Compare Stocks › EXPE vs MS
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
$248.81
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$187.70
Rewards
EXPE
- ★Expedia Group, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★Gross margin of 90.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Expedia Group, Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
MS
- ★Gross margin of 87.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Morgan Stanley scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.11 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
Risks
EXPE
- ⚠High leverage (2.55x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 1.72 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠8 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
MS
- ⚠High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $17.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →EXPE
MS
Valuation
$2.93B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
9.82%
FCF Yield
N/A
25.34
Trailing P/E
16.99
10.86
Forward P/E
14.83
Quality & Moat
19.91%
ROIC
3.75%
50.80%
ROE
14.42%
90.12%
Gross Margin
87.39%
0.89
PEG Ratio
0.53
Balance Sheet Safety
2.55
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.33
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
0.67%
Dividend Yield
2.10%
EXPE: 4Ties: 2MS: 3
EXPEMS
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →EXPE
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
MS
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →EXPE
$6.81
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$3.13B
Δ Market Cap
+$21.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →EXPE
41.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 41.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $248.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $424.57
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
31.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 31.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $187.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $275.48
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →EXPE
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $249?
+10.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -1.3%
The market implies +10.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding -1.3%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
MS
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →EXPE
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MS
80/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →EXPE
-2.74
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →EXPE
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 104.5%
No. of Institutional Holders1,536
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.3%Institutions 63.0%Retail & Other 12.8%
No. of Institutional Holders3,167
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →EXPE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →EXPE
1
Sells (3M)
8
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $5.33M
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.82M
@ $220.82 · 2026-03-04
BANERJEE MADHUMITA MOINA
Director
$258,000
@ $258.00 · 2025-12-01
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$219,932
@ $256.93 · 2025-11-25
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$210,620
@ $248.08 · 2025-11-21
JACOBSON CRAIG A
Director
$814,650
@ $271.55 · 2025-11-13
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$175,412
@ $205.88 · 2025-08-20
JACOBSON CRAIG A
Director
$623,329
@ $207.78 · 2025-08-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.21M
@ $202.95 · 2025-08-13
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$132,098
@ $191.17 · 2025-03-04
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.96M
@ $196.27 · 2025-03-03
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.03M
@ $205.70 · 2025-02-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$988,407
@ $203.00 · 2025-02-12
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.70M
@ $169.79 · 2025-02-03
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.85M
@ $185.15 · 2025-01-02
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.85M
@ $184.66 · 2024-12-02
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$135,189
@ $185.95 · 2024-11-22
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.01M
@ $183.24 · 2024-11-22
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$1.27M
@ $181.99 · 2024-11-14
GORIN ARIANE
Chief Executive Officer
$10.37M
@ $181.14 · 2024-11-12
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.57M
@ $156.87 · 2024-11-01
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.50M
@ $150.18 · 2024-10-04
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.50M
@ $150.21 · 2024-09-27
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$770,454
@ $134.58 · 2024-08-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$729,138
@ $134.60 · 2024-08-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$6.05M
@ $131.94 · 2024-08-15
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$61,679
@ $113.38 · 2024-06-03
JACOBSON CRAIG A
Director
$757,657
@ $112.71 · 2024-05-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
4
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $74.11M
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$2.12M
@ $190.75 · 2026-04-20
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$2.78M
@ $189.24 · 2026-04-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$3.04M
@ $188.22 · 2026-04-16
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$9.74M
@ $188.59 · 2026-04-16
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →EXPE
😐Neutral(49/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
😏Greed(69/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →EXPE
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (49)
MS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (69)