Compare StocksHD vs NEE

Home Depot, Inc. (The) (HD) vs NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-08-03, HD is undervalued at $332, with a DCF intrinsic value of $248851992757 and a margin of safety of 100%. NEE is overvalued at $87, with an intrinsic value of $25 and a margin of safety of -251%. Of the two, HD has the wider margin of safety.

HD
Home Depot, Inc. (The)
$331.96
VS
NEE
NextEra Energy, Inc.
$86.92

Rewards

HD
  • Home Depot, Inc. (The) has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Home Depot, Inc. (The) scores 87/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
NEE
  • Gross margin of 61.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.56 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Trailing P/E of 19.5x is 24% below the historical average of 25.7x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.

Risks

HD
  • High leverage (4.48x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • 11 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
NEE
  • NextEra Energy, Inc. scores only 24/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • High leverage (1.57x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 7.4x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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HD
NEE
Valuation
$10.13B
Free Cash Flow
$-17.77B
N/A
FCF Yield
-9.80%
23.58
Trailing P/E
19.53
20.63
Forward P/E
19.67
Quality & Moat
20.22%
ROIC
4.01%
128.38%
ROE
11.68%
33.13%
Gross Margin
61.02%
1.87
PEG Ratio
1.90
Balance Sheet Safety
4.48
Net Debt / Equity
1.57
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.49
Net Debt / EBITDA
7.35
2.81%
Dividend Yield
2.87%
HD: 4Ties: 4NEE: 3
HDNEE

Historical Fundamentals

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HD

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

NEE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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HD
$-0.00
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$17.64B
Δ Market Cap
$-14.59
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
NEE
$0.13
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$8.39B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.11B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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HD
100.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 100.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $331.96
Fair Value: $248851992757.04
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
NEE
251.5% Overvalued
Price is 251.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $86.92
Fair Value: $24.73
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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HD

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $332?

-14.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -9.0%

The market implies -14.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -9.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

NEE

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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HD
87/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
NEE
24/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though margin stability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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HD
-2.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
NEE
-2.48
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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HD
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 75.9%Retail & Other 24.1%
No. of Institutional Holders5,059
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
NEE
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 87.0%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,837
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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HD
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BRENNEMAN GREGORY D
Director
$999,767
@ $346.66 · 2025-03-14
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
NEE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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HD
0
Sells (3M)
11
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $23.56M
MCPHAIL RICHARD V
Chief Financial Officer
$940,670
@ $368.89 · 2026-03-04
DEATON JOHN A.
Officer
$661,617
@ $369.00 · 2026-03-04
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$1.00M
@ $348.52 · 2025-12-26
BROWN ANGIE
Chief Technology Officer
$695,948
@ $357.63 · 2025-12-12
BASTEK WILLIAM D
Officer
$974,445
@ $423.12 · 2025-09-12
BASTEK WILLIAM D
Officer
$1.55M
@ $410.23 · 2025-08-22
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$2.27M
@ $413.23 · 2025-08-22
DECKER EDWARD P.
Chief Executive Officer
$13.07M
@ $397.22 · 2025-08-21
BROWN ANGIE
Chief Technology Officer
$404,070
@ $404.07 · 2025-08-20
MCPHAIL RICHARD V
Chief Financial Officer
$1.36M
@ $403.66 · 2025-08-20
PADILLA HECTOR A
Officer
$640,609
@ $404.17 · 2025-08-20
DEATON JOHN A.
Officer
$3.29M
@ $369.99 · 2025-06-03
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$2.00M
@ $369.28 · 2025-05-28
SIDDIQUI FAHIM
Chief Technology Officer
$954,564
@ $367.14 · 2025-05-22
BASTEK WILLIAM D
Officer
$1.24M
@ $416.61 · 2024-11-22
HOURIGAN TIMOTHY A
Officer
$6.55M
@ $409.52 · 2024-11-18
PADILLA HECTOR A
Officer
$1.48M
@ $408.96 · 2024-11-14
CAMPBELL ANN-MARIE
Officer
$12.24M
@ $408.40 · 2024-11-14
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$9.03M
@ $408.91 · 2024-11-14
MCPHAIL RICHARD V
Chief Financial Officer
$2.65M
@ $408.45 · 2024-11-13
SCARDINO KIMBERLY R.
Officer
$617,100
@ $363.00 · 2024-08-19
ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN
General Counsel
$1.87M
@ $359.32 · 2024-08-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
NEE
0
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $32.87M
DAGGS NICOLE J
Officer
$458,862
@ $93.00 · 2026-03-13
CREWS TERRELL KIRK II
Officer
$1.78M
@ $90.27 · 2026-03-09
MAY JAMES MICHAEL
Officer and Treasurer
$646,423
@ $90.27 · 2026-03-09
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$347,088
@ $90.27 · 2026-03-09
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$482,505
@ $95.00 · 2026-02-17
KETCHUM JOHN W.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.90M
@ $89.34 · 2026-02-09
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$2.70M
@ $90.00 · 2026-02-04
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$1.68M
@ $90.00 · 2026-02-04
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$920,210
@ $85.00 · 2026-01-22
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$985,481
@ $81.25 · 2025-12-11
PIMENTEL ARMANDO JR.
Director
$12.18M
@ $83.91 · 2025-11-17
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$906,880
@ $80.00 · 2025-10-03
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$62,943
@ $77.90 · 2025-10-01
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$63,365
@ $74.90 · 2025-09-25
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$60,827
@ $71.90 · 2025-09-12
DUNNE MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
$707,900
@ $70.79 · 2025-09-08
COFFEY ROBERT
Officer
$538,800
@ $71.84 · 2025-07-28
MAY JAMES MICHAEL
Officer and Treasurer
$168,718
@ $77.50 · 2025-07-22
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$1.35M
@ $75.00 · 2025-05-16
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$1.66M
@ $70.00 · 2025-05-09
MAY JAMES MICHAEL
Officer
$162,258
@ $68.09 · 2025-02-18
DAGGS NICOLE J
Officer
$302,809
@ $75.57 · 2024-11-12
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$3.19M
@ $85.00 · 2024-09-16
PIMENTEL ARMANDO JR.
Officer of Subsidiary Company
$7.95M
@ $80.00 · 2024-08-26
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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HD
FearGreed
😐Neutral(46/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
NEE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(57/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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HD
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (46)
NEE
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (57)
View HD Full AnalysisView NEE Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: HD vs NEE

Is Home Depot, Inc. (The) or NextEra Energy, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?

Based on our discounted cash flow model, HD trades at a 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $248851992757 vs. price $332), compared to NEE's -251.5% margin of safety (intrinsic $25 vs. $87).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Home Depot, Inc. (The) or NextEra Energy, Inc.?

HD scores 87/100 (Wide moat), while NEE scores 24/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is NextEra Energy, Inc. in financial distress?

NEE's Altman Z-Score of 1.1 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. HD scores 3.5 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Home Depot, Inc. (The) or NextEra Energy, Inc.?

HD earns 20.2% ROIC versus NEE's 4.0%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Home Depot, Inc. (The)'s or NextEra Energy, Inc.'s?

HD's dividend earns a safety score of 69/100 (Safe), compared to NEE's 54/100 (Borderline). HD has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

HD vs NEE: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io