Compare StocksCME vs INTU

CME Group Inc. (CME) vs Intuit Inc. (INTU)

CME
CME Group Inc.
$310.71
VS
INTU
Intuit Inc.
$455.24

Rewards

CME
  • Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • CME Group Inc. scores 77/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 12.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
INTU
  • Gross margin of 80.9% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Intuit Inc. scores 79/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 18.5% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

CME
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.53 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • Insiders have sold $3.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
INTU
  • 24 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.

Key Valuation Metrics

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CME
INTU
Valuation
$4.19B
Free Cash Flow
$5.30B
3.75%
FCF Yield
4.18%
27.87
Trailing P/E
29.58
24.44
Forward P/E
17.19
Quality & Moat
10.10%
ROIC
N/A
14.00%
ROE
N/A
100.00%
Gross Margin
80.90%
0.80
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
0.13
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
No debt
-0.17
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.00
1.67%
Dividend Yield
1.02%
CME: 4INTU: 3
CMEINTU

Historical Fundamentals

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CME

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

INTU

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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CME
$526.78
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$71.5M
Δ Market Cap
+$37.66B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
INTU
$12.31
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$6.10B
Δ Market Cap
+$75.17B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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CME
47.6% Overvalued
Price is 47.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $310.71
Fair Value: $210.47
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
INTU
5.8% Overvalued
Price is 5.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $455.24
Fair Value: $430.46
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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CME

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $311?

+11.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +11.5%

The market implies +11.9% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +11.5%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

INTU

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $455?

