Compare StocksFTNT vs MSFT

Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) vs Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
$83.12
VS
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
$389.02

Rewards

FTNT
  • Fortinet, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 80.5% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Fortinet, Inc. scores 86/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
MSFT
  • Microsoft Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 68.6% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Microsoft Corporation scores 88/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

FTNT
  • FCF yield of 2.8% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Insiders have sold $42.3M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
MSFT
  • FCF yield of 2.5% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.

Key Valuation Metrics

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FTNT
MSFT
Valuation
$1.75B
Free Cash Flow
$71.61B
2.83%
FCF Yield
2.48%
34.35
Trailing P/E
24.33
25.12
Forward P/E
20.64
Quality & Moat
76.55%
ROIC
22.10%
149.77%
ROE
26.05%
80.46%
Gross Margin
68.59%
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.41
Balance Sheet Safety
0.86
Debt / Equity
0.32
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-1.13
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.19
N/A
Dividend Yield
0.94%
FTNT: 5Ties: 1MSFT: 4
FTNTMSFT

Historical Fundamentals

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FTNT

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MSFT

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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FTNT
$4.38
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.75B
Δ Market Cap
+$20.79B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MSFT
$9.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$196.68B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.81T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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FTNT
21.6% Overvalued
Price is 21.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $83.12
Fair Value: $68.36
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MSFT
0.5% Overvalued
Price is 0.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $389.02
Fair Value: $387.10
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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FTNT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $83?

+14.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.9%

The market implies +14.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +14.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

MSFT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $389?

+12.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +17.4%

The market implies +12.6% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +17.4%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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FTNT
86/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MSFT
88/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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FTNT
-2.61
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MSFT
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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FTNT
Insiders 17.4%Institutions 71.6%Retail & Other 11.0%
No. of Institutional Holders1,972
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MSFT
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 76.0%Retail & Other 23.9%
No. of Institutional Holders8,054
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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FTNT
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $34,912
NEUKOM WILLIAM H
Director
$34,912
@ $104.21 · 2025-06-06
NEUKOM WILLIAM H
Director
$34,878
@ $106.34 · 2025-03-06
NEUKOM WILLIAM H
Director
$34,968
@ $98.50 · 2024-12-06
NEUKOM WILLIAM H
Director
$34,898
@ $59.55 · 2024-06-06
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MSFT
1
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.44M
STANTON JOHN W.
Director
$1.99M
@ $397.35 · 2026-02-18
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$1.45M
@ $377.47 · 2025-04-23
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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FTNT
3
Sells (3M)
12
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $136.18M
OHLGART CHRISTIANE MARGRIT
Chief Financial Officer
$40,930
@ $80.73 · 2026-02-03
XIE MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
$27.94M
@ $81.42 · 2026-02-02
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$14.31M
@ $81.42 · 2026-02-02
OHLGART CHRISTIANE MARGRIT
Chief Financial Officer
$9,515
@ $86.50 · 2025-11-04
XIE MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
$306,825
@ $86.53 · 2025-11-03
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$13.71M
@ $86.51 · 2025-11-03
OHLGART CHRISTIANE MARGRIT
Chief Financial Officer
$10,830
@ $98.45 · 2025-08-05
XIE MICHAEL
Officer and Director
$46.94M
@ $98.48 · 2025-08-04
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$15.61M
@ $98.48 · 2025-08-04
OHLGART CHRISTIANE MARGRIT
Chief Financial Officer
$121,883
@ $104.71 · 2025-06-06
XIE MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
$376,274
@ $106.11 · 2025-05-02
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$16.81M
@ $106.10 · 2025-05-02
GOLDMAN KENNETH ALLEN
Director
$200,000
@ $100.00 · 2025-03-12
XIE MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
$32.08M
@ $98.17 · 2025-03-11
GOLDMAN KENNETH ALLEN
Director
$99,320
@ $99.32 · 2025-03-10
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$19.97M
@ $96.93 · 2025-03-10
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$1.93M
@ $109.18 · 2025-02-26
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$2.67M
@ $113.56 · 2025-02-19
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$4.89M
@ $107.68 · 2025-02-12
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$4.27M
@ $92.79 · 2025-01-15
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$4.43M
@ $96.70 · 2024-12-18
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$1.69M
@ $95.66 · 2024-11-26
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$386,013
@ $90.83 · 2024-11-19
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$4.53M
@ $98.79 · 2024-11-13
WHITTLE JOHN
Chief Operating Officer
$3.29M
@ $85.56 · 2024-11-08
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$4.84M
@ $85.36 · 2024-11-08
XIE MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
$1.95M
@ $78.86 · 2024-11-04
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$3.83M
@ $82.26 · 2024-10-16
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$3.54M
@ $75.34 · 2024-09-18
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$905,465
@ $75.55 · 2024-08-27
WHITTLE JOHN
Chief Operating Officer
$7.77M
@ $75.21 · 2024-08-21
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$321,636
@ $75.68 · 2024-08-20
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$3.42M
@ $72.06 · 2024-08-14
XIE MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
$1.39M
@ $56.11 · 2024-08-02
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$2.90M
@ $59.84 · 2024-07-16
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$2.90M
@ $59.88 · 2024-06-12
JENSEN KEITH FRANKLIN
Chief Financial Officer
$3.43M
@ $59.37 · 2024-06-05
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$2.93M
@ $60.48 · 2024-05-15
XIE MICHAEL
Chief Technology Officer
$1.59M
@ $64.48 · 2024-05-02
XIE KENNETH QING
Chief Executive Officer
$3.11M
@ $64.81 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MSFT
1
Sells (3M)
13
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $172.43M
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$5.05M
@ $409.55 · 2026-03-06
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.36M
@ $478.72 · 2025-12-04
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$6.27M
@ $491.52 · 2025-12-02
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$19.97M
@ $518.64 · 2025-11-03
NADELLA SATYA
Chief Executive Officer
$75.32M
@ $504.78 · 2025-09-03
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$2.56M
@ $527.32 · 2025-08-12
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.39M
@ $463.00 · 2025-06-03
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$460,008
@ $460.01 · 2025-05-30
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$9.76M
@ $453.77 · 2025-05-21
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$7.33M
@ $458.18 · 2025-05-19
COLEMAN AMY
Officer
$5.99M
@ $452.04 · 2025-05-15
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$1.68M
@ $438.44 · 2025-05-05
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$35.30M
@ $435.84 · 2025-05-05
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.12M
@ $447.41 · 2024-12-09
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$874,634
@ $437.32 · 2024-12-04
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.50M
@ $428.76 · 2024-12-02
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$10.43M
@ $417.00 · 2024-11-22
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$414,720
@ $414.72 · 2024-11-22
YOUNG CHRISTOPHER DAVID
Officer
$3.05M
@ $423.66 · 2024-11-12
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$7.16M
@ $411.86 · 2024-09-10
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.03M
@ $411.04 · 2024-09-10
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$16.10M
@ $402.59 · 2024-09-09
HOOD AMY E
Chief Financial Officer
$15.60M
@ $410.55 · 2024-09-05
NADELLA SATYA
Chief Executive Officer
$32.02M
@ $408.63 · 2024-09-04
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$235,535
@ $416.14 · 2024-06-03
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$10.64M
@ $425.68 · 2024-05-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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FTNT
FearGreed
😐Neutral(50/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MSFT
FearGreed
😐Neutral(43/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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FTNT
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (50)
MSFT
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
View FTNT Full AnalysisView MSFT Full Analysis