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Compare Stocks › DG vs UNH

Dollar General Corporation (DG) vs UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH)

DG
Dollar General Corporation
$123.45
VS
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
$280.44

Rewards

DG
  • ★PEG ratio of 0.15 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
UNH
  • ★5 insider purchases over the past 12 months with a buy/sell ratio above 3:1 — a sustained pattern of insider confidence.
  • ★Dividend yield of 3.15% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.

Risks

DG
  • ⚠ROIC has declined by 7.0 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • ⚠FCF yield of 7.8% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
UNH
  • ⚠ROIC has declined by 7.9 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • ⚠Gross margin of 18.5% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • ⚠FCF yield of 5.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.

Key Valuation Metrics

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DG
UNH
Valuation
$2.13B
Free Cash Flow
$13.86B
7.83%
FCF Yield
5.45%
18.02
Trailing P/E
21.18
15.43
Forward P/E
14.08
Quality & Moat
7.74%
ROIC
0.64%
17.77%
ROE
11.85%
30.66%
Gross Margin
18.53%
0.15
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.85
Debt / Equity
0.82
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.49
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.54
1.91%
Dividend Yield
3.15%
DG: 5Ties: 1UNH: 5
DGUNH

Historical Fundamentals

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DG

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

UNH

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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DG
$-7.47
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$3.67B
Δ Market Cap
$-27.44B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
UNH
$-7.37
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$26.63B
Δ Market Cap
$-196.16B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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DG
112.6% Overvalued
Price is 112.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $123.45
Fair Value: $58.07
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
UNH
4.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 4.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $280.44
Fair Value: $294.90
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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DG

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $123?

+16.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +7.5%

The market implies +16.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +7.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

UNH

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $280?

+11.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +9.2%

The market implies +11.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +9.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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DG
55/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
UNH
64/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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DG
-2.72
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
UNH
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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DG
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 100.6%
No. of Institutional Holders1,578
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
UNH
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 84.2%Retail & Other 14.9%
No. of Institutional Holders4,244
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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DG
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BRYANT WARREN F
Director
$80,825
@ $80.83 · 2024-09-10
BRYANT WARREN F
Director
$40,200
@ $80.40 · 2024-09-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
UNH
0
Buys (3M)
5
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $31.61M
REX JOHN F
President
$5.00M
@ $291.12 · 2025-05-16
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$25.02M
@ $288.57 · 2025-05-16
GIL KRISTEN
Director
$1.00M
@ $271.17 · 2025-05-15
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK
Director
$491,786
@ $320.80 · 2025-05-14
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H
Director
$93,647
@ $312.16 · 2025-05-14
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK
Director
$511,575
@ $511.57 · 2025-01-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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DG
0
Sells (3M)
10
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $9.29M
WHEELER BRYAN D
Officer
$1.32M
@ $135.32 · 2025-12-19
TAYLOR RHONDA M
General Counsel
$1.01M
@ $134.89 · 2025-12-16
WEST RODERICK J
Officer
$304,316
@ $133.35 · 2025-12-16
ELLIOTT ANITA C
Officer
$333,424
@ $132.52 · 2025-12-12
WENKOFF CARMAN R
Chief Technology Officer
$2.53M
@ $132.01 · 2025-12-11
HERRMANN TRACEY N
Officer
$2.21M
@ $126.82 · 2025-12-11
REARDON KATHLEEN A
Officer
$558,028
@ $126.97 · 2025-12-08
TAYLOR EMILY C
Officer
$222,501
@ $113.00 · 2025-06-17
REARDON KATHLEEN A
Officer
$718,229
@ $111.56 · 2025-06-12
TAYLOR EMILY C
Officer
$76,627
@ $94.72 · 2025-04-04
TAYLOR EMILY C
Officer
$367,061
@ $77.44 · 2024-12-13
REARDON KATHLEEN A
Officer
$296,241
@ $82.68 · 2024-12-10
DECKARD STEVEN R
Officer
$174,195
@ $86.66 · 2024-09-18
WEST RODERICK J
Officer
$208,960
@ $83.25 · 2024-09-12
SANTANA RALPH E
Director
$468,567
@ $155.72 · 2024-04-11
WENKOFF CARMAN R
Chief Technology Officer
$958,616
@ $162.23 · 2024-04-04
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
UNH
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $179,645
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D.
Chief Executive Officer
$179,645
@ $305.00 · 2025-06-10
MCSWEENEY ERIN L
Officer
$438,987
@ $626.23 · 2024-11-11
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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DG
FearGreed
😨Fear(40/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
UNH
FearGreed
😨Fear(37/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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DG
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (40)
UNH
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
View DG Full AnalysisView UNH Full Analysis