+14.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +10.1%

The market implies +14.4% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +10.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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CME
77/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by margin stability. ROIC Consistency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
INTU
79/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. ROIC Consistency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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CME
-2.43
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
INTU
-2.65
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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CME
Insiders 0.5%Institutions 92.6%Retail & Other 6.9%
No. of Institutional Holders2,297
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
INTU
Insiders 2.4%Institutions 90.6%Retail & Other 7.1%
No. of Institutional Holders3,066
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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CME
0
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $144,331
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$72,336
@ $270.92 · 2025-06-25
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$71,995
@ $262.76 · 2025-03-26
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$325,798
@ $227.99 · 2025-01-16
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$324,198
@ $227.99 · 2025-01-16
BENESH KATHRYN
Director
$3,595
@ $239.67 · 2024-12-27
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
$63,945
@ $218.99 · 2024-09-25
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
INTU
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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CME
4
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $15.70M
VROMAN KENDAL L
Officer
$1.59M
@ $309.00 · 2026-03-12
DURKIN BRYAN T
Director
$1.30M
@ $309.65 · 2026-02-23
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$91,770
@ $305.90 · 2026-02-20
SUSKIND DENNIS A
Director
$224,400
@ $300.00 · 2026-02-06
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$6.74M
@ $269.55 · 2025-12-11
FORD HAROLD EUGENE JR
Director
$263,530
@ $263.53 · 2025-11-03
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$102,704
@ $262.00 · 2025-09-18
MCCOURT TIMOTHY FRANCIS
Officer
$98,476
@ $259.83 · 2025-09-16
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$97,369
@ $258.96 · 2025-09-16
CUTINHO SUNIL KIRAN
Chief Technology Officer
$3.23M
@ $271.47 · 2025-08-26
KAYE DANIEL G
Director
$141,210
@ $282.42 · 2025-05-22
MARCUS JONATHAN L
General Counsel
$108,225
@ $277.50 · 2025-05-20
LOCKETT PHYLLIS M
Director
$294,553
@ $277.88 · 2025-05-19
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$81,951
@ $273.17 · 2025-05-15
SUSKIND DENNIS A
Director
$271,280
@ $271.28 · 2025-04-29
GERDES LARRY G
Director
$1.06M
@ $265.11 · 2025-04-25
LUCAS DEBORAH J
Director
$385,425
@ $256.95 · 2025-03-14
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$7.78M
@ $259.18 · 2025-03-11
SPRAGUE SUZANNE
Chief Operating Officer
$385,249
@ $256.83 · 2025-03-03
PIELL HILDA HARRIS
Officer
$997,853
@ $250.47 · 2025-02-27
VROMAN KENDAL L
Officer
$1.27M
@ $250.00 · 2025-02-13
WINKLER JULIE
Officer
$2.89M
@ $249.17 · 2025-02-13
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
$89,168
@ $222.92 · 2024-11-04
CUTINHO SUNIL KIRAN
Chief Technology Officer
$1.02M
@ $226.64 · 2024-10-30
BITSBERGER TIMOTHY S
Director
$226,957
@ $226.96 · 2024-10-30
MCCOURT TIMOTHY FRANCIS
Officer
$312,056
@ $227.11 · 2024-10-28
FITZPATRICK LYNNE
Chief Financial Officer
$163,610
@ $216.99 · 2024-09-13
DURKIN BRYAN T
Director
$1.63M
@ $214.59 · 2024-08-30
GLICKMAN DANIEL ROBERT
Director
$130,937
@ $201.44 · 2024-06-06
PIELL HILDA HARRIS
Officer
$1.50M
@ $210.35 · 2024-05-08
DUFFY TERRENCE A
Chief Executive Officer
$8.44M
@ $210.91 · 2024-04-29
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
INTU
2
Sells (3M)
24
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $121.78M
DALZELL RICHARD L
Director
$457,046
@ $457.50 · 2026-03-12
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$840,097
@ $629.76 · 2026-01-05
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$741,172
@ $675.02 · 2025-12-19
DALZELL RICHARD L
Director
$219,763
@ $659.95 · 2025-12-11
DALZELL RICHARD L
Director
$435,354
@ $653.68 · 2025-12-10
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$792,160
@ $677.06 · 2025-10-03
DALZELL RICHARD L
Director
$665,951
@ $666.62 · 2025-09-11
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$27,930
@ $665.00 · 2025-08-25
DALZELL RICHARD L
Director
$255,887
@ $768.43 · 2025-07-10
DALZELL RICHARD L
Director
$521,891
@ $783.62 · 2025-07-09
BALAZS ALEX G
Chief Technology Officer
$689,400
@ $782.52 · 2025-07-08
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$2.03M
@ $782.22 · 2025-07-03
NOTARAINNI MARK PHILLIP
Officer
$887,583
@ $774.51 · 2025-07-02
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$1.25M
@ $773.90 · 2025-07-02
HOTZ LAUREN DALE
Officer
$1.36M
@ $784.24 · 2025-06-27
BALAZS ALEX G
Chief Technology Officer
$1.12M
@ $771.24 · 2025-06-05
TESSEL MARIANNA
Officer
$26.12M
@ $760.84 · 2025-06-03
FENNELL LAURA A
Officer
$19.29M
@ $752.25 · 2025-05-29
FENNELL LAURA A
Officer
$30.46M
@ $738.61 · 2025-05-28
NOTARAINNI MARK PHILLIP
Officer
$340,143
@ $725.25 · 2025-05-27
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$11.66M
@ $726.15 · 2025-05-27
MCLEAN KERRY JEAN
General Counsel
$12.18M
@ $729.16 · 2025-05-27
FENNELL LAURA A
Officer
$5.00M
@ $612.45 · 2025-03-24
TESSEL MARIANNA
Officer
$4.43M
@ $600.13 · 2025-03-21
BURTON EVE B
Director
$1.02M
@ $600.00 · 2025-03-20
HOTZ LAUREN DALE
Officer
$667,838
@ $619.52 · 2025-01-10
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$814,350
@ $626.42 · 2025-01-08
FENNELL LAURA A
Officer
$2.94M
@ $613.70 · 2025-01-07
NOTARAINNI MARK PHILLIP
Officer
$228,121
@ $630.17 · 2025-01-03
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$68,506
@ $628.50 · 2025-01-03
BALAZS ALEX G
Chief Technology Officer
$15.86M
@ $665.98 · 2024-12-12
FENNELL LAURA A
Officer
$5.06M
@ $657.64 · 2024-12-10
MCLEAN KERRY JEAN
General Counsel
$11.16M
@ $650.78 · 2024-12-09
NOTARAINNI MARK PHILLIP
Officer
$6.21M
@ $646.47 · 2024-12-05
NOTARAINNI MARK PHILLIP
Officer
$2.36M
@ $646.83 · 2024-12-05
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$2.47M
@ $617.42 · 2024-10-10
AUJLA SANDEEP S
Chief Financial Officer
$466,015
@ $601.31 · 2024-10-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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CME
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
INTU
FearGreed
😐Neutral(41/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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CME
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
INTU
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (41)
View CME Full AnalysisView INTU Full Analysis
CME Group Inc. (CME) vs Intuit Inc. (INTU) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io