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EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) vs Intel Corporation (INTC): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, EOG is fairly valued at $130, with a DCF intrinsic value of $149 and a margin of safety of 13%. INTC is overvalued at $134, with an intrinsic value of $8 and a margin of safety of -1513%. Of the two, EOG has the wider margin of safety.

EOG
EOG Resources, Inc.
$129.98
VS
INTC
Intel Corporation
$133.99

Rewards

EOG
  • EOG Resources, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 62.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
INTC

    Risks

    EOG
    • 9 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
    • Free cash flow has declined at a 17.3% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
    INTC
    • Intel Corporation scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
    • Share count has increased by 21% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
    • Insiders have sold $6.5M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    EOG
    INTC
    Valuation
    $2.86B
    Free Cash Flow
    $-8.30B
    4.14%
    FCF Yield
    -1.23%
    12.78
    Trailing P/E
    N/A
    8.77
    Forward P/E
    86.70
    Quality & Moat
    17.99%
    ROIC
    1.72%
    18.20%
    ROE
    -2.91%
    61.99%
    Gross Margin
    37.20%
    1.06
    PEG Ratio
    1.36
    Balance Sheet Safety
    0.14
    Net Debt / Equity
    0.10
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    0.35
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.86
    3.09%
    Dividend Yield
    0.00%
    EOG: 9Ties: 1INTC: 1
    EOGINTC

    Historical Fundamentals

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    EOG

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    INTC

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    EOG
    $-1.73
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Market Cap Declined
    Σ Retained
    $11.34B
    Δ Market Cap
    $-19.66B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    INTC
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-22.02B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$74.94B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    EOG
    12.6% Margin of Safety
    Price is 12.6% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $129.98
    Fair Value: $148.65
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    INTC
    Insufficient Data
    Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
    Current Price: $133.99
    Fair Value: $0.00
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    EOG

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $130?

    +11.1%
    Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

    Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

    INTC

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    Economic Moat Score

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    EOG
    53/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving reinvestment efficiency would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
    INTC
    17/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    EOG
    -3.06
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    INTC
    -2.83
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    EOG
    Insiders 0.3%Institutions 97.8%Retail & Other 2.0%
    No. of Institutional Holders2,099
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    INTC
    Insiders 14.7%Institutions 64.0%Retail & Other 21.2%
    No. of Institutional Holders3,349
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    EOG
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $755.00
    @ $107.86 · 2025-05-07
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    INTC
    0
    Buys (3M)
    1
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $249,985
    ZINSNER DAVID A
    Chief Financial Officer
    $249,985
    @ $42.50 · 2026-01-26
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,198
    @ $22.53 · 2024-11-04
    GELSINGER PATRICK P
    Chief Executive Officer
    $251,946
    @ $20.16 · 2024-08-05
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    EOG
    2
    Sells (3M)
    9
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $3.28M
    CRISP CHARLES RICHARD
    Director
    $256,953
    @ $136.17 · 2026-05-28
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $856,523
    @ $150.32 · 2026-03-31
    JANSSEN ANN D
    Chief Financial Officer
    $348,814
    @ $134.31 · 2026-03-12
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $484,535
    @ $128.39 · 2026-03-03
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $250,000
    @ $125.00 · 2026-02-19
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $211,360
    @ $105.68 · 2025-12-31
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $211,662
    @ $112.05 · 2025-09-30
    CRISP CHARLES RICHARD
    Director
    $190,657
    @ $119.99 · 2025-08-15
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $472,857
    @ $119.65 · 2025-07-01
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $515,772
    @ $127.76 · 2025-04-01
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $483,560
    @ $120.89 · 2024-12-31
    CLARK JANET F
    Director
    $76,867
    @ $135.33 · 2024-11-19
    DONALDSON MICHAEL P
    General Counsel
    $1.43M
    @ $129.50 · 2024-08-26
    CRISP CHARLES RICHARD
    Director
    $816,405
    @ $125.60 · 2024-08-21
    LEITZELL JEFFREY R
    Chief Operating Officer
    $505,920
    @ $126.48 · 2024-08-09
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    INTC
    2
    Sells (3M)
    3
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $7.47M
    CHANDRASEKARAN NAGASUBRAMANIYAN
    Chief Technology Officer
    $2.49M
    @ $118.28 · 2026-05-29
    MILLER BOISE APRIL
    Officer
    $4.01M
    @ $99.53 · 2026-05-01
    MILLER BOISE APRIL
    Officer
    $981,000
    @ $49.05 · 2026-02-02
    HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
    General Counsel
    $650,000
    @ $26.00 · 2024-11-07
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    EOG
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(47/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    INTC
    FearGreed
    😏Greed(65/100)

    "Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    EOG
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (47)
    INTC
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (65)
    View EOG Full AnalysisView INTC Full Analysis

    Frequently Asked Questions: EOG vs INTC

    Is EOG Resources, Inc. or Intel Corporation more undervalued in 2026?

    Based on our discounted cash flow model, EOG trades at a 12.6% margin of safety (intrinsic value $149 vs. price $130), compared to INTC's -1512.6% margin of safety (intrinsic $8 vs. $134).

    Which stock has a wider economic moat, EOG Resources, Inc. or Intel Corporation?

    EOG scores 53/100 (Narrow moat), while INTC scores 17/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

    Is Intel Corporation in financial distress?

    INTC's Altman Z-Score of 2.1 places it in the Grey zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. EOG scores 3.3 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

    Which company has better free cash flow, EOG Resources, Inc. or Intel Corporation?

    EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) generates a 4.1% free cash flow yield, compared to Intel Corporation's -1.2%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

    Which stock has higher return on invested capital, EOG Resources, Inc. or Intel Corporation?

    EOG earns 18.0% ROIC versus INTC's 1.7%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

    EOG vs INTC: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io