Compare Stocks › CMI vs MS
Cummins Inc. (CMI) vs Morgan Stanley (MS)
CMI
Cummins Inc.
$540.24
VS
MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55
Rewards
CMI
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 31.6% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $7.92 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★PEG ratio of 0.64 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
MS
- ★Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
Risks
CMI
- ⚠6 insider sales totaling $19.8M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
MS
- ⚠High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →CMI
MS
Valuation
$2.39B
Free Cash Flow
N/A
3.20%
FCF Yield
N/A
26.38
Trailing P/E
15.53
17.17
Forward P/E
12.89
Quality & Moat
13.49%
ROIC
3.43%
21.20%
ROE
14.42%
25.76%
Gross Margin
87.06%
0.64
PEG Ratio
0.75
Balance Sheet Safety
0.61
Debt / Equity
4.56
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.87
Net Debt / EBITDA
N/A
1.45%
Dividend Yield
2.52%
CMI: 4Ties: 1MS: 4
CMIMS
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →CMI
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
MS
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →CMI
$7.92
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.58B
Δ Market Cap
+$36.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →CMI
35.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 35.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $540.24
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $842.71
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MS
45.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.55
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $290.92
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →CMI
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $540?
+12.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.6%
The market implies +12.2% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.
Standard FCF implies +14.6%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.
MS
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →CMI
55/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MS
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →CMI
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →CMI
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 87.4%Retail & Other 12.3%
No. of Institutional Holders2,375
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MS
Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,182
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →CMI
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $332,080
STONE JOHN H
Director
$332,080
@ $332.08 · 2025-05-16
WILTROUT JEFFREY T
Officer
$80,401
@ $285.11 · 2024-05-24
BOAKYE MARVIN
Officer
$499,133
@ $286.04 · 2024-05-20
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →CMI
6
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $46.04M
DAVIS AMY ROCHELLE
Officer
$2.28M
@ $561.34 · 2026-03-03
JACKSON DONALD G
Officer
$2.32M
@ $465.64 · 2026-02-24
DAVIS AMY ROCHELLE
Officer
$1.09M
@ $586.64 · 2026-02-23
NEWSOME EARL JR.
Chief Technology Officer
$758,776
@ $583.67 · 2026-02-23
MILLER WILLIAM I
Director
$10.81M
@ $597.10 · 2026-02-11
BUSH JENNIFER MARY
Officer
$2.50M
@ $584.93 · 2026-02-10
MERRITT BRETT MICHAEL
Officer
$709,514
@ $489.32 · 2025-11-25
RUMSEY JENNIFER W.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.17M
@ $473.89 · 2025-11-11
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$6.17M
@ $470.66 · 2025-11-06
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$89,819
@ $449.10 · 2025-10-30
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$3.51M
@ $439.30 · 2025-10-06
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$3.77M
@ $415.73 · 2025-09-17
ENRIGHT ROBERT J
Officer
$748,210
@ $402.26 · 2025-08-22
DAVIS AMY ROCHELLE
Officer
$2.02M
@ $402.88 · 2025-08-14
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$5.00M
@ $400.20 · 2025-08-13
PETERS LUTHER EARL
Officer
$1.89M
@ $389.19 · 2025-08-08
BUSH JENNIFER MARY
Officer
$201,826
@ $388.13 · 2025-08-08
SMITH MARK ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
$4.28M
@ $374.57 · 2025-02-10
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$798,403
@ $369.12 · 2024-11-21
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$784,071
@ $362.49 · 2024-11-13
DI LEO ALLEN BRUNO VITO
Director
$1.77M
@ $358.56 · 2024-11-12
JACKSON DONALD G
Officer
$1.78M
@ $356.21 · 2024-11-12
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$775,052
@ $358.32 · 2024-11-11
SATTERTHWAITE LIVINGSTON LORD
Officer
$7.47M
@ $308.24 · 2024-08-23
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$1.98M
@ $304.77 · 2024-08-21
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $300.35 · 2024-08-15
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$708,110
@ $296.28 · 2024-05-10
BARNER SHARON R.
Officer
$1.11M
@ $286.86 · 2024-05-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MS
7
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.45M
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
$9.02M
@ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.01M
@ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →CMI
😐Neutral(52/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MS
😐Neutral(48/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →CMI
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)
MS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)