Compare Stocks › HD vs LMT

The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) vs Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, HD is overvalued at $334, with a DCF intrinsic value of $250 and a margin of safety of -34%. LMT is overvalued at $511, with an intrinsic value of $381 and a margin of safety of -34%. Of the two, HD has the wider margin of safety.

The Home Depot, Inc.

$334.28

LMT

Lockheed Martin Corporation

$510.95

Rewards

★The Home Depot, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
★The Home Depot, Inc. scores 87/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

LMT

★Lockheed Martin Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
★Lockheed Martin Corporation scores 74/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

⚠High leverage (4.48x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
⚠11 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.

LMT

⚠Gross margin of 9.9% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
⚠FCF yield of 5.9% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
⚠High leverage (2.51x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →

LMT

Valuation

$10.13B

Free Cash Flow

$6.91B

3.04%

FCF Yield

5.86%

23.72

Trailing P/E

24.77

20.75

Forward P/E

15.92

Quality & Moat

20.22%

ROIC

23.16%

128.38%

ROE

67.64%

33.13%

Gross Margin

9.91%

1.90

PEG Ratio

1.13

Balance Sheet Safety

4.48

Net Debt / Equity

2.51

N/A

Interest Coverage

N/A

2.49

Net Debt / EBITDA

2.35

2.76%

Dividend Yield

2.54%

HD: 4Ties: 2LMT: 6

HDLMT

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

LMT

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →

$-1.09

created per $1 retained over 3 years

Market Cap Declined

Σ Retained

$17.64B

Δ Market Cap

$-19.32B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

LMT

$-1.60

created per $1 retained over 3 years

Market Cap Declined

Σ Retained

$8.03B

Δ Market Cap

$-12.81B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →

33.5% Overvalued

Price is 33.5% above estimated fair value

Current Price: $334.28

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $250.30

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

LMT

34.0% Overvalued

Price is 34.0% above estimated fair value

Current Price: $510.95

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $381.34

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $334?

+11.8%

Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth

Standard FCF implies +16.8%

The market implies +11.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +16.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

LMT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $511?

+11.8%

Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth

Standard FCF implies +7.5%

The market implies +11.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +7.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →

87/100

Wide Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

LMT

74/100

Wide Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →

-2.40

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

LMT

-2.23

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →

Insiders 0.1%Institutions 76.1%Retail & Other 23.8%

No. of Institutional Holders5,106

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

LMT

Insiders 0.1%Institutions 76.0%Retail & Other 23.9%

No. of Institutional Holders3,414

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →

Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

BRENNEMAN GREGORY D

Director

$999,767

@ $346.66 · 2025-03-14

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

LMT

Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

No open market insider purchases found.

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →

Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $23.56M

MCPHAIL RICHARD V

Chief Financial Officer

$940,670

@ $368.89 · 2026-03-04

DEATON JOHN A.

Officer

$661,617

@ $369.00 · 2026-03-04

ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN

General Counsel

$1.00M

@ $348.52 · 2025-12-26

BROWN ANGIE

Chief Technology Officer

$695,948

@ $357.63 · 2025-12-12

BASTEK WILLIAM D

Officer

$974,445

@ $423.12 · 2025-09-12

ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN

General Counsel

$2.27M

@ $413.23 · 2025-08-22

BASTEK WILLIAM D

Officer

$1.55M

@ $410.23 · 2025-08-22

DECKER EDWARD P.

Chief Executive Officer

$13.07M

@ $397.22 · 2025-08-21

BROWN ANGIE

Chief Technology Officer

$404,070

@ $404.07 · 2025-08-20

MCPHAIL RICHARD V

Chief Financial Officer

$1.36M

@ $403.66 · 2025-08-20

PADILLA HECTOR A

Officer

$640,609

@ $404.17 · 2025-08-20

DEATON JOHN A.

Officer

$3.29M

@ $369.99 · 2025-06-03

ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN

General Counsel

$2.00M

@ $369.28 · 2025-05-28

SIDDIQUI FAHIM

Chief Technology Officer

$954,564

@ $367.14 · 2025-05-22

BASTEK WILLIAM D

Officer

$1.24M

@ $416.61 · 2024-11-22

HOURIGAN TIMOTHY A

Officer

$6.55M

@ $409.52 · 2024-11-18

ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN

General Counsel

$9.03M

@ $408.91 · 2024-11-14

PADILLA HECTOR A

Officer

$1.48M

@ $408.96 · 2024-11-14

CAMPBELL ANN-MARIE

Officer

$12.24M

@ $408.40 · 2024-11-14

MCPHAIL RICHARD V

Chief Financial Officer

$2.65M

@ $408.45 · 2024-11-13

SCARDINO KIMBERLY R.

Officer

$617,100

@ $363.00 · 2024-08-19

ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN

General Counsel

$1.87M

@ $359.32 · 2024-08-15

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

LMT

Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $10.29M

CAHILL TIMOTHY S

Officer

$3.00M

@ $649.47 · 2026-03-11

ULMER GREGORY M

Officer

$1.87M

@ $658.08 · 2026-02-27

HILL STEPHANIE C

Officer

$1.59M

@ $660.64 · 2026-02-24

ST JOHN FRANK A

Chief Operating Officer

$3.83M

@ $491.04 · 2025-10-23

HILL STEPHANIE C

Officer

$2.12M

@ $442.51 · 2025-02-26

LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR

Officer

$1.42M

@ $442.42 · 2025-02-26

PAUL HARRY EDWARD III

Officer

$312,923

@ $442.61 · 2025-02-26

HILL STEPHANIE C

Officer

$1.78M

@ $542.72 · 2024-08-01

CAHILL TIMOTHY S

Officer

$2.05M

@ $515.36 · 2024-07-24

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →

😐Neutral(51/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

LMT

😐Neutral(44/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)

LMT

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (44)

View HD Full Analysis View LMT Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: HD vs LMT

Is The Home Depot, Inc. or Lockheed Martin Corporation more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, HD trades at a -33.5% margin of safety (intrinsic value $250 vs. price $334), compared to LMT's -34.0% margin of safety (intrinsic $381 vs. $511).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, The Home Depot, Inc. or Lockheed Martin Corporation?▼

HD scores 87/100 (Wide moat), while LMT scores 74/100 (Wide moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Which company has better free cash flow, The Home Depot, Inc. or Lockheed Martin Corporation?▼

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) generates a 5.9% free cash flow yield, compared to The Home Depot, Inc.'s 3.0%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, The Home Depot, Inc. or Lockheed Martin Corporation?▼

LMT earns 23.2% ROIC versus HD's 20.2%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, The Home Depot, Inc.'s or Lockheed Martin Corporation's?▼

LMT's dividend earns a safety score of 84/100 (Very Safe), compared to HD's 69/100 (Safe). LMT has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.