Compare StocksDECK vs MS

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)

DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
$104.91
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55

Rewards

DECK
  • Deckers Outdoor Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Deckers Outdoor Corporation scores 93/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 99.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
MS
  • Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

DECK
    MS
    • High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
    • Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
    • 7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    DECK
    MS
    Valuation
    $758.73M
    Free Cash Flow
    N/A
    4.96%
    FCF Yield
    N/A
    14.90
    Trailing P/E
    15.53
    14.33
    Forward P/E
    12.89
    Quality & Moat
    45.14%
    ROIC
    3.43%
    37.02%
    ROE
    14.42%
    57.55%
    Gross Margin
    87.06%
    1.35
    PEG Ratio
    0.75
    Balance Sheet Safety
    0.13
    Debt / Equity
    4.56
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    -1.28
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    N/A
    N/A
    Dividend Yield
    2.52%
    DECK: 3Ties: 2MS: 3
    DECKMS

    Historical Fundamentals

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    DECK

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    MS

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    DECK
    $2.14
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $2.24B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$4.80B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    MS
    $6.65
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $20.84B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$138.59B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    DECK
    27.1% Margin of Safety
    Price is 27.1% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $104.91
    Fair Value: $143.87
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    MS
    45.5% Margin of Safety
    Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $158.55
    Fair Value: $290.92
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    DECK

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $105?

    +2.9%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +6.2%

    The market implies +2.9% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

    Standard FCF implies a more demanding +6.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

    MS

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    Economic Moat Score

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    DECK
    93/100
    Wide Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
    MS
    32/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    DECK
    -2.56
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    MS
    -2.09
    Possible Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    DECK
    Insiders 0.6%Institutions 98.2%Retail & Other 1.1%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,265
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    MS
    Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
    No. of Institutional Holders3,181
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    DECK
    0
    Buys (3M)
    1
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $200,319
    DAVIS CINDY L
    Director
    $200,319
    @ $109.76 · 2025-06-06
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    MS
    0
    Buys (3M)
    1
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $5,630
    PETERSON DOUGLAS L
    Director
    $5,630
    @ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    DECK
    3
    Sells (3M)
    7
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $1.88M
    SPANGENBERG ANNE
    Officer
    $471,389
    @ $116.02 · 2026-02-13
    SPRING-GREEN ROBIN
    Officer
    $39,482
    @ $113.78 · 2026-02-13
    SHANAHAN LAURI M.
    Director
    $537,681
    @ $114.84 · 2026-02-13
    OGBECHIE ANGELA
    Officer
    $118,910
    @ $81.45 · 2025-10-31
    IBRAHIM MAHA SALEH
    Director
    $35,405
    @ $118.02 · 2025-09-08
    IBRAHIM MAHA SALEH
    Director
    $32,723
    @ $109.08 · 2025-06-06
    OGBECHIE ANGELA
    Officer
    $648,675
    @ $103.89 · 2025-06-02
    IBRAHIM MAHA SALEH
    Director
    $40,344
    @ $134.48 · 2025-03-06
    POWERS DAVID A
    Director
    $3.47M
    @ $138.84 · 2025-02-28
    STEFANO CAROTI
    Chief Executive Officer
    $2.97M
    @ $208.34 · 2024-12-11
    IBRAHIM MAHA SALEH
    Director
    $60,239
    @ $200.80 · 2024-12-06
    STEWART BONITA C
    Director
    $838,935
    @ $186.43 · 2024-11-22
    SPANGENBERG ANNE
    Officer
    $723,721
    @ $186.43 · 2024-11-22
    ELLERKER MARCO
    Officer
    $992,858
    @ $175.20 · 2024-11-20
    STEFANO CAROTI
    Chief Executive Officer
    $2.64M
    @ $175.73 · 2024-11-19
    GARCIA THOMAS
    Officer
    $3.16M
    @ $175.28 · 2024-11-19
    FASCHING STEVEN J
    Chief Financial Officer
    $1.54M
    @ $175.00 · 2024-11-08
    STEWART BONITA C
    Director
    $1.58M
    @ $175.42 · 2024-11-08
    OGBECHIE ANGELA
    Officer
    $208,617
    @ $163.24 · 2024-10-31
    FASCHING STEVEN J
    Chief Financial Officer
    $1.53M
    @ $166.67 · 2024-10-04
    IBRAHIM MAHA SALEH
    Director
    $43,253
    @ $865.06 · 2024-09-06
    POWERS DAVID A
    Director
    $3.38M
    @ $863.08 · 2024-09-06
    STEFANO CAROTI
    Officer
    $5.40M
    @ $1079.74 · 2024-06-06
    POWERS DAVID A
    Chief Executive Officer
    $11.90M
    @ $1086.50 · 2024-06-06
    OGBECHIE ANGELA
    Officer
    $164,923
    @ $1077.93 · 2024-05-31
    IBRAHIM MAHA SALEH
    Director
    $216,746
    @ $1083.73 · 2024-05-30
    GARCIA THOMAS
    Officer
    $4.30M
    @ $1074.86 · 2024-05-29
    DEVINE MICHAEL F III
    Director
    $2.15M
    @ $1077.00 · 2024-05-29
    POWERS DAVID A
    Chief Executive Officer
    $4.94M
    @ $824.11 · 2024-04-15
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    MS
    7
    Sells (3M)
    16
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $62.45M
    SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
    President
    $6.02M
    @ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
    GROSSMAN ERIC F
    Officer
    $3.97M
    @ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
    CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
    Officer
    $1.44M
    @ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
    YESHAYA SHARON
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.94M
    @ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
    SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
    Officer
    $1.55M
    @ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
    PIZZI MICHAEL A
    Officer
    $3.69M
    @ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
    SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
    President
    $5.57M
    @ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
    PICK EDWARD N.
    Chief Executive Officer
    $16.43M
    @ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
    GROSSMAN ERIC F
    Officer
    $1.69M
    @ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
    SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
    President
    $4.09M
    @ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
    SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
    Officer
    $2.81M
    @ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
    PIZZI MICHAEL A
    Officer
    $2.53M
    @ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
    SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
    President
    $3.70M
    @ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
    HERZ ROBERT H
    Director
    $95,459
    @ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
    SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
    President
    $4.80M
    @ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
    GROSSMAN ERIC F
    Officer
    $1.12M
    @ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
    CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
    Officer
    $1.15M
    @ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
    GROSSMAN ERIC F
    Officer
    $1.78M
    @ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
    SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
    President
    $5.00M
    @ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
    AKRAM RAJA
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.38M
    @ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
    PIZZI MICHAEL A
    Officer
    $2.52M
    @ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
    SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
    President
    $4.20M
    @ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
    CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
    Officer
    $368,375
    @ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
    AKRAM RAJA
    Officer
    $797,764
    @ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
    SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
    President
    $4.26M
    @ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
    HERZ ROBERT H
    Director
    $106,621
    @ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
    CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
    Officer
    $692,663
    @ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
    GORMAN JAMES P
    Officer and Director
    $9.02M
    @ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
    SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
    Officer
    $1.01M
    @ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    DECK
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(43/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    MS
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(48/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    DECK
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
    MS
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
    View DECK Full AnalysisView MS Full Analysis