Compare Stocks › CME vs NVDA
CME Group Inc. (CME) vs NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
CME
CME Group Inc.
$310.71
VS
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
$178.56
Rewards
CME
- ★Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★CME Group Inc. scores 77/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 12.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
NVDA
- ★NVIDIA Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★Gross margin of 71.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 193.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
Risks
CME
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.53 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $3.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
NVDA
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.2% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠Beneish M-Score of -1.06 flags financial patterns consistent with potential earnings manipulation — warrants further investigation.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $15.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →CME
NVDA
Valuation
$4.19B
Free Cash Flow
$96.68B
3.75%
FCF Yield
2.23%
27.87
Trailing P/E
36.52
24.44
Forward P/E
16.22
Quality & Moat
10.10%
ROIC
65.75%
14.00%
ROE
76.33%
100.00%
Gross Margin
71.07%
0.80
PEG Ratio
0.38
Balance Sheet Safety
0.13
Debt / Equity
0.07
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.17
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.38
1.67%
Dividend Yield
0.02%
CME: 4Ties: 1NVDA: 7
CMENVDA
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →CME
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
NVDA
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →CME
$526.78
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$71.5M
Δ Market Cap
+$37.66B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
NVDA
$14.14
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$220.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$3.12T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →CME
47.6% Overvalued
Price is 47.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $310.71
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $210.47
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
NVDA
50.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 50.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $178.56
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $361.26
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →CME
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $311?
+11.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +11.5%
The market implies +11.9% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.
Standard FCF implies +11.5%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.
NVDA
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $179?
+15.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +18.6%
The market implies +15.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +18.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →CME
77/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by margin stability. ROIC Consistency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
NVDA
69/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →CME
-2.43
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
NVDA
-1.06
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →CME
Insiders 0.5%Institutions 92.6%Retail & Other 6.9%
No. of Institutional Holders2,297
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
NVDA
Insiders 4.2%Institutions 69.8%Retail & Other 26.0%
No. of Institutional Holders7,415
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →CME
0
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $144,331
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$72,336
@ $270.92 · 2025-06-25
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$71,995
@ $262.76 · 2025-03-26
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$325,798
@ $227.99 · 2025-01-16
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$324,198
@ $227.99 · 2025-01-16
BENESH KATHRYN
Director
$3,595
@ $239.67 · 2024-12-27
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$63,945
@ $218.99 · 2024-09-25
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
NVDA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →CME
4
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $15.70M
VROMAN KENDAL L
Officer
$1.59M
@ $309.00 · 2026-03-12
DURKIN BRYAN T
Director
$1.30M
@ $309.65 · 2026-02-23
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$91,770
@ $305.90 · 2026-02-20
SUSKIND DENNIS A
Director
$224,400
@ $300.00 · 2026-02-06
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$6.74M
@ $269.55 · 2025-12-11
FORD HAROLD EUGENE JR
Director
$263,530
@ $263.53 · 2025-11-03
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$102,704
@ $262.00 · 2025-09-18
MCCOURT TIMOTHY FRANCIS
Officer
$98,476
@ $259.83 · 2025-09-16
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$97,369
@ $258.96 · 2025-09-16
CUTINHO SUNIL KIRAN
Chief Technology Officer
$3.23M
@ $271.47 · 2025-08-26
KAYE DANIEL G
Director
$141,210
@ $282.42 · 2025-05-22
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$108,225
@ $277.50 · 2025-05-20
LOCKETT PHYLLIS M
Director
$294,553
@ $277.88 · 2025-05-19
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$81,951
@ $273.17 · 2025-05-15
SUSKIND DENNIS A
Director
$271,280
@ $271.28 · 2025-04-29
GERDES LARRY G
Director
$1.06M
@ $265.11 · 2025-04-25
LUCAS DEBORAH J
Director
$385,425
@ $256.95 · 2025-03-14
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$7.78M
@ $259.18 · 2025-03-11
SPRAGUE SUZANNE
Chief Operating Officer
$385,249
@ $256.83 · 2025-03-03
PIELL HILDA HARRIS
Officer
$997,853
@ $250.47 · 2025-02-27
VROMAN KENDAL L
Officer
$1.27M
@ $250.00 · 2025-02-13
WINKLER JULIE
Officer
$2.89M
@ $249.17 · 2025-02-13
