Compare StocksCSCO vs UNH

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) vs UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH)

CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
$78.51
VS
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
$280.44

Rewards

CSCO
  • Cisco Systems, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 64.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Cisco Systems, Inc. scores 79/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
UNH
  • 5 insider purchases over the past 12 months with a buy/sell ratio above 3:1 — a sustained pattern of insider confidence.
  • Dividend yield of 3.15% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.

Risks

CSCO
  • Trailing P/E of 28.2x is 32% above the historical average of 21.4x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $3.5M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
UNH
  • ROIC has declined by 7.9 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • Gross margin of 18.5% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • FCF yield of 5.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CSCO
UNH
Valuation
$13.29B
Free Cash Flow
$13.86B
4.28%
FCF Yield
5.45%
28.24
Trailing P/E
21.18
17.39
Forward P/E
14.08
Quality & Moat
14.60%
ROIC
0.64%
21.90%
ROE
11.85%
64.81%
Gross Margin
18.53%
0.91
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
0.67
Debt / Equity
0.82
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.98
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.54
2.14%
Dividend Yield
3.15%
CSCO: 5Ties: 2UNH: 4
CSCOUNH

Historical Fundamentals

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CSCO

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

UNH

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CSCO
$7.81
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$13.99B
Δ Market Cap
+$109.24B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
UNH
$-7.37
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$26.63B
Δ Market Cap
$-196.16B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CSCO
44.5% Overvalued
Price is 44.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $78.51
Fair Value: $54.34
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
UNH
4.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 4.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $280.44
Fair Value: $294.90
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CSCO

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $79?

+14.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +10.5%

The market implies +14.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +10.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

UNH

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $280?

