Compare StocksCVNA vs TSLA

Carvana Co. (CVNA) vs Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

CVNA
Carvana Co.
$382.60
VS
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
$390.82

Rewards

CVNA
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $16.09 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Trailing P/E of 44.2x is 23% below the historical average of 57.5x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • Altman Z-Score of 6.47 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
TSLA
  • Altman Z-Score of 19.94 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of -2.6x means the company holds more cash than debt — a net cash position.

Risks

CVNA
  • Gross margin of 20.1% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Share count has increased by 34% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
TSLA
  • ROIC has declined by 17.7 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • Gross margin of 19.1% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Share count has increased by 19% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CVNA
TSLA
Valuation
$889.00M
Free Cash Flow
$5.25B
1.05%
FCF Yield
0.36%
44.23
Trailing P/E
358.55
36.25
Forward P/E
154.15
Quality & Moat
15.68%
ROIC
3.23%
40.91%
ROE
4.47%
20.13%
Gross Margin
19.06%
3.72
PEG Ratio
43.20
Balance Sheet Safety
1.21
Debt / Equity
0.19
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.16
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.60
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
CVNA: 7Ties: 1TSLA: 3
CVNATSLA

Historical Fundamentals

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CVNA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TSLA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CVNA
$28.80
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.07B
Δ Market Cap
+$59.52B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TSLA
$50.04
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$25.92B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.30T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CVNA
15.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 15.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $382.60
Fair Value: $450.63
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TSLA
541.1% Overvalued
Price is 541.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $390.82
Fair Value: $60.97
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CVNA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $383?

+23.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.6%

The market implies +23.2% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

TSLA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $391?