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$89,168
@ $222.92 · 2024-11-04
CUTINHO SUNIL KIRAN
Chief Technology Officer
$1.02M
@ $226.64 · 2024-10-30
BITSBERGER TIMOTHY S
Director
$226,957
@ $226.96 · 2024-10-30
MCCOURT TIMOTHY FRANCIS
Officer
$312,056
@ $227.11 · 2024-10-28
FITZPATRICK LYNNE
Chief Financial Officer
$163,610
@ $216.99 · 2024-09-13
DURKIN BRYAN T
Director
$1.63M
@ $214.59 · 2024-08-30
GLICKMAN DANIEL ROBERT
Director
$130,937
@ $201.44 · 2024-06-06
PIELL HILDA HARRIS
Officer
$1.50M
@ $210.35 · 2024-05-08
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$8.44M
@ $210.91 · 2024-04-29
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
NVDA
2
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.10B
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$555,440
@ $184.90 · 2026-03-13
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$15.19M
@ $189.85 · 2026-01-02
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$4.43M
@ $179.98 · 2025-12-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$112,317
@ $179.42 · 2025-11-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$5.20M
@ $207.91 · 2025-10-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$23.56M
@ $188.47 · 2025-10-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.73M
@ $181.04 · 2025-10-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.06M
@ $182.48 · 2025-10-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.34M
@ $183.73 · 2025-10-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.89M
@ $190.60 · 2025-10-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.05M
@ $186.89 · 2025-10-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.09M
@ $187.08 · 2025-10-02
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.23M
@ $178.82 · 2025-09-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.21M
@ $178.69 · 2025-09-24
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$617,298
@ $176.37 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.18M
@ $174.14 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.75M
@ $176.66 · 2025-09-16
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.28M
@ $174.59 · 2025-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.01M
@ $168.95 · 2025-09-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.61M
@ $171.60 · 2025-09-03
HUDSON BEACH DAWN E
Director
$15.38M
@ $170.90 · 2025-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.12M
@ $180.79 · 2025-08-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.96M
@ $182.04 · 2025-08-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.66M
@ $180.70 · 2025-08-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.78M
@ $176.80 · 2025-08-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.18M
@ $178.58 · 2025-07-31
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.16M
@ $174.02 · 2025-07-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.22M
@ $169.87 · 2025-07-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.71M
@ $172.05 · 2025-07-18
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$37.59M
@ $167.08 · 2025-07-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$36.43M
@ $161.91 · 2025-07-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.55M
@ $158.02 · 2025-07-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.16M
@ $156.27 · 2025-07-01
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$30.47M
@ $152.33 · 2025-06-26
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$14.40M
@ $144.04 · 2025-06-23
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$646,469
@ $143.66 · 2025-06-20
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.74M
@ $134.82 · 2025-05-30
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$91,608
@ $138.80 · 2025-05-30
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$525,585
@ $116.80 · 2025-03-21
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.79M
@ $116.83 · 2025-03-21
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$2.37M
@ $118.42 · 2025-03-20
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.16M
@ $115.49 · 2025-03-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$292,930
@ $110.00 · 2025-03-10
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$608,775
@ $135.28 · 2024-12-13
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$9.03M
@ $135.40 · 2024-12-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$101,672
@ $142.00 · 2024-11-25
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$524,293
@ $116.51 · 2024-09-20
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.77M
@ $116.59 · 2024-09-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.55M
@ $118.97 · 2024-09-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$26.25M
@ $109.39 · 2024-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.04M
@ $104.35 · 2024-09-09
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.81M
@ $107.52 · 2024-09-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.57M
@ $114.90 · 2024-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$24.92M
@ $103.82 · 2024-08-09
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.07M
@ $104.46 · 2024-08-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$24.61M
@ $102.54 · 2024-08-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.43M
@ $114.28 · 2024-08-01
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$26.38M
@ $109.93 · 2024-07-30
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.22M
@ $113.40 · 2024-07-26
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.87M
@ $120.29 · 2024-07-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.95M
@ $120.65 · 2024-07-22
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →CME
😐Neutral(59/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
NVDA
😐Neutral(55/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →CME
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
NVDA
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)