Compare StocksCMG vs QCOM

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) vs QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)

CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
$32.94
VS
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
$131.28

Rewards

CMG
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. scores 85/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 19.7% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
QCOM
  • QUALCOMM Incorporated has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • QUALCOMM Incorporated scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 23.3% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

CMG
  • PEG ratio of 7.22 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • Insiders have sold $2.6M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
QCOM
  • FCF yield of 7.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Trailing P/E of 26.5x is 28% above the historical average of 20.7x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • 18 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CMG
QCOM
Valuation
$1.45B
Free Cash Flow
$10.42B
3.32%
FCF Yield
7.43%
28.89
Trailing P/E
26.47
24.09
Forward P/E
11.77
Quality & Moat
18.13%
ROIC
25.70%
54.26%
ROE
24.02%
40.10%
Gross Margin
55.10%
7.22
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.79
Debt / Equity
0.64
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.69
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.22
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.71%
CMG: 1Ties: 1QCOM: 8
CMGQCOM

Historical Fundamentals

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CMG

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

QCOM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CMG
$2.31
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.30B
Δ Market Cap
+$9.93B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
QCOM
$5.06
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$11.96B
Δ Market Cap
+$60.46B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CMG
28.3% Margin of Safety
Price is 28.3% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $32.94
Fair Value: $45.93
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
QCOM
71.3% Overvalued
Price is 71.3% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $131.28
Fair Value: $76.62
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CMG

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $33?

+13.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.5%

The market implies +13.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +14.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

QCOM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $131?

+11.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +2.6%

The market implies +11.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +2.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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CMG
85/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
QCOM
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by reinvestment efficiency. Revenue Predictability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CMG
-2.95
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
QCOM
-3.16
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CMG
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 91.1%Retail & Other 8.3%
No. of Institutional Holders1,842
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
QCOM
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 81.6%Retail & Other 18.2%
No. of Institutional Holders3,852
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CMG
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
GUTIERREZ MAURICIO
Director
$498,200
@ $53.00 · 2025-03-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
QCOM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CMG
2
Sells (3M)
14
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $22.09M
FILI-KRUSHEL PATRICIA D
Director
$122,543
@ $36.58 · 2026-02-24
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
President
$2.44M
@ $40.01 · 2026-02-06
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
President
$2.44M
@ $36.05 · 2025-12-12
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
President
$2.15M
@ $34.67 · 2025-12-01
ESKENAZI ILENE
Officer
$1.15M
@ $43.15 · 2025-08-25
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Officer
$887,108
@ $56.32 · 2025-07-07
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
President
$3.47M
@ $55.14 · 2025-06-25
FILI-KRUSHEL PATRICIA D
Director
$106,147
@ $51.13 · 2025-06-12
HICKENLOOPER ROBIN S.
Director
$115,229
@ $51.21 · 2025-06-12
BOATWRIGHT HENRY SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$997,133
@ $52.48 · 2025-06-06
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Officer
$1.21M
@ $52.14 · 2025-06-04
THEODOREDIS ROGER E.
General Counsel
$5.66M
@ $49.70 · 2025-06-02
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$1.18M
@ $50.84 · 2025-05-21
MCCONNELL JAMIE
Officer
$161,829
@ $52.42 · 2025-05-14
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Officer
$1.03M
@ $49.77 · 2025-03-13
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$1.10M
@ $52.36 · 2025-02-25
MCCONNELL JAMIE
Officer
$664,426
@ $58.70 · 2025-02-10
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$902,563
@ $57.31 · 2025-02-07
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$917,261
@ $58.24 · 2025-01-07
SCHALOW LAURIE
Officer
$1.38M
@ $65.13 · 2024-12-11
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$1.01M
@ $64.37 · 2024-12-09
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$2.91M
@ $65.25 · 2024-12-06
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$920,675
@ $58.46 · 2024-11-07
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$898,567
@ $57.05 · 2024-10-07
HICKENLOOPER ROBIN S.
Director
$100,924
@ $56.38 · 2024-09-12
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$866,554
@ $55.02 · 2024-09-11
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$951,161
@ $54.68 · 2024-08-06
GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III
Chief Technology Officer
$3.07M
@ $50.96 · 2024-07-29
HARTUNG JOHN R
Chief Financial Officer
$8.00M
@ $3249.01 · 2024-06-13
BOATWRIGHT HENRY SCOTT
Chief Operating Officer
$3.51M
@ $3190.16 · 2024-04-26
BRANDT CHRISTOPHER W
Officer
$3.16M
@ $3156.28 · 2024-04-26
NICCOL BRIAN R
Chief Executive Officer
$20.41M
@ $3185.92 · 2024-04-26
THEODOREDIS ROGER E.
General Counsel
$7.94M
@ $3164.44 · 2024-04-26
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
QCOM
3
Sells (3M)
18
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $12.83M
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$330,815
@ $132.33 · 2026-03-12
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$458,799
@ $137.65 · 2026-02-06
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$577,620
@ $173.30 · 2026-01-02
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$2.20M
@ $175.29 · 2025-12-19
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$2.83M
@ $178.01 · 2025-12-16
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$1.28M
@ $178.03 · 2025-12-16
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$567,702
@ $170.33 · 2025-11-07
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$1.38M
@ $166.06 · 2025-10-20
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$522,808
@ $156.86 · 2025-09-02
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$122,463
@ $154.82 · 2025-08-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$493,610
@ $148.10 · 2025-08-04
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$537,560
@ $161.28 · 2025-07-02
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$486,965
@ $146.10 · 2025-06-02
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$120,808
@ $153.70 · 2025-05-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$465,846
@ $139.77 · 2025-05-05
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$91,442
@ $141.11 · 2025-04-09
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$119,900
@ $132.63 · 2025-04-08
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$235,262
@ $132.10 · 2025-04-04
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$523,292
@ $156.82 · 2025-03-03
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$130,074
@ $174.83 · 2025-02-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$509,397
@ $169.80 · 2025-02-12
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$3.28M
@ $169.83 · 2025-02-10
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$463,851
@ $154.62 · 2025-01-02
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$409,056
@ $158.12 · 2024-12-16
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$1.67M
@ $160.59 · 2024-12-10
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$1.24M
@ $160.59 · 2024-12-10
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$484,617
@ $161.54 · 2024-12-05
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$202,120
@ $155.00 · 2024-11-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$491,349
@ $163.78 · 2024-11-14
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.38M
@ $172.09 · 2024-11-08
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$313,779
@ $165.06 · 2024-11-04
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$539,157
@ $166.15 · 2024-10-02
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.36M
@ $169.80 · 2024-10-01
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$497,848
@ $165.95 · 2024-10-01
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$126,224
@ $163.08 · 2024-09-05
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.37M
@ $171.72 · 2024-09-03
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$497,980
@ $165.99 · 2024-09-03
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$488,662
@ $162.89 · 2024-08-08
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.28M
@ $160.50 · 2024-08-02
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$616,815
@ $205.60 · 2024-07-05
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.60M
@ $199.47 · 2024-07-01
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.68M
@ $209.61 · 2024-06-03
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$617,299
@ $205.77 · 2024-06-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CMG
FearGreed
😨Fear(30/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
QCOM
FearGreed
😨Fear(30/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CMG
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (30)
QCOM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (30)
View CMG Full AnalysisView QCOM Full Analysis