Compare StocksCME vs QCOM

CME Group Inc. (CME) vs QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)

CME
CME Group Inc.
$310.71
VS
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
$131.28

Rewards

CME
  • Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • CME Group Inc. scores 77/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 12.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
QCOM
  • QUALCOMM Incorporated has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • QUALCOMM Incorporated scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 23.3% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

CME
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.53 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • Insiders have sold $3.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
QCOM
  • FCF yield of 7.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Trailing P/E of 26.5x is 28% above the historical average of 20.7x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • 18 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CME
QCOM
Valuation
$4.19B
Free Cash Flow
$10.42B
3.75%
FCF Yield
7.43%
27.87
Trailing P/E
26.47
24.44
Forward P/E
11.77
Quality & Moat
10.10%
ROIC
25.70%
14.00%
ROE
24.02%
100.00%
Gross Margin
55.10%
0.80
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
0.13
Debt / Equity
0.64
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.17
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.22
1.67%
Dividend Yield
2.71%
CME: 3Ties: 1QCOM: 7
CMEQCOM

Historical Fundamentals

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CME

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

QCOM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CME
$526.78
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$71.5M
Δ Market Cap
+$37.66B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
QCOM
$5.06
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$11.96B
Δ Market Cap
+$60.46B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CME
47.6% Overvalued
Price is 47.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $310.71
Fair Value: $210.47
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
QCOM
71.3% Overvalued
Price is 71.3% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $131.28
Fair Value: $76.62
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CME

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $311?

+11.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +11.5%

The market implies +11.9% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +11.5%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

QCOM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $131?

