Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) vs Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
As of 2026-08-03, CRM is undervalued at $184, with a DCF intrinsic value of $222981480055 and a margin of safety of 100%. EXPE is undervalued at $295, with an intrinsic value of $397 and a margin of safety of 26%. Of the two, CRM has the wider margin of safety.
Rewards
- ★Gross margin of 77.6% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 31.6% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $5.53 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★Gross margin of 90.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Expedia Group, Inc. scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Share count has been reduced by 20% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
Risks
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.81 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 1.72 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠10 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →What growth rate is the market pricing in at $184?
The market implies -21.2% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding -30.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $295?
The market implies +10.4% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding -2.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →M-Score Trend
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
Frequently Asked Questions: CRM vs EXPE
Is Salesforce, Inc. or Expedia Group, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼
Based on our discounted cash flow model, CRM trades at a 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $222981480055 vs. price $184), compared to EXPE's 25.8% margin of safety (intrinsic $397 vs. $295).
Which stock has a wider economic moat, Salesforce, Inc. or Expedia Group, Inc.?▼
EXPE scores 80/100 (Wide moat), while CRM scores 58/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.
Is Salesforce, Inc. in financial distress?▼
CRM's Altman Z-Score of 0.8 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. EXPE scores 1.7 (Distress zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.
Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Salesforce, Inc. or Expedia Group, Inc.?▼
EXPE earns 13.0% ROIC versus CRM's 9.6%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.
Which dividend is safer, Salesforce, Inc.'s or Expedia Group, Inc.'s?▼
CRM's dividend earns a safety score of 88/100 (Very Safe), compared to EXPE's 85/100 (Very Safe). CRM has raised its dividend for 1 consecutive years.