Compare StocksGOOG vs LLY

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) vs Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)

GOOG
Alphabet Inc.
$379.81
VS
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$969.80

Rewards

GOOG
  • Alphabet Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 60.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Alphabet Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

GOOG
  • FCF yield of 1.6% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • 9 insider sales totaling $41.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
LLY
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.

Key Valuation Metrics

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GOOG
LLY
Valuation
$73.27B
Free Cash Flow
$9.16B
1.59%
FCF Yield
1.06%
28.97
Trailing P/E
34.48
26.65
Forward P/E
22.21
Quality & Moat
20.98%
ROIC
37.80%
27.61%
ROE
66.16%
60.37%
Gross Margin
82.83%
0.35
PEG Ratio
0.20
Balance Sheet Safety
0.20
Debt / Equity
1.39
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.19
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.05
0.23%
Dividend Yield
0.65%
GOOG: 5Ties: 1LLY: 6
GOOGLLY

Historical Fundamentals

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GOOG

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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GOOG
$9.19
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$288.67B
Δ Market Cap
+$2.65T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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GOOG
239.3% Overvalued
Price is 239.3% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $379.81
Fair Value: $111.93
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
LLY
15.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 15.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $969.80
Fair Value: $1145.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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GOOG

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $380?

+23.2%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $970?

+18.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.7%

The market implies +18.4% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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GOOG
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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GOOG
-2.92
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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GOOG
Insiders 6.6%Institutions 60.8%Retail & Other 32.6%
No. of Institutional Holders6,186
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.0%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,509
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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GOOG
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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GOOG
9
Sells (3M)
46
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $183.83M
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$37,842
@ $371.00 · 2026-04-30
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$178,702
@ $289.63 · 2026-04-01
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$28,069
@ $275.19 · 2026-03-30
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.01M
@ $307.89 · 2026-03-18
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.86M
@ $303.38 · 2026-03-04
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$284,590
@ $298.00 · 2026-03-03
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$33,935
@ $302.99 · 2026-03-02
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.88M
@ $303.92 · 2026-02-18
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.89M
@ $335.18 · 2026-02-04
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$314,001
@ $336.55 · 2026-02-02
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$34,680
@ $340.00 · 2026-01-29
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.64M
@ $327.30 · 2026-01-21
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.44M
@ $321.21 · 2026-01-07
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$31,972
@ $313.45 · 2025-12-31
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$867,569
@ $312.30 · 2025-12-15
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.74M
@ $299.80 · 2025-12-15
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.38M
@ $319.50 · 2025-12-03
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$302,418
@ $317.00 · 2025-12-02
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$32,401
@ $317.66 · 2025-12-01
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.64M
@ $296.64 · 2025-11-19
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$800,777
@ $288.26 · 2025-11-17
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.21M
@ $283.48 · 2025-11-05
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$269,343
@ $282.33 · 2025-11-03
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$32,682
@ $291.80 · 2025-10-30
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$694,651
@ $250.05 · 2025-10-15
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.13M
@ $250.15 · 2025-10-15
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$229,864
@ $241.20 · 2025-10-01
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$7.91M
@ $243.41 · 2025-10-01
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$25,042
@ $243.13 · 2025-09-30
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.11M
@ $249.50 · 2025-09-17
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$680,610
@ $245.00 · 2025-09-15
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$7.47M
@ $229.73 · 2025-09-03
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$21,196
@ $207.80 · 2025-08-28
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$21,196
@ $207.80 · 2025-08-28
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$6.50M
@ $199.92 · 2025-08-20
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$6.38M
@ $196.23 · 2025-08-06
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$19,827
@ $196.31 · 2025-07-30
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.99M
@ $184.38 · 2025-07-16
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.80M
@ $178.52 · 2025-07-02
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$21,867
@ $180.72 · 2025-06-30
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$19,827
@ $196.31 · 2025-06-30
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.74M
@ $176.68 · 2025-06-18
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.48M
@ $168.71 · 2025-06-04
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$19,138
@ $172.41 · 2025-05-30
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.55M
@ $170.87 · 2025-05-21
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.07M
@ $155.90 · 2025-05-07
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$17,743
@ $159.85 · 2025-04-30
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.08M
@ $156.16 · 2025-04-16
PICHAI SUNDAR
Chief Executive Officer
$5.15M
@ $158.56 · 2025-04-02
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$104,537
@ $155.33 · 2025-04-01
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$18,029
@ $162.42 · 2025-03-28
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$238,348
@ $173.47 · 2025-03-03
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$20,606
@ $170.30 · 2025-02-28
PORAT RUTH M
President
$3.25M
@ $183.48 · 2025-02-21
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$529,302
@ $187.43 · 2025-02-18
O TOOLE AMIE THUENER
Officer
$270,787
@ $202.08 · 2025-02-03
ARNOLD FRANCES H PH.D.
Director
$22,000
@ $200.00 · 2025-01-30
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
LLY
0
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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GOOG
FearGreed
😏Greed(72/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 5 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(56/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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GOOG
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (72)
LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (56)
View GOOG Full AnalysisView LLY Full Analysis
GOOG vs LLY: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io