Compare Stocks › FICO vs MS
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)
FICO
Fair Isaac Corporation
$1113.16
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55
Rewards
FICO
- ★Fair Isaac Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 82.9% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Fair Isaac Corporation scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
MS
- ★Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
Risks
FICO
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.2% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠PEG ratio of 5.34 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
- ⚠18 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
MS
- ⚠High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →FICO
MS
Valuation
$573.16M
Free Cash Flow
N/A
2.17%
FCF Yield
N/A
41.15
Trailing P/E
15.53
20.86
Forward P/E
12.89
Quality & Moat
23.18%
ROIC
3.43%
N/A
ROE
14.42%
82.86%
Gross Margin
87.06%
5.34
PEG Ratio
0.75
Balance Sheet Safety
N/A
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
3.04
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.52%
FICO: 1Ties: 2MS: 3
FICOMS
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →FICO
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
MS
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →FICO
$15.76
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$1.59B
Δ Market Cap
+$25.12B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →FICO
34.2% Margin of Safety
Price is 34.2% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $1113.16
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1691.04
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
45.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.55
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $290.92
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →FICO
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $1113?
+18.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.6%
The market implies +18.8% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.
Standard FCF implies +20.6%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.
MS
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →FICO
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MS
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →FICO
-2.68
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →FICO
Insiders 2.7%Institutions 91.2%Retail & Other 6.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,413
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,181
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →FICO
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →FICO
1
Sells (3M)
18
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $88.27M
MANOLIS EVA
Director
$638,368
@ $1227.63 · 2026-02-25
WEBER STEVEN P.
Chief Financial Officer
$2.58M
@ $1810.00 · 2025-12-17
MANOLIS EVA
Director
$951,257
@ $1825.83 · 2025-12-12
MCMORRIS MARC F
Director
$434,287
@ $1809.53 · 2025-11-26
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$8.06M
@ $1631.34 · 2025-10-14
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$1.76M
@ $1650.17 · 2025-10-14
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.24M
@ $1537.50 · 2025-09-09
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.03M
@ $1501.84 · 2025-08-28
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$5.97M
@ $1565.99 · 2025-07-08
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$3.92M
@ $1780.48 · 2025-07-08
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$10.62M
@ $1767.82 · 2025-06-10
WEBER STEVEN P.
Chief Financial Officer
$1.74M
@ $1738.25 · 2025-06-09
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$11.64M
@ $2147.97 · 2025-05-13
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$1.28M
@ $2170.34 · 2025-05-13
MCMORRIS MARC F
Director
$1.66M
@ $2087.50 · 2025-05-09
BOWERS THOMAS A
Officer
$8.39M
@ $2057.05 · 2025-05-02
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$5.14M
@ $1683.35 · 2025-04-08
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$5.21M
@ $1761.13 · 2025-04-08
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$3.25M
@ $1694.38 · 2025-03-11
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$7.07M
@ $1727.69 · 2025-03-11
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$10.84M
@ $1804.23 · 2025-02-11
WEBER STEVEN P.
Chief Financial Officer
$273,054
@ $1964.42 · 2025-01-08
MCMORRIS MARC F
Director
$1.12M
@ $2152.57 · 2024-12-17
WEHMANN JAMES M.
Officer
$6.59M
@ $2195.19 · 2024-12-12
SCADINA MARK R
General Counsel
$2,390
@ $2390.00 · 2024-12-09
SCADINA MARK R
General Counsel
$6.16M
@ $2389.99 · 2024-12-06
WEHMANN JAMES M.
Officer
$8.31M
@ $2373.85 · 2024-12-05
WEHMANN JAMES M.
Officer
$8.12M
@ $2320.41 · 2024-11-21
REY DAVID A
Director
$10.95M
@ $2340.28 · 2024-11-11
STANSBURY HENRY TAYLOE
Director
$582,299
@ $2338.55 · 2024-11-11
BOWERS THOMAS A
Officer
$6.27M
@ $2338.21 · 2024-11-11
KELLY BRADEN R
Director
$9.10M
@ $2343.43 · 2024-11-11
REES JOANNA
Director
$6.93M
@ $1750.00 · 2024-09-05
MCMORRIS MARC F
Director
$2.59M
@ $1749.33 · 2024-08-13
BOWERS THOMAS A
Officer
$5.15M
@ $1715.27 · 2024-08-12
WEBER STEVEN P.
Chief Financial Officer
$3.12M
@ $1735.00 · 2024-08-09
SCADINA MARK R
General Counsel
$6.00M
@ $1714.18 · 2024-08-08
SCADINA MARK R
General Counsel
$6.93M
@ $1385.77 · 2024-06-14
SCADINA MARK R
General Counsel
$10.61M
@ $1372.58 · 2024-05-24
MCMORRIS MARC F
Director
$2.26M
@ $1413.20 · 2024-05-17
LANSING WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
$9.12M
@ $1140.55 · 2024-04-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
7
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.45M
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
$9.02M
@ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.01M
@ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →FICO
😨Fear(24/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
😐Neutral(48/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →FICO
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (24)
MS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)