Compare Stocks › CVNA vs LLY
Carvana Co. (CVNA) vs Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
CVNA
Carvana Co.
$382.60
VS
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$963.33
Rewards
CVNA
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $16.09 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★Trailing P/E of 44.2x is 23% below the historical average of 57.5x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
- ★Altman Z-Score of 6.47 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
LLY
- ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
CVNA
- ⚠Gross margin of 20.1% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
- ⚠Share count has increased by 34% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
- ⚠FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
LLY
- ⚠FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →CVNA
LLY
Valuation
$889.00M
Free Cash Flow
$9.16B
1.05%
FCF Yield
1.06%
44.23
Trailing P/E
34.25
36.25
Forward P/E
22.06
Quality & Moat
15.68%
ROIC
37.80%
40.91%
ROE
66.16%
20.13%
Gross Margin
82.83%
3.72
PEG Ratio
0.20
Balance Sheet Safety
1.21
Debt / Equity
1.39
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.16
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.05
N/A
Dividend Yield
0.65%
CVNA: 1Ties: 2LLY: 8
CVNALLY
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →CVNA
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
LLY
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →CVNA
$28.80
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.07B
Δ Market Cap
+$59.52B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →CVNA
15.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 15.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $382.60
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $450.63
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
LLY
15.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 15.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $963.33
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1145.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →CVNA
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $383?
+23.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.6%
The market implies +23.2% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
LLY
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $963?
+18.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.7%
The market implies +18.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →CVNA
38/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →CVNA
-0.36
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →CVNA
Insiders 2.1%Institutions 104.4%
No. of Institutional Holders1,160
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.0%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,509
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →CVNA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →CVNA
13
Sells (3M)
54
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $291.65M
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.94M
@ $387.19 · 2026-05-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.85M
@ $384.96 · 2026-05-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$395,320
@ $395.32 · 2026-05-01
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$1.29M
@ $341.00 · 2026-04-08
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$3.96M
@ $310.35 · 2026-04-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.10M
@ $309.86 · 2026-04-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$317,500
@ $317.50 · 2026-04-01
QUAYLE DAN
Director
$898,913
@ $309.97 · 2026-03-09
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$309,725
@ $325.00 · 2026-03-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.12M
@ $323.15 · 2026-03-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.23M
@ $322.67 · 2026-03-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$324,840
@ $324.84 · 2026-03-02
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$417,271
@ $398.54 · 2026-02-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$5.23M
@ $410.19 · 2026-02-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$4.11M
@ $411.27 · 2026-02-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$393,040
@ $393.04 · 2026-02-02
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$524,778
@ $447.00 · 2026-01-08
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$5.14M
@ $403.02 · 2026-01-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$4.02M
@ $401.94 · 2026-01-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$419,480
@ $419.48 · 2026-01-02
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$4.75M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$9.50M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$4.75M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
GILL DANIEL J
Officer
$19.01M
@ $475.24 · 2025-12-12
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$8.77M
@ $438.50 · 2025-12-08
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$17.58M
@ $439.50 · 2025-12-08
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$13.49M
@ $435.96 · 2025-12-08
GILL DANIEL J
Officer
$35.16M
@ $439.50 · 2025-12-08
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$4.00M
@ $400.00 · 2025-12-03
MAROONE MICHAEL E
Director
$12.38M
@ $400.34 · 2025-12-03
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$10.00M
@ $400.00 · 2025-12-03
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.79M
@ $376.07 · 2025-12-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.77M
@ $377.11 · 2025-12-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$372,310
@ $372.31 · 2025-12-01
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.75M
@ $375.04 · 2025-11-28
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$3.75M
@ $375.01 · 2025-11-28
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.50M
@ $350.00 · 2025-11-25
SULLIVAN GREGORY B
Director
$850,000
@ $340.00 · 2025-11-12
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.25M
@ $325.03 · 2025-11-10
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$309,400
@ $325.00 · 2025-11-10
SULLIVAN GREGORY B
Director
$805,500
@ $322.20 · 2025-11-04
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.12M
@ $323.35 · 2025-11-03
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.25M
@ $324.57 · 2025-11-03
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$305,000
@ $305.00 · 2025-11-03
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$9.77M
@ $301.68 · 2025-10-31
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.96M
@ $389.27 · 2025-10-01
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$5.97M
@ $398.00 · 2025-10-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.89M
@ $389.27 · 2025-10-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$390,140
@ $390.14 · 2025-10-01
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$5.63M
@ $375.00 · 2025-09-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.65M
@ $364.42 · 2025-09-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.65M
@ $364.66 · 2025-09-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$361,040
@ $361.04 · 2025-09-02
GARCIA ERNEST C II
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$33.19M
@ $349.09 · 2025-08-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
LLY
0
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →CVNA
😐Neutral(41/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
LLY
😐Neutral(55/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →CVNA
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (41)
LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)