Compare StocksEXPE vs GS

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) vs The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
$239.41
VS
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
$809.50

Rewards

EXPE
  • Expedia Group, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 90.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Expedia Group, Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
GS
  • Gross margin of 82.9% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $5.60 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

EXPE
  • High leverage (2.55x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Altman Z-Score of 1.72 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 8 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
GS
  • The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. scores only 26/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • High leverage (5.96x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.25 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.

Key Valuation Metrics

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EXPE
GS
Valuation
$2.93B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
10.00%
FCF Yield
N/A
24.38
Trailing P/E
15.77
10.51
Forward P/E
12.45
Quality & Moat
19.91%
ROIC
2.06%
50.80%
ROE
13.00%
90.12%
Gross Margin
82.88%
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.91
Balance Sheet Safety
2.55
Debt / Equity
5.96
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.33
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
0.70%
Dividend Yield
2.22%
EXPE: 5Ties: 1GS: 2
EXPEGS

Historical Fundamentals

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EXPE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

GS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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EXPE
$6.81
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$3.13B
Δ Market Cap
+$21.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
GS
$5.60
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$26.00B
Δ Market Cap
+$145.60B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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EXPE
41.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 41.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $239.41
Fair Value: $410.61
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
GS
65.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 65.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $809.50
Fair Value: $2319.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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EXPE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $239?

+9.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -1.5%

The market implies +9.8% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -1.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

GS

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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EXPE
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
GS
26/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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EXPE
-2.74
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
GS
-2.00
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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EXPE
Insiders 1.2%Institutions 102.9%
No. of Institutional Holders1,556
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
GS
Insiders 0.5%Institutions 75.7%Retail & Other 23.8%
No. of Institutional Holders3,730
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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EXPE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
GS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.00M
HESS JOHN B JR.
Director
$2.00M
@ $511.68 · 2025-04-15
JOHNSON KEVIN RONALD
Director
$1.49M
@ $619.02 · 2025-01-17
FLAHERTY MARK A
Director
$29,545
@ $360.30 · 2024-09-27
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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EXPE
1
Sells (3M)
8
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $5.33M
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.82M
@ $220.82 · 2026-03-04
BANERJEE MADHUMITA MOINA
Director
$258,000
@ $258.00 · 2025-12-01
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$219,932
@ $256.93 · 2025-11-25
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$210,620
@ $248.08 · 2025-11-21
JACOBSON CRAIG A
Director
$814,650
@ $271.55 · 2025-11-13
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$175,412
@ $205.88 · 2025-08-20
JACOBSON CRAIG A
Director
$623,329
@ $207.78 · 2025-08-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.21M
@ $202.95 · 2025-08-13
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$132,098
@ $191.17 · 2025-03-04
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.96M
@ $196.27 · 2025-03-03
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.03M
@ $205.70 · 2025-02-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$988,407
@ $203.00 · 2025-02-12
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.70M
@ $169.79 · 2025-02-03
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.85M
@ $185.15 · 2025-01-02
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.85M
@ $184.66 · 2024-12-02
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$135,189
@ $185.95 · 2024-11-22
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$1.01M
@ $183.24 · 2024-11-22
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$1.27M
@ $181.99 · 2024-11-14
GORIN ARIANE
Chief Executive Officer
$10.37M
@ $181.14 · 2024-11-12
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.57M
@ $156.87 · 2024-11-01
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.50M
@ $150.18 · 2024-10-04
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA
Director
$1.50M
@ $150.21 · 2024-09-27
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$770,454
@ $134.58 · 2024-08-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$729,138
@ $134.60 · 2024-08-19
DZIELAK ROBERT J
Officer
$6.05M
@ $131.94 · 2024-08-15
SOLIDAY LANCE A
Officer
$61,679
@ $113.38 · 2024-06-03
JACOBSON CRAIG A
Director
$757,657
@ $112.71 · 2024-05-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
GS
6
Sells (3M)
11
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $59.99M
COLEMAN DENIS P.
Chief Financial Officer
$10.94M
@ $941.57 · 2026-02-09
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$255,387
@ $938.92 · 2026-01-29
HALIO CAREY
Officer
$2.64M
@ $927.17 · 2026-01-27
FREDMAN SHEARA J.
Officer
$4.49M
@ $923.75 · 2026-01-23
RUEMMLER KATHRYN H
General Counsel
$8.89M
@ $927.51 · 2026-01-23
HALIO CAREY
Officer
$1.62M
@ $920.62 · 2026-01-23
WALDRON JOHN E.
President
$13.69M
@ $750.30 · 2025-08-28
COLEMAN DENIS P.
Chief Financial Officer
$5.41M
@ $724.40 · 2025-07-25
ROGERS JOHN F W
Officer
$4.31M
@ $717.39 · 2025-07-23
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$4.71M
@ $712.31 · 2025-07-23
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$3.04M
@ $607.17 · 2025-05-14
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.50M
@ $622.15 · 2025-02-26
GOLTEN ALEXANDER SIMON
Officer
$3.31M
@ $636.25 · 2025-01-28
HALIO CAREY
Officer and Treasurer
$2.32M
@ $636.74 · 2025-01-24
FREDMAN SHEARA J.
Officer
$1.28M
@ $627.01 · 2025-01-21
RUEMMLER KATHRYN H
General Counsel
$4.76M
@ $634.69 · 2025-01-21
HALIO CAREY
Officer
$965,120
@ $624.67 · 2025-01-21
VINIAR DAVID A
Director
$3.06M
@ $612.08 · 2024-11-29
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$4.00M
@ $610.91 · 2024-11-29
FREDMAN SHEARA J.
Officer
$1.77M
@ $594.51 · 2024-11-06
COLEMAN DENIS P.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.67M
@ $593.03 · 2024-11-06
ROGERS JOHN F W
Officer
$3.83M
@ $596.36 · 2024-11-06
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$3.00M
@ $500.29 · 2024-08-15
VINIAR DAVID A
Director
$2.51M
@ $502.43 · 2024-07-16
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$3.02M
@ $457.32 · 2024-05-10
VINIAR DAVID A
Director
$2.16M
@ $432.25 · 2024-04-29
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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EXPE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(49/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
GS
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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EXPE
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (49)
GS
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
View EXPE Full AnalysisView GS Full Analysis
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) vs The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io