Compare Stocks › CVX vs MS
Chevron Corporation (CVX) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)
CVX
Chevron Corporation
$201.44
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55
Rewards
CVX
MS
- ★Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
Risks
CVX
- ⚠ROIC has declined by 11.5 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
- ⚠Trailing P/E of 30.4x is 101% above the historical average of 15.2x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
- ⚠22 insider sales totaling $206.0M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
MS
- ⚠High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →CVX
MS
Valuation
$13.20B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
3.28%
FCF Yield
N/A
30.38
Trailing P/E
15.53
21.49
Forward P/E
12.89
Quality & Moat
5.78%
ROIC
3.43%
6.40%
ROE
14.42%
41.90%
Gross Margin
87.06%
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.75
Balance Sheet Safety
0.24
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.07
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
3.53%
Dividend Yield
2.52%
CVX: 3Ties: 1MS: 4
CVXMS
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →CVX
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
MS
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →CVX
$-2.55
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$15.44B
Δ Market Cap
$-39.41B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →CVX
12.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $201.44
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $230.68
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
45.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.55
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $290.92
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →CVX
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $201?
+15.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.8%
The market implies +15.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
MS
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →CVX
43/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MS
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →CVX
-3.12
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →CVX
Insiders 6.6%Institutions 67.9%Retail & Other 25.5%
No. of Institutional Holders4,705
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,182
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →CVX
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →CVX
22
Sells (3M)
24
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $208.08M
PATE ROBERT HEWITT
Officer
$9.07M
@ $192.12 · 2026-03-06
WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
Officer
$2.19M
@ $188.58 · 2026-03-02
BONNER EIMEAR P
Chief Financial Officer
$8.60M
@ $187.78 · 2026-03-02
PATE ROBERT HEWITT
Officer
$17.54M
@ $187.67 · 2026-03-02
NELSON MARK A.
Officer
$26.23M
@ $187.92 · 2026-03-02
WIRTH MICHAEL K
Chief Executive Officer
$51.62M
@ $189.35 · 2026-03-02
GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
Officer
$1.24M
@ $186.04 · 2026-02-27
WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
Officer
$268,950
@ $183.83 · 2026-02-18
KNOWLES ALANA K.
Officer
$441,327
@ $183.28 · 2026-02-18
BOOTH THOMAS RYDER
Chief Technology Officer
$2.25M
@ $184.21 · 2026-02-13
WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
Officer
$122,144
@ $183.40 · 2026-02-12
WALZ ANDREW BENJAMIN
Officer
$3.92M
@ $176.53 · 2026-02-03
BOOTH THOMAS RYDER
Chief Technology Officer
$1.07M
@ $178.43 · 2026-02-03
NELSON MARK A.
Officer
$7.98M
@ $174.17 · 2026-02-02
BONNER EIMEAR P
Chief Financial Officer
$5.62M
@ $175.01 · 2026-01-30
PATE ROBERT HEWITT
Officer
$7.26M
@ $176.40 · 2026-01-30
KNOWLES ALANA K.
Officer
$544,000
@ $170.00 · 2026-01-28
BONNER EIMEAR P
Chief Financial Officer
$1.28M
@ $170.00 · 2026-01-28
KNOWLES ALANA K.
Officer
$537,600
@ $168.00 · 2026-01-14
KNOWLES ALANA K.
Officer
$1.31M
@ $165.05 · 2026-01-05
BONNER EIMEAR P
Chief Financial Officer
$4.68M
@ $165.05 · 2026-01-05
WIRTH MICHAEL K
Chief Executive Officer
$52.27M
@ $162.99 · 2026-01-05
GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
Officer
$1.40M
@ $150.27 · 2025-11-21
KNOWLES ALANA K.
Officer
$636,480
@ $160.00 · 2025-08-29
GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
Officer
$1.42M
@ $152.50 · 2025-02-07
WIRTH MICHAEL K
Chief Executive Officer
$26.36M
@ $160.13 · 2024-11-14
GUSTAVSON JEFF B.
Officer
$600,878
@ $160.23 · 2024-05-21
KNOWLES ALANA K.
Officer
$462,000
@ $165.00 · 2024-04-25
KNOWLES ALANA K.
Officer
$448,252
@ $160.09 · 2024-04-02
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
7
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.45M
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
$9.02M
@ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.01M
@ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →CVX
😏Greed(75/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
😐Neutral(48/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →CVX
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (75)
MS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)