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The Campbell's Company (CPB) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-08-03, CPB is undervalued at $22, with a DCF intrinsic value of $2404498067 and a margin of safety of 100%. ORCL is undervalued at $130, with an intrinsic value of $404 and a margin of safety of 68%. Of the two, CPB has the wider margin of safety.

CPB
The Campbell's Company
$21.98
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$129.87

Rewards

CPB
  • ★The Campbell's Company scores 78/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Trailing P/E of 10.8x is 41% below the historical average of 18.4x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
  • ★PEG ratio of 0.73 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
ORCL
  • ★Gross margin of 65.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.80 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

CPB
  • ⚠High leverage (1.72x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.1x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
  • ⚠Altman Z-Score of 1.37 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
ORCL
  • ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • ⚠High leverage (3.15x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.4x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CPB
ORCL
Valuation
$603.25M
Free Cash Flow
$-24.54B
N/A
FCF Yield
-6.56%
10.77
Trailing P/E
22.28
11.29
Forward P/E
11.93
Quality & Moat
9.04%
ROIC
9.15%
15.39%
ROE
53.38%
29.20%
Gross Margin
65.82%
0.73
PEG Ratio
0.73
Balance Sheet Safety
1.72
Net Debt / Equity
3.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.07
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.44
7.10%
Dividend Yield
1.54%
CPB: 6Ties: 3ORCL: 2
CPBORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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CPB

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CPB
$-0.00
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$676.0M
Δ Market Cap
$-28.88
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$3.51
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$25.08B
Δ Market Cap
+$87.99B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CPB
100.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 100.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $21.98
Fair Value: $2404498066.62
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
67.8% Margin of Safety
Price is 67.8% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $129.87
Fair Value: $403.51
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CPB

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $22?

-0.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +0.1%

The market implies -0.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +0.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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CPB
78/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. ROIC Consistency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
67/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving reinvestment efficiency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CPB
-2.70
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.58
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CPB
Insiders 37.5%Institutions 64.5%
No. of Institutional Holders824
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 43.9%Retail & Other 15.6%
No. of Institutional Holders4,502
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CPB
1
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $6,435
DORRANCE BENNETT JR.
Director
$6,435
@ $21.45 · 2026-06-09
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CPB
0
Sells (3M)
2
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $396,653
SANZIO ANTHONY
Officer
$71,578
@ $26.51 · 2026-01-09
BRAWLEY CHARLES A. III
General Counsel
$325,075
@ $28.15 · 2025-12-30
BRAWLEY CHARLES A. III
General Counsel
$100,000
@ $40.03 · 2025-03-31
SANZIO ANTHONY
Officer
$83,805
@ $41.90 · 2025-01-03
SANZIO ANTHONY
Officer
$187,528
@ $46.88 · 2024-10-03
POLOMSKI STANLEY
Officer
$649,690
@ $48.34 · 2024-10-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
1
Sells (3M)
15
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $126.77M
HENLEY JEFFREY O
Officer and Director
$63.66M
@ $159.16 · 2026-06-24
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$2.64M
@ $176.19 · 2026-04-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CPB
FearGreed
😨Fear(29/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(33/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CPB
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (29)
ORCL
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (33)
View CPB Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: CPB vs ORCL

Is The Campbell's Company or Oracle Corporation more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, CPB trades at a 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $2404498067 vs. price $22), compared to ORCL's 67.8% margin of safety (intrinsic $404 vs. $130).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, The Campbell's Company or Oracle Corporation?▼

CPB scores 78/100 (Wide moat), while ORCL scores 67/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is The Campbell's Company in financial distress?▼

CPB's Altman Z-Score of 1.4 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. ORCL scores 1.6 (Distress zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, The Campbell's Company or Oracle Corporation?▼

ORCL earns 9.2% ROIC versus CPB's 9.0%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, The Campbell's Company's or Oracle Corporation's?▼

ORCL's dividend earns a safety score of 79/100 (Safe), compared to CPB's 43/100 (Borderline). ORCL has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

CPB vs ORCL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io