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Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) vs Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-11-01, GOOGL is overvalued at $280, with a DCF intrinsic value of $8 and a margin of safety of -3448%. PRU is fairly valued at $116, with an intrinsic value of $108 and a margin of safety of -8%. Of the two, PRU has the wider margin of safety.

GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
$279.84
VS
PRU
Prudential Financial, Inc.
$116.45

Rewards

GOOGL
  • ★Alphabet Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 60.9% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Alphabet Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
PRU
  • ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $18.55 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • ★FCF yield of 18.7% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.
  • ★Trailing P/E of 10.5x is 25% below the historical average of 14.1x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.

Risks

GOOGL
    PRU
    • ⚠Prudential Financial, Inc. scores only 15/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
    • ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.17 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    GOOGL
    PRU
    Valuation
    $-1.16B
    Free Cash Flow
    $7.53B
    -0.03%
    FCF Yield
    18.74%
    14.61
    Trailing P/E
    10.55
    18.49
    Forward P/E
    8.38
    Quality & Moat
    14.30%
    ROIC
    4.25%
    44.29%
    ROE
    12.01%
    60.86%
    Gross Margin
    29.02%
    0.98
    PEG Ratio
    0.86
    Balance Sheet Safety
    Net cash
    Net Debt / Equity
    0.51
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    -0.62
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.37
    0.31%
    Dividend Yield
    4.81%
    GOOGL: 5Ties: 1PRU: 6
    GOOGLPRU

    Historical Fundamentals

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    GOOGL

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    PRU

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    GOOGL
    $9.18
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $288.67B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$2.65T
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    PRU
    $0.92
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Mediocre Allocator
    Σ Retained
    $3.13B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$2.88B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    GOOGL
    3447.8% Overvalued
    Price is 3447.8% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $279.84
    Fair Value: $7.89
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    PRU
    8.0% Overvalued
    Price is 8.0% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $116.45
    Fair Value: $107.81
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    GOOGL

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    PRU

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $116?

    +4.8%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies -5.7%

    The market implies +4.8% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

    Standard FCF implies a more demanding -5.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

    Economic Moat Score

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    GOOGL
    89/100
    Wide Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
    PRU
    15/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable competitive advantage detected. The business shows limited evidence of pricing power, consistent returns, or capital efficiency.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    GOOGL
    -2.92
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    PRU
    -2.12
    Possible Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    GOOGL
    Insiders 1.6%Institutions 80.8%Retail & Other 17.6%
    No. of Institutional Holders7,451
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    PRU
    Insiders 0.2%Institutions 65.0%Retail & Other 34.8%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,861
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    GOOGL
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    No open market insider purchases found.
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    PRU
    0
    Buys (3M)
    3
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $168,840
    STODDARD THOMAS D
    Director
    $25,742
    @ $102.97 · 2026-02-17
    WOLK JOSEPH J
    Director
    $42,128
    @ $105.32 · 2026-02-11
    CHAPPUIS JACQUES P
    Officer
    $100,970
    @ $100.97 · 2026-02-06
    DI SIBIO CARMINE
    Director
    $22,208
    @ $111.04 · 2025-02-20
    FEENEY CAROLINE
    Officer
    $42,364
    @ $116.38 · 2024-12-12
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    GOOGL
    0
    Sells (3M)
    0
    Sells (12M)
    No open market insider sales found.
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    PRU
    1
    Sells (3M)
    5
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $9.15M
    KAPPLER ANN M
    General Counsel
    $956,577
    @ $125.01 · 2026-08-14
    KAPPLER ANN M
    General Counsel
    $1.40M
    @ $103.25 · 2026-05-14
    FEENEY CAROLINE
    Officer
    $762,215
    @ $116.28 · 2025-12-11
    SCHMIDT TIMOTHY L
    Officer
    $861,520
    @ $107.69 · 2025-12-02
    LOWREY CHARLES F
    Chairman of the Board
    $5.17M
    @ $107.39 · 2025-11-10
    KAPPLER ANN M
    General Counsel
    $438,600
    @ $109.65 · 2025-08-29
    SULLIVAN ANDREW F
    Officer
    $635,880
    @ $105.98 · 2025-03-12
    TODMAN MICHAEL A
    Director
    $333,291
    @ $112.98 · 2025-02-07
    SULLIVAN ANDREW F
    Officer
    $3.19M
    @ $124.10 · 2024-11-07
    LOWREY CHARLES F
    Chief Executive Officer
    $23.45M
    @ $126.29 · 2024-11-07
    FALZON ROBERT M
    Officer
    $6.76M
    @ $128.26 · 2024-11-06
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    GOOGL
    FearGreed
    😨Fear(23/100)

    "Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    PRU
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(60/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    GOOGL
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (23)
    PRU
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (60)
    View GOOGL Full AnalysisView PRU Full Analysis

    Frequently Asked Questions: GOOGL vs PRU

    Is Alphabet Inc. or Prudential Financial, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼

    Based on our discounted cash flow model, PRU trades at a -8.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $108 vs. price $116), compared to GOOGL's -3447.8% margin of safety (intrinsic $8 vs. $280).

    Which stock has a wider economic moat, Alphabet Inc. or Prudential Financial, Inc.?▼

    GOOGL scores 89/100 (Wide moat), while PRU scores 15/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

    Is Prudential Financial, Inc. in financial distress?▼

    PRU's Altman Z-Score of 0.2 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. GOOGL scores 2.4 (Grey zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

    Which company has better free cash flow, Alphabet Inc. or Prudential Financial, Inc.?▼

    Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) generates a 18.7% free cash flow yield, compared to Alphabet Inc.'s -0.0%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

    Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Alphabet Inc. or Prudential Financial, Inc.?▼

    GOOGL earns 14.3% ROIC versus PRU's 4.2%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

    Which dividend is safer, Alphabet Inc.'s or Prudential Financial, Inc.'s?▼

    GOOGL's dividend earns a safety score of 88/100 (Very Safe), compared to PRU's 84/100 (Very Safe). GOOGL has raised its dividend for 1 consecutive years.

    GOOGL vs PRU: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io