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Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) vs Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-09-17, CRM is overvalued at $243, with a DCF intrinsic value of $158 and a margin of safety of -54%. IBKR is overvalued at $88, with an intrinsic value of $73 and a margin of safety of -21%. Of the two, IBKR has the wider margin of safety.

CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
$242.88
VS
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
$88.19

Rewards

CRM
  • ★Gross margin of 77.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 31.6% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $5.53 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
IBKR
  • ★Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 93.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. scores 81/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

CRM
    IBKR
    • ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
    • ⚠Trailing P/E of 35.0x is 60% above the historical average of 21.9x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
    • ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.43 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    CRM
    IBKR
    Valuation
    $17.73B
    Free Cash Flow
    N/A
    8.87%
    FCF Yield
    N/A
    22.24
    Trailing P/E
    34.99
    15.16
    Forward P/E
    27.68
    Quality & Moat
    9.19%
    ROIC
    6.07%
    19.38%
    ROE
    24.02%
    77.28%
    Gross Margin
    93.04%
    0.87
    PEG Ratio
    1.47
    Balance Sheet Safety
    0.81
    Net Debt / Equity
    Net cash
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    2.40
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    N/A
    0.70%
    Dividend Yield
    0.40%
    CRM: 5Ties: 1IBKR: 3
    CRMIBKR

    Historical Fundamentals

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    CRM

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    IBKR

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    CRM
    $-2.22
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Market Cap Declined
    Σ Retained
    $14.67B
    Δ Market Cap
    $-32.50B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    IBKR
    $10.24
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $2.07B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$21.20B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    CRM
    54.1% Overvalued
    Price is 54.1% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $242.88
    Fair Value: $157.57
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    IBKR
    21.3% Overvalued
    Price is 21.3% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $88.19
    Fair Value: $72.71
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    CRM

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $243?

    +9.0%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +1.8%

    The market implies +9.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

    Standard FCF implies a more demanding +1.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

    IBKR

    Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

    Economic Moat Score

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    CRM
    58/100
    Narrow Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
    IBKR
    81/100
    Wide Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Revenue Predictability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    CRM
    -2.73
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    IBKR
    -2.34
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    CRM
    Insiders 3.0%Institutions 87.5%Retail & Other 9.5%
    No. of Institutional Holders3,512
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    IBKR
    Insiders 2.7%Institutions 88.5%Retail & Other 8.8%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,504
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    CRM
    0
    Buys (3M)
    4
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $26.52M
    ALBER LAURA
    Director
    $500,266
    @ $194.58 · 2026-03-19
    KIRK DAVID BLAIR
    Director
    $500,178
    @ $194.62 · 2026-03-18
    KIRK DAVID BLAIR
    Director
    $500,722
    @ $258.64 · 2025-12-17
    MORFIT G MASON
    Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $25.02M
    @ $260.58 · 2025-12-05
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    IBKR
    3
    Buys (3M)
    8
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $44,364
    CONKLING LORI A
    Director
    $2,363
    @ $94.52 · 2026-09-01
    CONKLING LORI A
    Director
    $2,176
    @ $87.04 · 2026-08-03
    CONKLING LORI A
    Director
    $2,201
    @ $88.04 · 2026-07-01
    CONKLING LORI A
    Director
    $2,152
    @ $86.08 · 2026-06-01
    CONKLING LORI A
    Director
    $1,991
    @ $79.64 · 2026-05-01
    CONKLING LORI A
    Director
    $1,710
    @ $68.40 · 2026-04-01
    CONKLING LORI A
    Director
    $5,391
    @ $71.88 · 2026-03-02
    BRIGHT JILL
    Director
    $26,380
    @ $65.95 · 2025-10-23
    BRIGHT JILL
    Director
    $29,634
    @ $219.51 · 2025-01-31
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    CRM
    1
    Sells (3M)
    14
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $40.38M
    CONWAY CRAIG
    Director
    $1.17M
    @ $260.61 · 2026-09-04
    KROES NEELIE
    Director
    $929,276
    @ $238.70 · 2026-01-14
    HARRIS G PARKER
    Officer and Director
    $31.61M
    @ $234.70 · 2025-12-02
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $575,140
    @ $255.62 · 2025-10-23
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $590,102
    @ $262.27 · 2025-10-21
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $567,631
    @ $252.28 · 2025-10-20
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $550,430
    @ $244.64 · 2025-10-17
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $558,810
    @ $248.36 · 2025-10-16
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $536,322
    @ $238.37 · 2025-10-15
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $548,796
    @ $243.91 · 2025-10-14
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $1.10M
    @ $244.75 · 2025-10-13
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $547,344
    @ $243.26 · 2025-10-09
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $539,533
    @ $239.79 · 2025-10-08
    BENIOFF MARC RUSSELL
    Chief Executive Officer
    $555,001
    @ $246.67 · 2025-09-23
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    IBKR
    0
    Sells (3M)
    4
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $5.77M
    HARRIS LAWRENCE E
    Director
    $2.00M
    @ $76.93 · 2026-04-28
    HARRIS LAWRENCE E
    Director
    $734,505
    @ $69.00 · 2025-10-29
    HARRIS LAWRENCE E
    Director
    $996,998
    @ $69.45 · 2025-10-28
    HARRIS LAWRENCE E
    Director
    $2.04M
    @ $67.86 · 2025-10-24
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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    CRM
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(54/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    IBKR
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(51/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    CRM
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (54)
    IBKR
    ⚪Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)
    View CRM Full AnalysisView IBKR Full Analysis

    Frequently Asked Questions: CRM vs IBKR

    Is Salesforce, Inc. or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼

    Based on our discounted cash flow model, IBKR trades at a -21.3% margin of safety (intrinsic value $73 vs. price $88), compared to CRM's -54.1% margin of safety (intrinsic $158 vs. $243).

    Which stock has a wider economic moat, Salesforce, Inc. or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.?▼

    IBKR scores 81/100 (Wide moat), while CRM scores 58/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

    Is Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. in financial distress?▼

    IBKR's Altman Z-Score of 0.4 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. CRM scores 3.4 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

    Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Salesforce, Inc. or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.?▼

    CRM earns 9.2% ROIC versus IBKR's 6.1%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

    Which dividend is safer, Salesforce, Inc.'s or Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.'s?▼

    IBKR's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to CRM's 88/100 (Very Safe). IBKR has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

    CRM vs IBKR: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io