HP Inc. (HPQ) vs Intuit Inc. (INTU): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
As of 2026-09-17, HPQ is fairly valued at $33, with a DCF intrinsic value of $36 and a margin of safety of 9%. INTU is undervalued at $317, with an intrinsic value of $565 and a margin of safety of 44%. Of the two, INTU has the wider margin of safety.
Rewards
- ★HP Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★HP Inc. scores 77/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★FCF yield of 11.3% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.
- ★Intuit Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★Gross margin of 81.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Intuit Inc. scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
- ⚠Gross margin of 19.7% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
- ⚠Trailing P/E of 12.6x is 34% above the historical average of 9.4x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
- ⚠PEG ratio of 3.63 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →What growth rate is the market pricing in at $33?
The market implies +3.0% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding -1.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $317?
The market implies +5.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding -1.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Revenue Predictability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →M-Score Trend
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
Frequently Asked Questions: HPQ vs INTU
Is HP Inc. or Intuit Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼
Based on our discounted cash flow model, INTU trades at a 44.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $565 vs. price $317), compared to HPQ's 9.0% margin of safety (intrinsic $36 vs. $33).
Which stock has a wider economic moat, HP Inc. or Intuit Inc.?▼
INTU scores 94/100 (Wide moat), while HPQ scores 77/100 (Wide moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.
Is HP Inc. in financial distress?▼
HPQ's Altman Z-Score of 1.6 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. INTU scores 4.9 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.
Which company has better free cash flow, HP Inc. or Intuit Inc.?▼
HP Inc. (HPQ) generates a 11.3% free cash flow yield, compared to Intuit Inc.'s 10.2%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.
Which stock has higher return on invested capital, HP Inc. or Intuit Inc.?▼
HPQ earns 24.4% ROIC versus INTU's 10.9%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.
Which dividend is safer, HP Inc.'s or Intuit Inc.'s?▼
INTU's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to HPQ's 91/100 (Very Safe). INTU has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.