.00 · 2025-07-21
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$240,120
@ $180.00 · 2025-07-21
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$3.38M
@ $175.00 · 2025-07-01
TUROFF JAMES
General Counsel
$227,500
@ $175.00 · 2025-07-01
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$233,275
@ $175.00 · 2025-07-01
TUROFF JAMES
General Counsel
$214,500
@ $165.00 · 2025-06-09
GROVER ROHIT
Officer
$219,945
@ $165.00 · 2025-06-09
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$5.02M
@ $160.80 · 2025-05-30
TUROFF JAMES
General Counsel
$209,040
@ $160.80 · 2025-05-30
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$153,025
@ $157.11 · 2025-05-28
MALCOLM ROBERT M.
Director
$907,267
@ $165.32 · 2025-05-02
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$540,000
@ $180.00 · 2025-02-25
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$41,144
@ $148.00 · 2025-02-03
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$180,000
@ $180.00 · 2024-12-03
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$49,840
@ $179.28 · 2024-11-04
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$185,470
@ $185.47 · 2024-10-21
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$197,540
@ $197.54 · 2024-09-19
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$5.45M
@ $200.40 · 2024-09-06
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$179,320
@ $199.24 · 2024-09-05
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$948,995
@ $199.16 · 2024-09-04
SCALIA CHRISTOPHER M
Officer
$985,200
@ $197.04 · 2024-08-26
BUCK MICHELE G
Chief Executive Officer
$524,738
@ $199.37 · 2024-08-21
VOSKUIL STEVEN E
Chief Financial Officer
$193,870
@ $193.87 · 2024-08-19
RAUP CHARLES R
Officer
$400,342
@ $193.87 · 2024-08-19
MCCALMAN JENNIFER L.
Officer
$107,153
@ $199.17 · 2024-08-12
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
JPM
12
Sells (3M)
30
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $104.76M
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$132,684
@ $307.14 · 2026-02-19
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$15.36M
@ $307.11 · 2026-02-19
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$886,157
@ $306.42 · 2026-02-17
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$627,207
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.76M
@ $306.41 · 2026-02-17
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.07M
@ $306.40 · 2026-02-17
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$2.68M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$904,890
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$640,295
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.79M
@ $312.78 · 2026-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$1.09M
@ $312.80 · 2026-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$2.30M
@ $312.79 · 2026-01-16
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$301,311
@ $311.92 · 2025-11-07
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.83M
@ $297.94 · 2025-09-02
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.39M
@ $267.44 · 2025-06-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.61M
@ $262.47 · 2025-06-05
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$1.57M
@ $267.09 · 2025-05-16
LAKE MARIANNE
Officer
$3.28M
@ $267.08 · 2025-05-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$2.71M
@ $266.89 · 2025-05-15
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$3.69M
@ $262.54 · 2025-05-13
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.37M
@ $262.53 · 2025-05-13
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$3.29M
@ $263.08 · 2025-05-12
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.54M
@ $250.76 · 2025-05-06
BARNUM JEREMY
Chief Financial Officer
$10.03M
@ $250.77 · 2025-05-06
BAMMANN LINDA B.
Director
$2.38M
@ $250.00 · 2025-05-06
DIMON JAMES
Chief Executive Officer
$31.50M
@ $235.68 · 2025-04-14
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$308,652
@ $246.92 · 2025-03-24
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.06M
@ $247.03 · 2025-03-24
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$6.18M
@ $247.02 · 2025-03-24
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$506,698
@ $246.93 · 2025-03-24
LEOPOLD ROBIN
Officer
$337,610
@ $270.09 · 2025-02-20
PIEPSZAK JENNIFER A
Chief Operating Officer
$1.15M
@ $269.85 · 2025-02-20
ROHRBAUGH TROY L
Officer
$10.12M
@ $269.84 · 2025-02-20
BEER LORI A
Chief Technology Officer
$554,054
@ $269.88 · 2025-02-20
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$919,371
@ $278.34 · 2025-02-18
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.47M
@ $278.37 · 2025-02-18
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$971,646
@ $278.41 · 2025-02-18
FRIEDMAN STACEY R.
General Counsel
$838,778
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
ERDOES MARY E.
Officer
$1.34M
@ $253.97 · 2025-01-16
BACON ASHLEY
Officer
$1.81M
@ $253.94 · 2025-01-16
PETNO DOUGLAS B
Officer
$886,565
@ $253.96 · 2025-01-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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HSY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(46/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
JPM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(51/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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HSY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (46)
JPM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)
View HSY Full AnalysisView JPM Full Analysis
The Hershey Company (HSY) vs JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io