Compare StocksFAST vs JNJ

Fastenal Company (FAST) vs Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

FAST
Fastenal Company
$44.49
VS
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
$237.60

Rewards

FAST
  • Fastenal Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Fastenal Company scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 11.0% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
JNJ
  • Johnson & Johnson has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 68.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Johnson & Johnson scores 90/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

FAST
  • FCF yield of 2.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Trailing P/E of 40.8x is 26% above the historical average of 32.3x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • PEG ratio of 4.39 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
JNJ
  • FCF yield of 2.9% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $58.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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FAST
JNJ
Valuation
$1.05B
Free Cash Flow
$16.63B
2.06%
FCF Yield
2.90%
40.82
Trailing P/E
21.56
32.99
Forward P/E
18.90
Quality & Moat
28.00%
ROIC
13.63%
31.91%
ROE
32.87%
45.01%
Gross Margin
68.08%
4.39
PEG Ratio
0.44
Balance Sheet Safety
0.11
Debt / Equity
0.60
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.09
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.86
2.02%
Dividend Yield
2.19%
FAST: 3Ties: 2JNJ: 7
FASTJNJ

Historical Fundamentals

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FAST

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

JNJ

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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FAST
$29.34
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$649.7M
Δ Market Cap
+$19.06B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
JNJ
$0.91
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$40.05B
Δ Market Cap
+$36.63B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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FAST
65.8% Overvalued
Price is 65.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $44.49
Fair Value: $26.84
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
JNJ
2.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 2.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $237.60
Fair Value: $244.77
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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FAST

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $44?

+17.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +19.9%

The market implies +17.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +19.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

JNJ

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $238?

