Compare Stocks › HIG vs MS
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)
HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
$135.81
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$190.17
Rewards
HIG
- ★The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. scores 97/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 14.5% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $2.91 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
MS
- ★Gross margin of 87.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Morgan Stanley scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.11 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
Risks
HIG
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 1.07 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠6 insider sales totaling $22.0M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
MS
- ⚠High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $17.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →HIG
MS
Valuation
$5.60B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
15.05%
FCF Yield
N/A
9.56
Trailing P/E
17.21
9.42
Forward P/E
15.02
Quality & Moat
14.96%
ROIC
3.75%
20.20%
ROE
14.42%
38.17%
Gross Margin
87.39%
0.23
PEG Ratio
0.54
Balance Sheet Safety
0.23
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.00
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
1.77%
Dividend Yield
2.10%
HIG: 6Ties: 1MS: 2
HIGMS
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →HIG
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
MS
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →HIG
$1.85
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$7.71B
Δ Market Cap
+$14.27B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →HIG
60.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 60.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $135.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $347.17
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
31.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 31.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $190.17
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $275.48
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →HIG
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $136?
-2.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -7.8%
The market implies -2.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding -7.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
MS
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →HIG
97/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MS
80/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →HIG
-2.55
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →HIG
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 96.5%Retail & Other 3.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,619
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.3%Institutions 63.0%Retail & Other 12.8%
No. of Institutional Holders3,167
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →HIG
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →HIG
6
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $85.24M
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$5.62M
@ $138.05 · 2026-03-10
NIDERNO ALLISON G
Officer
$98,583
@ $140.63 · 2026-03-04
NIDERNO ALLISON G
Officer
$53,226
@ $142.32 · 2026-02-26
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$1.17M
@ $140.54 · 2026-02-25
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$805,723
@ $141.83 · 2026-02-11
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$14.21M
@ $140.78 · 2026-02-04
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$27.55M
@ $136.41 · 2026-02-02
COSTELLO BETH ANN
Chief Financial Officer
$4.83M
@ $136.58 · 2026-01-02
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$928,205
@ $137.90 · 2025-11-26
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$959,829
@ $122.41 · 2025-10-29
COSTELLO BETH ANN
Chief Financial Officer
$4.36M
@ $123.50 · 2025-08-04
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$949,212
@ $123.11 · 2025-08-01
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$12.84M
@ $130.84 · 2025-05-16
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$2.82M
@ $128.61 · 2025-05-15
PAIANO ROBERT W
Officer
$1.16M
@ $128.05 · 2025-05-15
STEPNOWSKI AMY M.
Officer
$6.88M
@ $125.89 · 2025-05-05
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$12.15M
@ $125.50 · 2025-05-02
NIDERNO ALLISON G
Officer
$129,664
@ $119.51 · 2025-04-28
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$168,001
@ $125.00 · 2025-04-03
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$11.81M
@ $120.39 · 2025-03-17
PAIANO ROBERT W
Officer
$1.54M
@ $117.20 · 2025-03-11
SWIFT CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$12,000
@ $120.00 · 2025-03-04
TOOKER ADIN M
President
$1.53M
@ $112.60 · 2025-02-18
TOOKER ADIN M
Officer
$803,479
@ $117.04 · 2024-11-15
SONI DEEPA
Officer
$2.24M
@ $110.96 · 2024-11-05
PAIANO ROBERT W
Officer
$1.46M
@ $110.95 · 2024-07-31
RODDEN LORI A
Officer
$428,522
@ $111.16 · 2024-07-31
FISHER MICHAEL R
Officer
$414,809
@ $101.47 · 2024-07-01
BENNETT JONATHAN R
Officer
$2.67M
@ $100.46 · 2024-05-09
COSTELLO BETH ANN
Chief Financial Officer
$7.19M
@ $99.71 · 2024-05-08
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
4
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $74.11M
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$2.12M
@ $190.75 · 2026-04-20
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$2.78M
@ $189.24 · 2026-04-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$3.04M
@ $188.22 · 2026-04-16
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$9.74M
@ $188.59 · 2026-04-16
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →HIG
😐Neutral(59/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
😏Greed(71/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →HIG
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
MS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (71)