Compare StocksHIG vs ORCL

The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
$135.81
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$171.83

Rewards

HIG
  • The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. scores 97/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 14.5% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $2.91 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

HIG
  • Altman Z-Score of 1.07 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 6 insider sales totaling $22.0M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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HIG
ORCL
Valuation
$5.60B
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
15.05%
FCF Yield
-4.51%
9.56
Trailing P/E
30.85
9.42
Forward P/E
21.39
Quality & Moat
14.96%
ROIC
8.22%
20.20%
ROE
31.86%
38.17%
Gross Margin
67.08%
0.23
PEG Ratio
1.26
Balance Sheet Safety
0.23
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.00
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
1.77%
Dividend Yield
1.16%
HIG: 9Ties: 1ORCL: 2
HIGORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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HIG

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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HIG
$1.85
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$7.71B
Δ Market Cap
+$14.27B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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HIG
60.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 60.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $135.81
Fair Value: $347.17
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
246.9% Overvalued
Price is 246.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $171.83
Fair Value: $49.53
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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HIG

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $136?

-2.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -7.8%

The market implies -2.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -7.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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HIG
97/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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HIG
-2.55
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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HIG
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 96.5%Retail & Other 3.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,619
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.1%Retail & Other 15.3%
No. of Institutional Holders4,615
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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HIG
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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HIG
6
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $85.24M
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$5.62M
@ $138.05 · 2026-03-10
NIDERNO ALLISON G
Officer
$98,583
@ $140.63 · 2026-03-04
NIDERNO ALLISON G
Officer
$53,226
@ $142.32 · 2026-02-26
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$1.17M
@ $140.54 · 2026-02-25
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$805,723
@ $141.83 · 2026-02-11
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$14.21M
@ $140.78 · 2026-02-04
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$27.55M
@ $136.41 · 2026-02-02
COSTELLO BETH ANN
Chief Financial Officer
$4.83M
@ $136.58 · 2026-01-02
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$928,205
@ $137.90 · 2025-11-26
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$959,829
@ $122.41 · 2025-10-29
COSTELLO BETH ANN
Chief Financial Officer
$4.36M
@ $123.50 · 2025-08-04
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$949,212
@ $123.11 · 2025-08-01
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$12.84M
@ $130.84 · 2025-05-16
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$2.82M
@ $128.61 · 2025-05-15
PAIANO ROBERT W
Officer
$1.16M
@ $128.05 · 2025-05-15
STEPNOWSKI AMY M.
Officer
$6.88M
@ $125.89 · 2025-05-05
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$12.15M
@ $125.50 · 2025-05-02
NIDERNO ALLISON G
Officer
$129,664
@ $119.51 · 2025-04-28
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$168,001
@ $125.00 · 2025-04-03
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$11.81M
@ $120.39 · 2025-03-17
PAIANO ROBERT W
Officer
$1.54M
@ $117.20 · 2025-03-11
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$12,000
@ $120.00 · 2025-03-04
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$1.53M
@ $112.60 · 2025-02-18
TOOKER ADIN M
Officer
$803,479
@ $117.04 · 2024-11-15
SONI DEEPA
Officer
$2.24M
@ $110.96 · 2024-11-05
PAIANO ROBERT W
Officer
$1.46M
@ $110.95 · 2024-07-31
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$428,522
@ $111.16 · 2024-07-31
FISHER MICHAEL R
Officer
$414,809
@ $101.47 · 2024-07-01
BENNETT JONATHAN R
Officer
$2.67M
@ $100.46 · 2024-05-09
COSTELLO BETH ANN
Chief Financial Officer
$7.19M
@ $99.71 · 2024-05-08
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
2
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$2.64M
@ $176.19 · 2026-04-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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HIG
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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HIG
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View HIG Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis
HIG vs ORCL: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io