SafetyMargin.ioSafetyMargin.io
BlogWatchlistCompare
Compare Stocks › HAS vs JNJ

Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) vs Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

HAS
Hasbro, Inc.
$91.36
VS
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
$237.60

Rewards

HAS
  • ★Gross margin of 63.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 51.8% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
JNJ
  • ★Johnson & Johnson has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • ★Gross margin of 68.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Johnson & Johnson scores 90/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

HAS
  • ⚠FCF yield of 5.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • ⚠High leverage (6.01x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • ⚠7 insider sales totaling $42.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
JNJ
  • ⚠FCF yield of 2.9% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • ⚠7 insider sales totaling $58.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →
HAS
JNJ
Valuation
$694.90M
Free Cash Flow
$16.63B
5.41%
FCF Yield
2.90%
N/A
Trailing P/E
21.56
14.60
Forward P/E
18.90
Quality & Moat
19.38%
ROIC
13.63%
-57.01%
ROE
32.87%
63.82%
Gross Margin
68.08%
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.44
Balance Sheet Safety
6.01
Debt / Equity
0.60
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.10
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.86
3.06%
Dividend Yield
2.19%
HAS: 4Ties: 1JNJ: 5
HASJNJ

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →
HAS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

JNJ

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →
HAS
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-2.60B
Δ Market Cap
+$3.08B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
JNJ
$0.91
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$40.05B
Δ Market Cap
+$36.63B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →
HAS
9.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 9.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $91.36
Fair Value: $100.79
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
JNJ
2.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 2.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $237.60
Fair Value: $244.77
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →
HAS

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $91?

+9.1%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market below historical growth — potential opportunity.

JNJ

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $238?

+9.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +15.8%

The market implies +9.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +15.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →
HAS
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
JNJ
90/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →
HAS
-3.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
JNJ
-2.31
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →
HAS
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 94.5%Retail & Other 4.7%
No. of Institutional Holders1,042
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
JNJ
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 75.8%Retail & Other 24.2%
No. of Institutional Holders5,544
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →
HAS
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
JNJ
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $257,688
MORIKIS JOHN G
Director
$257,688
@ $206.15 · 2025-11-26
WEINBERGER MARK A
Director
$147,220
@ $147.22 · 2024-12-12
WOODS EUGENE A
Director
$14,553
@ $145.53 · 2024-04-30
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
HAS
7
Sells (3M)
12
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $46.41M
COCKS CHRISTIAN P
Chief Executive Officer
$19.71M
@ $100.33 · 2026-02-26
BARBACOVI HOLLY
Officer
$437,929
@ $100.98 · 2026-02-20
KILPIN TIMOTHY J
Officer
$800,619
@ $103.00 · 2026-02-13
SIBLEY TARRANT LIVINGSTON III
Officer
$1.59M
@ $104.98 · 2026-02-12
GOETTER GINA M
Chief Financial Officer
$1.29M
@ $103.46 · 2026-02-12
COCKS CHRISTIAN P
Chief Executive Officer
$18.86M
@ $103.86 · 2026-02-12
BUNGE JASON M
Officer
$252,342
@ $106.03 · 2026-02-12
COCHRAN HOPE F
Director
$308,972
@ $77.24 · 2025-11-10
THOMSON ROBERTA KELLY
Officer
$202,825
@ $81.13 · 2025-08-28
KILPIN TIMOTHY J
Officer
$696,882
@ $81.44 · 2025-08-27
COCKS CHRISTIAN P
Chief Executive Officer
$2.19M
@ $78.92 · 2025-08-21
THOMSON ROBERTA KELLY
Officer
$79,971
@ $79.81 · 2025-08-14
AUSTIN MATTHEW EDWARD
Officer
$111,782
@ $65.07 · 2024-11-29
SIBLEY TARRANT LIVINGSTON III
Officer
$783,442
@ $60.26 · 2024-05-29
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
JNJ
7
Sells (3M)
12
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $101.23M
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.01M
@ $247.87 · 2026-02-27
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$324,763
@ $245.66 · 2026-02-20
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$5.53M
@ $244.33 · 2026-02-18
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$21.77M
@ $242.80 · 2026-02-17
SWANSON JAMES D
Chief Technology Officer
$15.11M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
BROADHURST VANESSA
Officer
$1.51M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$13.11M
@ $243.00 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$4.19M
@ $192.71 · 2025-10-17
TAUBERT JENNIFER L
Officer
$10.04M
@ $177.81 · 2025-09-04
DUATO JOAQUIN BOIX
Chief Executive Officer
$22.55M
@ $179.21 · 2025-08-22
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.98M
@ $176.91 · 2025-08-15
REED JOHN C
Officer
$3.13M
@ $163.55 · 2025-07-17
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.16M
@ $165.88 · 2025-02-25
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$62,928
@ $156.15 · 2025-02-18
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.00M
@ $153.89 · 2025-02-07
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$930,113
@ $165.06 · 2024-08-30
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
HAS
FearGreed
😐Neutral(46/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
JNJ
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
HAS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (46)
JNJ
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
View HAS Full AnalysisView JNJ Full Analysis