+11.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +2.6%

The market implies +11.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +2.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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CME
77/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by margin stability. ROIC Consistency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
QCOM
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by reinvestment efficiency. Revenue Predictability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CME
-2.43
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
QCOM
-3.16
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CME
Insiders 0.5%Institutions 92.6%Retail & Other 6.9%
No. of Institutional Holders2,297
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
QCOM
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 81.6%Retail & Other 18.2%
No. of Institutional Holders3,852
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CME
0
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $144,331
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$72,336
@ $270.92 · 2025-06-25
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$71,995
@ $262.76 · 2025-03-26
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$325,798
@ $227.99 · 2025-01-16
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$324,198
@ $227.99 · 2025-01-16
BENESH KATHRYN
Director
$3,595
@ $239.67 · 2024-12-27
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$63,945
@ $218.99 · 2024-09-25
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
QCOM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CME
4
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $15.70M
VROMAN KENDAL L
Officer
$1.59M
@ $309.00 · 2026-03-12
DURKIN BRYAN T
Director
$1.30M
@ $309.65 · 2026-02-23
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$91,770
@ $305.90 · 2026-02-20
SUSKIND DENNIS A
Director
$224,400
@ $300.00 · 2026-02-06
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$6.74M
@ $269.55 · 2025-12-11
FORD HAROLD EUGENE JR
Director
$263,530
@ $263.53 · 2025-11-03
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$102,704
@ $262.00 · 2025-09-18
MCCOURT TIMOTHY FRANCIS
Officer
$98,476
@ $259.83 · 2025-09-16
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$97,369
@ $258.96 · 2025-09-16
CUTINHO SUNIL KIRAN
Chief Technology Officer
$3.23M
@ $271.47 · 2025-08-26
KAYE DANIEL G
Director
$141,210
@ $282.42 · 2025-05-22
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$108,225
@ $277.50 · 2025-05-20
LOCKETT PHYLLIS M
Director
$294,553
@ $277.88 · 2025-05-19
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$81,951
@ $273.17 · 2025-05-15
SUSKIND DENNIS A
Director
$271,280
@ $271.28 · 2025-04-29
GERDES LARRY G
Director
$1.06M
@ $265.11 · 2025-04-25
LUCAS DEBORAH J
Director
$385,425
@ $256.95 · 2025-03-14
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$7.78M
@ $259.18 · 2025-03-11
SPRAGUE SUZANNE
Chief Operating Officer
$385,249
@ $256.83 · 2025-03-03
PIELL HILDA HARRIS
Officer
$997,853
@ $250.47 · 2025-02-27
VROMAN KENDAL L
Officer
$1.27M
@ $250.00 · 2025-02-13
WINKLER JULIE
Officer
$2.89M
@ $249.17 · 2025-02-13
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$89,168
@ $222.92 · 2024-11-04
CUTINHO SUNIL KIRAN
Chief Technology Officer
$1.02M
@ $226.64 · 2024-10-30
BITSBERGER TIMOTHY S
Director
$226,957
@ $226.96 · 2024-10-30
MCCOURT TIMOTHY FRANCIS
Officer
$312,056
@ $227.11 · 2024-10-28
FITZPATRICK LYNNE
Chief Financial Officer
$163,610
@ $216.99 · 2024-09-13
DURKIN BRYAN T
Director
$1.63M
@ $214.59 · 2024-08-30
GLICKMAN DANIEL ROBERT
Director
$130,937
@ $201.44 · 2024-06-06
PIELL HILDA HARRIS
Officer
$1.50M
@ $210.35 · 2024-05-08
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$8.44M
@ $210.91 · 2024-04-29
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
QCOM
3
Sells (3M)
18
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $12.83M
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$330,815
@ $132.33 · 2026-03-12
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$458,799
@ $137.65 · 2026-02-06
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$577,620
@ $173.30 · 2026-01-02
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$2.20M
@ $175.29 · 2025-12-19
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$2.83M
@ $178.01 · 2025-12-16
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$1.28M
@ $178.03 · 2025-12-16
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$567,702
@ $170.33 · 2025-11-07
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$1.38M
@ $166.06 · 2025-10-20
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$522,808
@ $156.86 · 2025-09-02
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$122,463
@ $154.82 · 2025-08-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$493,610
@ $148.10 · 2025-08-04
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$537,560
@ $161.28 · 2025-07-02
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$486,965
@ $146.10 · 2025-06-02
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$120,808
@ $153.70 · 2025-05-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$465,846
@ $139.77 · 2025-05-05
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$91,442
@ $141.11 · 2025-04-09
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$119,900
@ $132.63 · 2025-04-08
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$235,262
@ $132.10 · 2025-04-04
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$523,292
@ $156.82 · 2025-03-03
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$130,074
@ $174.83 · 2025-02-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$509,397
@ $169.80 · 2025-02-12
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$3.28M
@ $169.83 · 2025-02-10
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$463,851
@ $154.62 · 2025-01-02
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$409,056
@ $158.12 · 2024-12-16
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$1.67M
@ $160.59 · 2024-12-10
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$1.24M
@ $160.59 · 2024-12-10
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$484,617
@ $161.54 · 2024-12-05
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$202,120
@ $155.00 · 2024-11-21
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$491,349
@ $163.78 · 2024-11-14
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.38M
@ $172.09 · 2024-11-08
CHAPLIN ANN C
General Counsel
$313,779
@ $165.06 · 2024-11-04
ROGERS ALEXANDER H
Officer
$539,157
@ $166.15 · 2024-10-02
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.36M
@ $169.80 · 2024-10-01
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$497,848
@ $165.95 · 2024-10-01
MARTIN NEIL A
Officer
$126,224
@ $163.08 · 2024-09-05
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.37M
@ $171.72 · 2024-09-03
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$497,980
@ $165.99 · 2024-09-03
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$488,662
@ $162.89 · 2024-08-08
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.28M
@ $160.50 · 2024-08-02
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$616,815
@ $205.60 · 2024-07-05
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.60M
@ $199.47 · 2024-07-01
THOMPSON JAMES H.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.68M
@ $209.61 · 2024-06-03
PALKHIWALA AKASH J
Chief Operating Officer
$617,299
@ $205.77 · 2024-06-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CME
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
QCOM
FearGreed
😨Fear(30/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CME
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
QCOM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (30)
View CME Full AnalysisView QCOM Full Analysis