SafetyMargin.ioSafetyMargin.io
BlogWatchlistCompare
Compare Stocks › GOOGL vs IBKR

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) vs Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, GOOGL is overvalued at $368, with a DCF intrinsic value of $94 and a margin of safety of -290%. IBKR is overvalued at $96, with an intrinsic value of $73 and a margin of safety of -31%. Of the two, IBKR has the wider margin of safety.

GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
$368.03
VS
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
$96.00

Rewards

GOOGL
  • ★Alphabet Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 60.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Alphabet Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
IBKR
  • ★Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 93.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. scores 81/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

GOOGL
  • ⚠FCF yield of 1.6% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
IBKR
  • ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • ⚠Trailing P/E of 41.2x is 88% above the historical average of 21.9x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • ⚠PEG ratio of 2.51 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →
GOOGL
IBKR
Valuation
$73.27B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
1.63%
FCF Yield
N/A
28.09
Trailing P/E
41.20
25.39
Forward P/E
33.37
Quality & Moat
20.98%
ROIC
7.29%
38.88%
ROE
23.56%
60.37%
Gross Margin
93.02%
1.47
PEG Ratio
2.51
Balance Sheet Safety
Net cash
Net Debt / Equity
Net cash
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.19
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
0.24%
Dividend Yield
0.38%
GOOGL: 5Ties: 1IBKR: 3
GOOGLIBKR

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →
GOOGL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

IBKR

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →
GOOGL
$9.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$288.67B
Δ Market Cap
+$2.65T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
IBKR
$10.24
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.07B
Δ Market Cap
+$21.20B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →
GOOGL
289.6% Overvalued
Price is 289.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $368.03
Fair Value: $94.46
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
IBKR
30.9% Overvalued
Price is 30.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $96.00
Fair Value: $73.33
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →
GOOGL

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $368?

+22.9%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

IBKR

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →
GOOGL
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
IBKR
81/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Revenue Predictability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →
GOOGL
-2.92
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
IBKR
-2.34
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →
GOOGL
Insiders 1.2%Institutions 80.8%Retail & Other 18.1%
No. of Institutional Holders7,263
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
IBKR
Insiders 2.7%Institutions 89.8%Retail & Other 7.5%
No. of Institutional Holders1,353
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →
GOOGL
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
IBKR
3
Buys (3M)
5
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $37,624
CONKLING LORI A
Director
$2,152
@ $86.08 · 2026-06-01
CONKLING LORI A
Director
$1,991
@ $79.64 · 2026-05-01
CONKLING LORI A
Director
$1,710
@ $68.40 · 2026-04-01
CONKLING LORI A
Director
$5,391
@ $71.88 · 2026-03-02
BRIGHT JILL
Director
$26,380
@ $65.95 · 2025-10-23
BRIGHT JILL
Director
$29,634
@ $219.51 · 2025-01-31
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
GOOGL
0
Sells (3M)
0
Sells (12M)
No open market insider sales found.
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
IBKR
1
Sells (3M)
4
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $5.77M
HARRIS LAWRENCE E
Director
$2.00M
@ $76.93 · 2026-04-28
HARRIS LAWRENCE E
Director
$734,505
@ $69.00 · 2025-10-29
HARRIS LAWRENCE E
Director
$996,998
@ $69.45 · 2025-10-28
HARRIS LAWRENCE E
Director
$2.04M
@ $67.86 · 2025-10-24
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
GOOGL
FearGreed
😐Neutral(58/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
IBKR
FearGreed
😏Greed(68/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
GOOGL
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (58)
IBKR
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (68)
View GOOGL Full AnalysisView IBKR Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: GOOGL vs IBKR

Is Alphabet Inc. or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, IBKR trades at a -30.9% margin of safety (intrinsic value $73 vs. price $96), compared to GOOGL's -289.6% margin of safety (intrinsic $94 vs. $368).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Alphabet Inc. or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.?▼

GOOGL scores 89/100 (Wide moat), while IBKR scores 81/100 (Wide moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. in financial distress?▼

IBKR's Altman Z-Score of 0.4 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. GOOGL scores 2.4 (Grey zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Alphabet Inc. or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.?▼

GOOGL earns 21.0% ROIC versus IBKR's 7.3%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Alphabet Inc.'s or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.'s?▼

IBKR's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to GOOGL's 88/100 (Very Safe). IBKR has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.