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The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) vs Philip Morris International Inc. (PM)

HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
$328.21
VS
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
$163.37

Rewards

HD
  • ★The Home Depot, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★The Home Depot, Inc. scores 87/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Dividend yield of 2.84% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
PM
  • ★Philip Morris International Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Philip Morris International Inc. scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

HD
  • ⚠FCF yield of 2.6% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • ⚠High leverage (5.14x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • ⚠Insiders have sold $2.6M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
PM
  • ⚠5 insider sales totaling $27.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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HD
PM
Valuation
$8.62B
Free Cash Flow
$8.94B
2.64%
FCF Yield
3.51%
23.05
Trailing P/E
22.47
20.12
Forward P/E
17.76
Quality & Moat
16.65%
ROIC
21.33%
110.48%
ROE
N/A
33.32%
Gross Margin
67.12%
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
5.14
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.58
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.39
2.84%
Dividend Yield
3.60%
HD: 0Ties: 3PM: 6
HDPM

Historical Fundamentals

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HD

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

PM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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HD
$0.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$21.95B
Δ Market Cap
+$15.12B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PM
$64.75
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$1.43B
Δ Market Cap
+$92.79B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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HD
156.8% Overvalued
Price is 156.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $328.21
Fair Value: $127.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PM
16.7% Overvalued
Price is 16.7% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $163.37
Fair Value: $140.04
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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HD

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $328?

+18.9%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

PM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $163?

+11.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.7%

The market implies +11.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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HD
87/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
PM
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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HD
-1.89
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PM
-2.39
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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HD
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 74.6%Retail & Other 25.4%
No. of Institutional Holders5,084
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PM
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 83.2%Retail & Other 16.6%
No. of Institutional Holders3,365
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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HD
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BRENNEMAN GREGORY D
Director
$999,767
@ $346.66 · 2025-03-14
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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HD
3
Sells (3M)
14
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $29.80M
DEATON JOHN A.
Officer
$661,617
@ $369.00 · 2026-03-04
MCPHAIL RICHARD V
Chief Financial Officer
$940,670
@ $368.89 · 2026-03-04
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$1.00M
@ $348.52 · 2025-12-26
BROWN ANGIE
Chief Technology Officer
$695,948
@ $357.63 · 2025-12-12
BASTEK WILLIAM D
Officer
$974,445
@ $423.12 · 2025-09-12
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$2.27M
@ $413.23 · 2025-08-22
BASTEK WILLIAM D
Officer
$1.55M
@ $410.23 · 2025-08-22
DECKER EDWARD P.
Chief Executive Officer
$13.07M
@ $397.22 · 2025-08-21
PADILLA HECTOR A
Officer
$640,609
@ $404.17 · 2025-08-20
BROWN ANGIE
Chief Technology Officer
$404,070
@ $404.07 · 2025-08-20
MCPHAIL RICHARD V
Chief Financial Officer
$1.36M
@ $403.66 · 2025-08-20
DEATON JOHN A.
Officer
$3.29M
@ $369.99 · 2025-06-03
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$2.00M
@ $369.28 · 2025-05-28
SIDDIQUI FAHIM
Chief Technology Officer
$954,564
@ $367.14 · 2025-05-22
BASTEK WILLIAM D
Officer
$1.24M
@ $416.61 · 2024-11-22
HOURIGAN TIMOTHY A
Officer
$6.55M
@ $409.52 · 2024-11-18
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$9.03M
@ $408.91 · 2024-11-14
CAMPBELL ANN-MARIE
Officer
$12.24M
@ $408.40 · 2024-11-14
PADILLA HECTOR A
Officer
$1.48M
@ $408.96 · 2024-11-14
MCPHAIL RICHARD V
Chief Financial Officer
$2.65M
@ $408.45 · 2024-11-13
SCARDINO KIMBERLY R.
Officer
$617,100
@ $363.00 · 2024-08-19
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$1.87M
@ $359.32 · 2024-08-15
CAREY MATTHEW A
Officer
$19.33M
@ $345.18 · 2024-05-16
SIDDIQUI FAHIM
Chief Technology Officer
$1.03M
@ $343.79 · 2024-05-16
PADILLA HECTOR A
Officer
$28,619
@ $349.01 · 2024-05-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PM
5
Sells (3M)
5
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $27.72M
KENNEDY STACEY
Officer
$2.63M
@ $183.13 · 2026-02-20
BABEAU EMMANUEL
Officer
$6.14M
@ $181.61 · 2026-02-19
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$3.65M
@ $182.58 · 2026-02-19
GUERIN YANN
Officer
$726,760
@ $181.69 · 2026-02-19
OLCZAK JACEK
Officer and Director
$14.57M
@ $182.18 · 2026-02-19
DAHLGREN LARS
Officer
$562,740
@ $152.96 · 2025-03-06
ANDOLINA MASSIMO
Officer
$2.73M
@ $156.05 · 2025-02-24
BABEAU EMMANUEL
Chief Financial Officer
$4.47M
@ $148.85 · 2025-02-20
BARTH WERNER
Officer
$1.49M
@ $148.67 · 2025-02-20
CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE
Chairman of the Board
$6.06M
@ $149.06 · 2025-02-20
GUERIN YANN
General Counsel
$378,200
@ $151.28 · 2025-02-20
OLCZAK JACEK
Chief Executive Officer
$5.95M
@ $148.87 · 2025-02-20
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.17M
@ $144.54 · 2025-02-07
VOLPETTI STEFANO
Officer
$1.32M
@ $132.48 · 2024-10-31
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$3.27M
@ $130.96 · 2024-10-23
BARTH WERNER
Officer
$974,850
@ $129.98 · 2024-10-23
CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE
Chairman of the Board
$13.23M
@ $129.85 · 2024-10-23
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.39M
@ $119.30 · 2024-08-22
ANDOLINA MASSIMO
Officer
$1.04M
@ $115.35 · 2024-08-08
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.26M
@ $113.01 · 2024-07-25
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$1.93M
@ $96.42 · 2024-04-25
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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HD
FearGreed
😨Fear(35/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(46/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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HD
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (35)
PM
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (46)
View HD Full AnalysisView PM Full Analysis
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) vs Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io