+49.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +44.8%

The market implies +49.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +44.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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CVNA
38/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TSLA
31/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CVNA
-0.36
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TSLA
-2.86
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CVNA
Insiders 2.1%Institutions 104.4%
No. of Institutional Holders1,160
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TSLA
Insiders 11.1%Institutions 44.7%Retail & Other 44.2%
No. of Institutional Holders5,238
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CVNA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TSLA
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $999.96M
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
$999.96M
@ $389.28 · 2025-09-12
GEBBIA JOSEPH
Director
$1.03M
@ $256.31 · 2025-04-24
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CVNA
13
Sells (3M)
54
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $291.65M
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.94M
@ $387.19 · 2026-05-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.85M
@ $384.96 · 2026-05-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$395,320
@ $395.32 · 2026-05-01
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$1.29M
@ $341.00 · 2026-04-08
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$3.96M
@ $310.35 · 2026-04-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.10M
@ $309.86 · 2026-04-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$317,500
@ $317.50 · 2026-04-01
QUAYLE DAN
Director
$898,913
@ $309.97 · 2026-03-09
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$309,725
@ $325.00 · 2026-03-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.12M
@ $323.15 · 2026-03-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.23M
@ $322.67 · 2026-03-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$324,840
@ $324.84 · 2026-03-02
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$417,271
@ $398.54 · 2026-02-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$5.23M
@ $410.19 · 2026-02-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$4.11M
@ $411.27 · 2026-02-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$393,040
@ $393.04 · 2026-02-02
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$524,778
@ $447.00 · 2026-01-08
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$5.14M
@ $403.02 · 2026-01-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$4.02M
@ $401.94 · 2026-01-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$419,480
@ $419.48 · 2026-01-02
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$4.75M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$9.50M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$4.75M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
GILL DANIEL J
Officer
$19.01M
@ $475.24 · 2025-12-12
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$8.77M
@ $438.50 · 2025-12-08
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$17.58M
@ $439.50 · 2025-12-08
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$13.49M
@ $435.96 · 2025-12-08
GILL DANIEL J
Officer
$35.16M
@ $439.50 · 2025-12-08
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$4.00M
@ $400.00 · 2025-12-03
MAROONE MICHAEL E
Director
$12.38M
@ $400.34 · 2025-12-03
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$10.00M
@ $400.00 · 2025-12-03
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.79M
@ $376.07 · 2025-12-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.77M
@ $377.11 · 2025-12-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$372,310
@ $372.31 · 2025-12-01
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.75M
@ $375.04 · 2025-11-28
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$3.75M
@ $375.01 · 2025-11-28
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.50M
@ $350.00 · 2025-11-25
SULLIVAN GREGORY B
Director
$850,000
@ $340.00 · 2025-11-12
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.25M
@ $325.03 · 2025-11-10
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$309,400
@ $325.00 · 2025-11-10
SULLIVAN GREGORY B
Director
$805,500
@ $322.20 · 2025-11-04
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.12M
@ $323.35 · 2025-11-03
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.25M
@ $324.57 · 2025-11-03
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$305,000
@ $305.00 · 2025-11-03
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$9.77M
@ $301.68 · 2025-10-31
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.96M
@ $389.27 · 2025-10-01
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$5.97M
@ $398.00 · 2025-10-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.89M
@ $389.27 · 2025-10-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$390,140
@ $390.14 · 2025-10-01
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$5.63M
@ $375.00 · 2025-09-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.65M
@ $364.42 · 2025-09-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.65M
@ $364.66 · 2025-09-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$361,040
@ $361.04 · 2025-09-02
GARCIA ERNEST C II
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$33.19M
@ $349.09 · 2025-08-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TSLA
3
Sells (3M)
15
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $294.75M
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$9.27M
@ $359.33 · 2026-03-30
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$899,077
@ $397.12 · 2026-03-06
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$10.69M
@ $415.56 · 2026-02-25
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$25.61M
@ $450.66 · 2025-12-09
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.17M
@ $443.93 · 2025-12-08
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$918,137
@ $352.45 · 2025-09-08
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.77M
@ $295.26 · 2025-07-08
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$4.86M
@ $323.81 · 2025-06-12
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$732,573
@ $285.71 · 2025-06-09
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.40M
@ $342.30 · 2025-06-03
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$32.73M
@ $357.39 · 2025-05-27
EHRENPREIS IRA MATTHEW
Director
$170.64M
@ $357.30 · 2025-05-27
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.05M
@ $350.11 · 2025-05-16
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.20M
@ $300.00 · 2025-05-09
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$30.81M
@ $274.12 · 2025-05-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.14M
@ $284.40 · 2025-05-01
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$32.10M
@ $285.58 · 2025-04-29
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.00M
@ $250.00 · 2025-04-07
MURDOCH JAMES RUPERT
Director
$13.19M
@ $240.79 · 2025-03-10
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$718,111
@ $268.75 · 2025-03-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$33.67M
@ $299.61 · 2025-03-03
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.78M
@ $296.02 · 2025-03-03
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$27.59M
@ $367.87 · 2025-02-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$43.16M
@ $384.04 · 2025-02-03
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.68M
@ $383.11 · 2025-02-03
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$41.16M
@ $411.63 · 2025-01-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.89M
@ $413.56 · 2025-01-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$975,015
@ $374.29 · 2024-12-06
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$35.25M
@ $352.54 · 2024-12-04
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$39.79M
@ $354.06 · 2024-12-02
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.48M
@ $354.43 · 2024-12-02
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$35.34M
@ $314.44 · 2024-11-15
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$34.60M
@ $346.02 · 2024-11-11
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$3.80M
@ $316.91 · 2024-11-11
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$15.14M
@ $250.23 · 2024-11-01
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.01M
@ $251.76 · 2024-11-01
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.00M
@ $250.00 · 2024-10-24
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.00M
@ $250.00 · 2024-09-23
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$65,867
@ $221.77 · 2024-09-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$14.60M
@ $219.96 · 2024-07-25
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$113,151
@ $174.35 · 2024-06-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$17.32M
@ $184.86 · 2024-05-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CVNA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(41/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TSLA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(52/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CVNA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (41)
TSLA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)
View CVNA Full AnalysisView TSLA Full Analysis
CVNA vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io