Compare StocksCVNA vs JNJ

Carvana Co. (CVNA) vs Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

CVNA
Carvana Co.
$382.60
VS
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
$227.19

Rewards

CVNA
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $16.09 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Trailing P/E of 44.2x is 23% below the historical average of 57.5x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • Altman Z-Score of 6.47 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
JNJ
  • Johnson & Johnson has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 68.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Johnson & Johnson scores 90/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

CVNA
  • Gross margin of 20.1% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Share count has increased by 34% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
JNJ
  • Trailing P/E of 26.3x is 32% above the historical average of 20.0x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • PEG ratio of 2.95 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $58.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CVNA
JNJ
Valuation
$889.00M
Free Cash Flow
$19.31B
1.05%
FCF Yield
3.53%
44.23
Trailing P/E
26.33
36.25
Forward P/E
17.87
Quality & Moat
15.68%
ROIC
15.32%
40.91%
ROE
33.02%
20.13%
Gross Margin
68.04%
3.72
PEG Ratio
2.95
Balance Sheet Safety
1.21
Debt / Equity
0.68
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.16
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.96
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.36%
CVNA: 1Ties: 2JNJ: 8
CVNAJNJ

Historical Fundamentals

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CVNA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

JNJ

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CVNA
$28.80
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.07B
Δ Market Cap
+$59.52B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
JNJ
$0.91
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$40.05B
Δ Market Cap
+$36.63B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CVNA
15.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 15.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $382.60
Fair Value: $450.63
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
JNJ
11.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 11.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $227.19
Fair Value: $256.33
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CVNA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $383?

+23.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.6%

The market implies +23.2% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

JNJ

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $227?

+8.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.2%

The market implies +8.8% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +13.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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CVNA
38/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
JNJ
90/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CVNA
-0.36
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
JNJ
-2.31
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CVNA
Insiders 2.1%Institutions 104.4%
No. of Institutional Holders1,160
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
JNJ
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 76.2%Retail & Other 23.7%
No. of Institutional Holders5,579
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CVNA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
JNJ
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $257,688
MORIKIS JOHN G
Director
$257,688
@ $206.15 · 2025-11-26
WEINBERGER MARK A
Director
$147,220
@ $147.22 · 2024-12-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CVNA
13
Sells (3M)
54
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $291.65M
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.94M
@ $387.19 · 2026-05-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.85M
@ $384.96 · 2026-05-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$395,320
@ $395.32 · 2026-05-01
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$1.29M
@ $341.00 · 2026-04-08
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$3.96M
@ $310.35 · 2026-04-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.10M
@ $309.86 · 2026-04-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$317,500
@ $317.50 · 2026-04-01
QUAYLE DAN
Director
$898,913
@ $309.97 · 2026-03-09
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$309,725
@ $325.00 · 2026-03-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.12M
@ $323.15 · 2026-03-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.23M
@ $322.67 · 2026-03-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$324,840
@ $324.84 · 2026-03-02
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$417,271
@ $398.54 · 2026-02-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$5.23M
@ $410.19 · 2026-02-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$4.11M
@ $411.27 · 2026-02-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$393,040
@ $393.04 · 2026-02-02
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$524,778
@ $447.00 · 2026-01-08
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$5.14M
@ $403.02 · 2026-01-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$4.02M
@ $401.94 · 2026-01-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$419,480
@ $419.48 · 2026-01-02
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$4.75M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$9.50M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$4.75M
@ $475.00 · 2025-12-12
GILL DANIEL J
Officer
$19.01M
@ $475.24 · 2025-12-12
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$8.77M
@ $438.50 · 2025-12-08
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$17.58M
@ $439.50 · 2025-12-08
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$13.49M
@ $435.96 · 2025-12-08
GILL DANIEL J
Officer
$35.16M
@ $439.50 · 2025-12-08
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$4.00M
@ $400.00 · 2025-12-03
MAROONE MICHAEL E
Director
$12.38M
@ $400.34 · 2025-12-03
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$10.00M
@ $400.00 · 2025-12-03
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.79M
@ $376.07 · 2025-12-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.77M
@ $377.11 · 2025-12-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$372,310
@ $372.31 · 2025-12-01
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.75M
@ $375.04 · 2025-11-28
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$3.75M
@ $375.01 · 2025-11-28
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.50M
@ $350.00 · 2025-11-25
SULLIVAN GREGORY B
Director
$850,000
@ $340.00 · 2025-11-12
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$3.25M
@ $325.03 · 2025-11-10
TAIRA THOMAS
Officer
$309,400
@ $325.00 · 2025-11-10
SULLIVAN GREGORY B
Director
$805,500
@ $322.20 · 2025-11-04
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.12M
@ $323.35 · 2025-11-03
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.25M
@ $324.57 · 2025-11-03
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$305,000
@ $305.00 · 2025-11-03
KEETON RYAN SCOTT
Officer
$9.77M
@ $301.68 · 2025-10-31
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.96M
@ $389.27 · 2025-10-01
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$5.97M
@ $398.00 · 2025-10-01
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.89M
@ $389.27 · 2025-10-01
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$390,140
@ $390.14 · 2025-10-01
BREAUX PAUL W
General Counsel
$5.63M
@ $375.00 · 2025-09-09
JENKINS MARK W
Chief Financial Officer
$4.65M
@ $364.42 · 2025-09-02
HUSTON BENJAMIN EDWARD
Chief Operating Officer
$3.65M
@ $364.66 · 2025-09-02
PALMER STEPHEN R
Officer
$361,040
@ $361.04 · 2025-09-02
GARCIA ERNEST C II
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$33.19M
@ $349.09 · 2025-08-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
JNJ
7
Sells (3M)
12
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $101.23M
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.01M
@ $247.87 · 2026-02-27
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$324,763
@ $245.66 · 2026-02-20
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$5.53M
@ $244.33 · 2026-02-18
SWANSON JAMES D
Chief Technology Officer
$15.11M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
BROADHURST VANESSA
Officer
$1.51M
@ $243.39 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$13.11M
@ $243.00 · 2026-02-17
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$21.77M
@ $242.80 · 2026-02-17
REED JOHN C
Officer
$4.19M
@ $192.71 · 2025-10-17
TAUBERT JENNIFER L
Officer
$10.04M
@ $177.81 · 2025-09-04
DUATO JOAQUIN BOIX
Chief Executive Officer
$22.55M
@ $179.21 · 2025-08-22
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.98M
@ $176.91 · 2025-08-15
REED JOHN C
Officer
$3.13M
@ $163.55 · 2025-07-17
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$1.16M
@ $165.88 · 2025-02-25
SCHMID TIMOTHY
Officer
$62,928
@ $156.15 · 2025-02-18
WOLK JOSEPH J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.00M
@ $153.89 · 2025-02-07
DECKER ROBERT J
Officer
$930,113
@ $165.06 · 2024-08-30
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CVNA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(41/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
JNJ
FearGreed
😐Neutral(57/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CVNA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (41)
JNJ
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (57)
View CVNA Full AnalysisView JNJ Full Analysis
CVNA vs JNJ: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io