+9.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +15.8%

The market implies +9.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +15.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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FAST
94/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
JNJ
90/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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FAST
-2.40
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
JNJ
-2.31
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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FAST
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 88.2%Retail & Other 11.6%
No. of Institutional Holders1,854
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
JNJ
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 75.8%Retail & Other 24.2%
No. of Institutional Holders5,544
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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FAST
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $250,806
NIELSEN SARAH N
Director
$39,600
@ $39.60 · 2025-11-19
JOHNSON DANIEL L.
Director
$40,440
@ $40.44 · 2025-11-17
HSU HSENGHUNG SAM
Director
$40,750
@ $40.75 · 2025-11-13
HSU HSENGHUNG SAM
Director
$40,580
@ $40.58 · 2025-11-13
EASTMAN STEPHEN L
Director
$40,816
@ $40.82 · 2025-11-12
HSU HSENGHUNG SAM
Director
$42,450
@ $42.45 · 2025-10-16
MILLER CHARLES S
Officer
$3,069
@ $76.72 · 2025-04-14
MILLER CHARLES S
Officer
$3,101
@ $77.53 · 2025-04-14
LEWIS HOLDEN
Chief Financial Officer
$15,538
@ $71.94 · 2024-11-21
HSU HSENGHUNG SAM
Director
$63,115
@ $63.12 · 2024-06-11
JOHNSON DANIEL L.
Director
$229,056
@ $68.37 · 2024-04-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
JNJ
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $257,688
MORIKIS JOHN G
Director
$257,688
@ $206.15 · 2025-11-26
WEINBERGER MARK A
Director
$147,220
@ $147.22 · 2024-12-12
WOODS EUGENE A
Director
$14,553
@ $145.53 · 2024-04-30
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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FAST
2
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $26.27M
WISECUP REYNE KAY
Director
$1.75M
@ $47.34 · 2026-03-05
SATTERLEE SCOTT ALAN
Director
$705,454
@ $44.19 · 2026-01-23
DRAZKOWSKI WILLIAM JOSEPH
Officer
$333,012
@ $48.67 · 2025-08-15
FLORNESS DANIEL LARS
Chief Executive Officer
$4.10M
@ $48.44 · 2025-08-12
FLORNESS DANIEL LARS
Chief Executive Officer
$4.10M
@ $48.44 · 2025-08-12
WATTS JEFFERY MICHAEL
President
$2.34M
@ $48.05 · 2025-08-08
SODERBERG JOHN LEWIS
Officer
$1.66M
@ $48.03 · 2025-08-08
SODERBERG JOHN LEWIS
Officer
$1.66M
@ $48.03 · 2025-08-08
BROERSMA ANTHONY PAUL
Officer
$650,931
@ $47.93 · 2025-07-24
LISOWSKI SHERYL ANN
Chief Financial Officer
$951,832
@ $45.21 · 2025-07-17
PAPENFUSS DONNALEE KATHLEEN
Officer
$121,983
@ $41.27 · 2025-06-05
SODERBERG JOHN LEWIS
Officer
$1.35M
@ $82.45 · 2025-05-16
SATTERLEE SCOTT ALAN
Director
$768,868
@ $79.51 · 2025-05-06
BROERSMA ANTHONY PAUL
Officer
$452,060
@ $81.19 · 2025-04-25
FLORNESS DANIEL LARS
Chief Executive Officer
$4.11M
@ $82.12 · 2025-04-24
DRAZKOWSKI WILLIAM JOSEPH
Officer
$1.22M
@ $81.31 · 2025-04-14
LEWIS HOLDEN
Chief Financial Officer
$5.15M
@ $74.97 · 2025-03-14
JANSEN JAMES C
Officer
$1.63M
@ $83.07 · 2024-11-22
MILLER CHARLES S
Officer
$1.97M
@ $83.92 · 2024-11-13
JOHNSON DANIEL L.
Director
$706,396
@ $83.36 · 2024-11-13
FLORNESS DANIEL LARS
Chief Executive Officer
$2.69M
@ $84.50 · 2024-11-11
LUNDQUIST NICHOLAS J
Director
$705,695
@ $83.14 · 2024-11-08
PAPENFUSS DONNALEE KATHLEEN
Officer
$374,470
@ $83.92 · 2024-11-08
LISOWSKI SHERYL ANN
Officer and Treasurer
$501,205
@ $83.53 · 2024-11-08
LEWIS HOLDEN
Chief Financial Officer
$3.41M
@ $83.12 · 2024-11-07
DRAZKOWSKI WILLIAM JOSEPH
Officer
$1.42M
@ $82.28 · 2024-11-06
SODERBERG JOHN LEWIS
Officer
$1.59M
@ $82.95 · 2024-11-06
HEISE RITA J
Director
$845,692
@ $77.67 · 2024-10-30
DRAZKOWSKI WILLIAM JOSEPH
Officer
$1.27M
@ $77.65 · 2024-10-16
WISECUP REYNE KAY
Director
$1.71M
@ $78.55 · 2024-10-16
BROERSMA ANTHONY PAUL
Officer
$52,945
@ $77.86 · 2024-10-16
LUNDQUIST NICHOLAS J
Director
$1.74M
@ $77.15 · 2024-10-15
LEWIS HOLDEN
Chief Financial Officer
$2.30M
@ $76.52 · 2024-10-14
LISOWSKI SHERYL ANN
Officer and Treasurer
$1.03M
@ $76.19 · 2024-10-14
FLORNESS DANIEL LARS
Chief Executive Officer
$3.48M
@ $69.68 · 2024-09-12
FLORNESS DANIEL LARS
Chief Executive Officer
$3.12M
@ $68.14 · 2024-08-21
JANSEN JAMES C
Officer
$732,147
@ $64.07 · 2024-05-29
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
JNJ
7
Sells (3M)
12
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $101.23M
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.01M
@ $247.87 · 2026-02-27
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$324,763
@ $245.66 · 2026-02-20
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$5.53M
@ $244.33 · 2026-02-18
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$21.77M
@ $242.80 · 2026-02-17
SWANSON JAMES D
Chief Technology Officer
$15.11M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
BROADHURST VANESSA
Officer
$1.51M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$13.11M
@ $243.00 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$4.19M
@ $192.71 · 2025-10-17
TAUBERT JENNIFER L
Officer
$10.04M
@ $177.81 · 2025-09-04
DUATO JOAQUIN BOIX
Chief Executive Officer
$22.55M
@ $179.21 · 2025-08-22
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.98M
@ $176.91 · 2025-08-15
REED JOHN C
Officer
$3.13M
@ $163.55 · 2025-07-17
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.16M
@ $165.88 · 2025-02-25
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$62,928
@ $156.15 · 2025-02-18
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.00M
@ $153.89 · 2025-02-07
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$930,113
@ $165.06 · 2024-08-30
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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FAST
FearGreed
😐Neutral(52/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
JNJ
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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FAST
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)
JNJ
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
View FAST Full AnalysisView JNJ Full Analysis