+11.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +9.2%

The market implies +11.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +9.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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CSCO
79/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Reinvestment Efficiency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
UNH
64/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CSCO
-2.61
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
UNH
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CSCO
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 82.0%Retail & Other 17.9%
No. of Institutional Holders4,670
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
UNH
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 84.2%Retail & Other 14.9%
No. of Institutional Holders4,244
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CSCO
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
UNH
0
Buys (3M)
5
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $31.61M
REX JOHN F
President
$5.00M
@ $291.12 · 2025-05-16
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J
Chief Executive Officer
$25.02M
@ $288.57 · 2025-05-16
GIL KRISTEN
Director
$1.00M
@ $271.17 · 2025-05-15
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK
Director
$491,786
@ $320.80 · 2025-05-14
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H
Director
$93,647
@ $312.16 · 2025-05-14
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK
Director
$511,575
@ $511.57 · 2025-01-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CSCO
7
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $103.59M
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$134,410
@ $77.07 · 2026-03-12
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$42,725
@ $77.54 · 2026-03-11
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$169,395
@ $77.74 · 2026-02-24
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$804,268
@ $78.60 · 2026-02-19
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$3,786
@ $74.24 · 2026-02-13
PATEL JEETENDRA I
President
$854,853
@ $76.00 · 2026-02-13
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$1.49M
@ $76.00 · 2026-02-13
CAPELLAS MICHAEL D
Director
$2.08M
@ $77.22 · 2025-12-19
JOHNSON KRISTINA MARY
Director
$1.04M
@ $77.13 · 2025-12-18
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$138,658
@ $79.46 · 2025-12-12
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$34,381
@ $80.33 · 2025-12-11
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$748,586
@ $76.38 · 2025-11-24
TUSZIK OLIVER
Officer
$1.06M
@ $79.21 · 2025-11-20
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$4.39M
@ $78.33 · 2025-11-19
PATTERSON MARK
Chief Financial Officer
$5.33M
@ $77.30 · 2025-11-18
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$46.97M
@ $77.97 · 2025-11-18
TUSZIK OLIVER
Officer
$416,508
@ $76.56 · 2025-11-17
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$12.82M
@ $77.85 · 2025-11-17
PATEL JEETENDRA I
President
$12.76M
@ $77.86 · 2025-11-14
TUSZIK OLIVER
Officer
$1.19M
@ $67.95 · 2025-09-19
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$116,464
@ $66.78 · 2025-09-12
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$185,054
@ $68.08 · 2025-09-11
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$29,211
@ $68.25 · 2025-09-11
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$212,739
@ $67.28 · 2025-08-25
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$502,022
@ $66.84 · 2025-08-20
PATTERSON MARK
Chief Financial Officer
$484,294
@ $66.98 · 2025-08-19
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$651,568
@ $66.60 · 2025-08-15
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$32,590
@ $68.61 · 2025-08-15
PATEL JEETENDRA I
President
$603,437
@ $66.60 · 2025-08-15
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$2.04M
@ $66.63 · 2025-08-15
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$571,867
@ $65.54 · 2025-06-17
HERREN RICHARD SCOTT
Chief Financial Officer
$1.03M
@ $65.52 · 2025-06-17
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$172,710
@ $64.04 · 2025-06-12
PATEL JEETENDRA I
President
$57,779
@ $64.27 · 2025-06-12
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$48,821
@ $64.07 · 2025-06-11
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$1.92M
@ $64.61 · 2025-06-05
TUSZIK OLIVER
Officer
$952,947
@ $63.53 · 2025-05-28
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$265,781
@ $63.51 · 2025-05-28
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$612,301
@ $63.50 · 2025-05-16
PATEL JEETENDRA I
President
$637,205
@ $63.97 · 2025-05-16
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$46,474
@ $60.99 · 2025-03-12
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$125,344
@ $60.70 · 2025-03-12
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$173,393
@ $60.71 · 2025-03-12
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$222,901
@ $63.96 · 2025-02-26
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$760,031
@ $64.37 · 2025-02-21
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$578,958
@ $64.52 · 2025-02-20
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$2.06M
@ $64.41 · 2025-02-14
HERREN RICHARD SCOTT
Chief Financial Officer
$1.28M
@ $64.41 · 2025-02-14
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$180,058
@ $59.19 · 2024-12-12
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$157,507
@ $59.21 · 2024-12-12
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$34,392
@ $58.69 · 2024-12-12
JOHNSON KRISTINA MARY
Director
$449,025
@ $59.87 · 2024-12-06
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$291,542
@ $59.73 · 2024-11-27
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$1.21M
@ $57.07 · 2024-11-20
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$3.34M
@ $57.49 · 2024-11-15
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$9.87M
@ $57.49 · 2024-11-15
HERREN RICHARD SCOTT
Chief Financial Officer
$4.96M
@ $57.49 · 2024-11-15
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$64,966
@ $48.92 · 2024-09-12
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$129,335
@ $48.95 · 2024-09-12
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$31,319
@ $49.09 · 2024-09-12
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$170,166
@ $50.36 · 2024-08-28
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$416,248
@ $50.33 · 2024-08-21
HERREN RICHARD SCOTT
Chief Financial Officer
$1.12M
@ $50.00 · 2024-08-20
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$368,699
@ $49.41 · 2024-08-16
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$1.34M
@ $49.45 · 2024-08-16
SUBAIYA THIMAYA K
Officer
$629,767
@ $45.32 · 2024-06-14
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$118,759
@ $45.35 · 2024-06-13
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$34,610
@ $45.42 · 2024-06-13
WONG MARIA VICTORIA
Officer
$155,016
@ $45.89 · 2024-05-29
ROBBINS CHARLES H
Chief Executive Officer
$1.21M
@ $46.10 · 2024-05-29
STAHLKOPF DEBORAH L
Officer
$386,701
@ $48.24 · 2024-05-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
UNH
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $179,645
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D.
Chief Executive Officer
$179,645
@ $305.00 · 2025-06-10
MCSWEENEY ERIN L
Officer
$438,987
@ $626.23 · 2024-11-11
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CSCO
FearGreed
😐Neutral(54/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
UNH
FearGreed
😨Fear(37/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CSCO
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (54)
UNH
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
View CSCO Full AnalysisView UNH Full Analysis